Wisconsin vs. Stanford
Rose Bowl Pick: Stanford -5 (January 1st 2013)
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10* graded play on the Stanford Cardinal as they take on Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl set to start at 5:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Stanford will win this game by seven or more points. Sim also shows that Stanford will gain between 200 and 250 net passing yards. In past games, they are 4-0 ATS this season, 11-0 ATS the past three seasons when they have gained this range of net passing yards. Stanford is projected to gain 350 to 400 total offensive yards. In past games, Wisconsin is 0-2 ATS this season and 1-5 ATS the past three seasons when they have allowed 350 to 400 yards. Stanford is off a close win over UCLA in the PAC-12 Championship game. Stanford is a solid 16-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS in road games off 3 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992. Cardinal is also a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games when facing strong offensive teams averaging >=5.9 yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Take Stanford.

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Michigan vs. South Carolina
Bowl Game Pick: South Carolina -5.5 (January 1st 2013)
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This Big Ten vs. the SEC match up is an interesting one and checks in at #5 on my Top Bowls To Watch countdown. It happens on New Years day and will be going on at the same time as the other Big Ten vs. SEC match up between Georgia and Nebraska where we also have a premium college pick on. For Michigan it is their chance at redemption after getting dominated and embarrassed to open the season against an SEC team that is now playing in the National Championship. South Carolina meanwhile had a relatively easy non-conference schedule, but did beat ACC Clemson to close out the year in impressive fashion. Let’s take a closer look at each team’s strategy.

South Carolina’s Scheme
The Gamecocks were 36th in rushing play percentage even though Steve Spurrier would prefer to throw the ball. They lost Marcus Lattimore to a dramatic injury half way through the year, but continued to run the ball anyway. They got a unique QB in Connor Shaw that can throw and run the ball, but this team is built on their defense. You can’t really knock the Gamecocks this year their only losses were on the road against LSU and Florida.

Their defense is balanced and can stop any team in the red zone, on third down and dominates against the pass and the rush. Though they don’t face many teams that pass in the SEC this team showed how dominant they can be against a team that has weapons like Clemson to close out the year. Jadeveon Clowney, only a sophomore leads the way with 13 sacks and it will be interesting to see how Michigan schemes their offense.

Michigan’s Scheme
Well it is no secret that this team prefers to keep the ball on the ground ranked 19th in rushing play %. That’s is because they too do not have a QB that can throw the ball. They’ll go up against South Carolina team that is 6th allowing just 2.9 yards per carry on the season and only two teams averaged more than 3.42 yards per carry on them and that was Clemson and LSU. Michigan will have a hard time doing the same in this game with inexperienced Devin Gardner behind center.

Gardner took over for an injured Denard Robinson and remained the starter to close the year. He’ll get the start but do not sleep on the Wolverines to pull out some trickery to get points against a stout defense that also can stop any sort of passing game with their #2 sack % rank. Be sure to purchase Freddy Will’s premium bowl picks on January 1st 2013.

Take South Carolina -5.5 1.65* FREE PLAY
I’m on the Gamecocks. I’m confident the SEC style of defense will allow South Carolina to get the win. The biggest difference will be turnover margin and that is the reason I see South Carolina winning big. They won 3 games to close out the season already knowing they were going bowling and to me that says a lot about the mental make up of this team that defeated a very similar Nebraska team in their bowl game last year 30-13. I think Connor Shaw will have a big day running and throwing leading to an easy victory.

Nebraska vs. Georgia
Bowl Game Pick: Georgia -8 (January 1st 2013)
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The Bulldogs were just one loss to Alabama away from playing for a National Championship. This team is the real deal, and they played their best football down the stretch. They won their final six games during the regular season to capture the SEC East title with their final four victories all coming by 27 or more points.

Nebraska has been one of the most overrated teams in the country all season. Time and time again it escaped with close victories in the final seconds of games. Five of its 10 wins came by 9 points or less, and the other five were against Southern Miss, Arkansas State, Idaho State, Michigan (without Denard Robinson) and Minnesota.

The Cornhuskers were finally exposed in the Big Ten Championship, falling 31-70 to Wisconsin. They gave up a ridiculous 640 total yards to the Badgers, including 539 on the ground. There’s no question that Georgia is the more talented team with the better athletes, and the Huskers will have trouble keeping up because of it. Jack Jones has some of his TOP bowl game picks going on January 1st 2013. Don’t miss out!!

Nebraska is 1-8 ATS in road games after a game where it forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Georgia is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games where it committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. It is winning in this spot by an average of 19.8 points per game. Bet Georgia in the Capital One Bowl Tuesday.

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Purdue vs. Oklahoma State
Prediction: Oklahoma State -17 (January 1st 2012)
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It’s going to be tough for the Boilermakers to stop the Cowboys here today and it’s going to also be difficult for them to keep pace with that high amount of scoring.

Oklahoma State started the season with a 84-0 drubbing of Savannah State and kept pouring on points all season long, averaging 44 for the season. They went under 30 only one time and that was back on 10/13.

Purdue on the other hand has only eclipsed the 30 point barrier once since the start of October, and that was against Indiana in the regular season finale. Purchase Jimmy Boyd’s premium bowl game picks on January 1st 2013

The Boilermakers were second to last in the Big Ten with 407 yards per game allowed, while Oklahome State ranked 7th in passing with 333.4 ypg through the air.

The Cowboys lost as a favorite in Baylor to end their season, but that sets them up for a 9-1 ATS situation when they are coming off a loss. Lay the big number early as Oky State rolls.

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College Bowl Game Picks: December 29th 2012
Navy vs. Arizona State
Prediction: Navy +14
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The Navy Midshipmen are one of the hottest teams in the country entering their bowl game. They have won seven of their last eight games overall for a very strong finish to the regular season. This run can be attributed to a change at quarterback, which has made a world of difference for this team. Don’t miss out on Jack Jones premium bowl game picks for December 29th 2012

Freshman Keenan Reynolds took over in the Air Force game and led Navy to a 28-21 comeback victory in overtime. He has held on to the job ever since, and he gives Navy a dual-threat quarterback that teams really have to prepare even more for. Reynolds is completing 57.7 percent of his passes for 884 yards with eight touchdowns and one interception. He has also rushed for 628 yards and 10 scores.

This play falls into a system that is 33-6 (84.6%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. It tells us to bet on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NAVY) – off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record.

Arizona State is 0-7 ATS in road games off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog since 1992. The Sun Devils are 1-9 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1992. Arizona State is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 bowl games. Bet Navy Saturday.

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Bowl Game Picks: December 31st 2012
NC State vs. Vanderbilt
Prediction: Vanderbilt -7
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Monday December 31st 2012- Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl. Take #240 Vanderbilt over North Carolina State (12:00pm est): We have a 2nd year head coach with a much improved football team here in Vanderbilt. James Franklin has his Commodores playing as well as they have played all season right now. In fact their last two games and three of their last four contests were their best games all season long. They come into this game with six straight win and really grew as a team down the stretch. Their two big late season victories against Tennessee and at Ole Miss were impressive showings but Vanderbilt was one of those rare teams who may have proved more in defeat this season than during any other time. The Commodores started the year off just 2-4 but you could see right away this was a solid football team as they went toe to toe in their opening game loss to what turned out to be a very good South Carolina team, they struggled in a classic letdown spot the following week against what also tuned out to be a very good Northwestern team as well but the Commodores played much better than that scores indicated, leading the whole way until losing the game in the fourth quarter due mainly to being -2 in turnovers for the contest. Losses to Florida and Georgia came after that but sandwiched in between those defeats was a nice road win at Missouri.

It was another dull 7-5 season for North Carolina State team this year. They did face an SEC opponent to open the year and were hammered by one of the worst teams in that conference at home in that game. The Wolfpack managed to win two games by two points or less, one of which was an upset over Florida State where NC State caught some unbelievable late breaks to win a game they had no business winning 17-16. For the most part though they beat the teams they were supposed to beat (UConn, South Alabama, Citadel, Maryland, Wake Forest and Boston College) and because of that ended up finishing with an above .500 record for the year. In fact outside of their Florida State win, their five other wins came either against an FBS team or team with a combined 18-43 record on the year and none of which are playing a in a bowl game this post-season.

Vanderbilt finally got the monkey off their backs last year ending their long bowl drought but this year it’s about winning as they blew a late lead in last year’s contest. The Commodores couldn’t have drew up a much better opponent that they got here in this one as North Carolina State is not a very good team right now and are actually a bit lucky to even be here in this game. In fact this is going to be one of the easier teams Vanderbilt has played all year long. Look for the Commodores to play a solid game here and get the easy win. Play Vanderbilt in this one.

Bowl Game Picks: December 28th 2012
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
Russell Athletic Bowl
Prediction: Virginia Tech -1.5
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Ryan is on a 5-2 ATS in the Bowls + admits was very ‘lucky’ to win with Cincinnati last night. Ryan starts off the last Friday of the 2012 year with the winner of the AdvoCare Bowl set to start at 2:00 PM. His comprehensive research features a proven system that has made 51 units per one unit wagered since 2006.

10* graded play on the Hokies as they take on Rutgers in the Russell Athletic Bowl set to start at 5:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Tech will win this game by 6 or more points. Rutgers stumbles into this bowl game losers of their last two contests and Tech responded with two straight wins just to get to 6-6 and bowl eligible – and they are favored. That alone send up a red flag for support Rutgers. Tech is a solid 16-4 ATS after gaining 3.75 or less yards per play in their previous game since 1992. Head Coach Beamer is a rock solid Beamer is 11-2 ATS in road games off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival as the coach of Tech. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-19 ATS for 72% winners since 2006. Play on any team that is an average rushing team gaining between 140 to 190 rushing yards per game and now facing a poor rushing team allowing 100 to 140 rushing yards per game and after allowing 2 or less rushing yards per attempt last game. 30 of the 48 winning plays based on the criteria of this system covered the spread by seven or more points. This simply underscores by strong belief that Tech will win this gamne by double digits. Take the Hokies.

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Point Spread: Alabama -10 Over/Under 41 (January 7th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Fighting Irish are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in January. Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games. Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 7-1 in Fighting Irish last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Fighting Irish last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 20-5-1 in Fighting Irish last 26 games on grass. Under is 21-6-1 in Fighting Irish last 28 games following a S.U. win. Under is 19-6-1 in Fighting Irish last 26 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 3-0-1 in Crimson Tide last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in Crimson Tide last 8 neutral site games. Over is 5-1 in Crimson Tide last 6 Bowl games. Over is 5-1 in Crimson Tide last 6 bowl games. Under is 5-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
Point Spread: Arkansas State -4 Over/Under 61 (January 6th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Red Wolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Red Wolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Red Wolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Red Wolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Golden Flashes are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Golden Flashes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Golden Flashes are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. Golden Flashes are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on fieldturf. Golden Flashes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 6-1 in Red Wolves last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Red Wolves last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Red Wolves last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 23-6-1 in Red Wolves last 30 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 14-4-1 in Red Wolves last 19 non-conference games. Over is 6-1 in Golden Flashes last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Golden Flashes last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in Golden Flashes last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 10-4 in Golden Flashes last 14 games overall.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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