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Auburn -4.0 - Saturday, October 4th ‘08 6:00p
Auburn(4-1) enters into this tilt off a big bounce back victory against the Tennessee Vols last time out, by a score of 14-12, and will be primed to take out a over hyped Vanderbilt (4-0) program in this spot. The Tigers after a loss to LSU the previous week, could have easily been in a let down situation, but instead came back strong, which in turn bodes well, for their chances against a Commodores team that is getting a lot of over done accolades. Do not get me wrong, Vandy has performed admirably so far this season, with key upset wins against the Mississippi Rebels and South Carolina Gamecocks , however, now, because of their successes , they have a huge target on their backs, and will be unable to launch any more surprise attacks . Im betting Auburns hardcore defense, that has allowed 3 of 5 opponents under 100 yards rushing, to gives fits to a good but not quite ready for prime time Vanderbilt offense., that depends almost exclusively on their running game to move the chains. Meanwhile, a Tigers offense, that has not looked very fluid this season , will finally have some successes against , a vulnerable secondary that has allowed an average of 240 passing yards per game., and with each successive game this season has also allowed more and more yards on the ground. Final notes & Key Trends: The Tigers have won 13 straight in this series, the last three wins have come by an average of 30 PPG. The Commodores are 8-21 ATS L/29 October home games. HC Tubberville of Auburn is also 9-1 L/10 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. Projected score: Auburn 28 Vanderbilt 13 - Courtesy of Alex Smart

Indiana +7.0 (-110) - Sat October 4th ‘08 12:00p
We rate this battle between the Indiana Hoosiers and the Minnesota Gophers as a toss up, which naturally give value to the Hoosiers catching a touchdown in this spot. Indiana has now dropped two straight after a 2-0 start, but they were on their way to a cover vs. a tough Michigan State team last week before fumbling on the MSU 20-yard line against a prevent defense with less than two minutes remaining. In fact, the Hoosiers have had little trouble moving the ball this year, averaging an impressive 453.5 yards of offense per game including 249.0 yards on the ground. Much of this ground attack has come courtesy of versatile quarterback Kellen Lewis, who was dinged up last week and had to leave the game with a leg injury. He did look fine after re-entering that contest though. Now, Minnesota has also been proficient offensively, averaging 33.2 points per game with a very balanced attack. However, while Indiana carried their offensive success over to Big Ten play, the Gophers were stifled somewhat by Ohio State last week, and that game marked their ninth consecutive conference loss stretching back to last season. These clubs are like mirror images in that both have stout offenses and porous defenses, but the fact that Indiana has at least shown they can still score inside the conference while the Gophers are a vulnerable favorite given their Big Ten losing streak gives the Hoosiers the edge as decided dogs. CFB Free Pick: Indiana +7 (-110) - courtesy of LT Profits

Texas-El Paso +7.5 (-110) - Saturday, October 4th ‘08 7:00p
The UTEP Miners broke through the win column after an 0-3 start with an emphatic 58-13 romp over Central Florida last week, and we now look for them to give the Southern Miss Golden Eagles all that they can handle here. The Miners had a very balanced attack last week, getting 263 passing yards from Trevor Vittatoe and 119 rushing yards from their running back corps. Even the defense got into the act with two touchdowns on fumble returns. UTEP should be able to take advantage of a disappointing Southern Miss defense that is surrendering 26.5 points on a whopping 412.5 yards per game. The Eagles have been equally generous vs. the run (4.9 yards per rush) and the pass (7.3 yard per attempt). They lost here at home to Marshall last week in this identical role of touchdown favorites, as they were shredded for 202 yards on the ground. The Miners were no doubt taking notes, so we look for UTEP to run the ball a little more this week to help set up the passing of Vittatoe. This should result in some time consuming drives, which should shorten the game and be beneficial to the underdogs. CFB Free Pick: UTEP +7.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

Texas Tech -7.0 (-110) - Saturday, October 4th ‘08 3:30p
Many college football observers think this could be the best Texas Tech team that head coach Mike Leach has fielded. Coming into the season, the Red Raiders were pretty much a one dimensional team. But thru the first four games of the campaign, all victories, Tech has balanced things a bit more. This team will still live or die by the pass. The Tech defense is also better than it has been in previous years. Kansas State can’t trade with the Red Raiders offensively, and they’ve been absolutely porous defensively.
Texas Tech’s high-powered offense led by Senior QB Graham Harrell and Sophomore WR Michael Crabtree have averaged over 45 points and 570 yards a game while climbing to No. 7 in the rankings with a 4-0 record. The Red Raiders have also improved their running game. Baron Batch and Shannon Woods, both average over 6 yards per carry and are receiving threats out of the backfield as well. The Red Raiders are backing up all that offense with an improved defense that is giving up an average of 16 points per game. Kansas State also knows how to put up a lot of points, as they average 47 points a contest. The Wildcats are led by Junoir QB Josh Freeman, who broke KSU’s career record for passing yards last week and needs only two passing TDs to tie the school mark. KSU finally found a running game during their last contest as converted WR Lamark Brown rushed for 137 yards and a TD to give the offense a balance. Additonaly, there should be plenty of points today as this game turns into a track meet. Consider a serious look at the OVER. - Courtesy of Bob Harvey

Washington +24.0 (-110) - Sat Oct 4 ‘08 7:30p
There is another big Pac-10 contest going off today, but it is not this game; this game being the Washington Huskies at the Arizona Wildcats. I am going to go with the Huskies, believe it or not, as a 24 point road dog in this tilt with Mike Stoops’ Arizona Wildcats. Everything points to the Wildcats dominating the Huskies, and I am sure they will win the game; however, I think Washington will bring enough this afternoon to cover the big spread. Why? Well, because Arizona has not proven in Mike Stoops tenure to be an overly consistent team. Even this season, probably Stoops best thus far, they have had a lapse, losing 36-28 to a less talented New Mexico team. Washington is a young team and they have played like it to this point. Their highlight is a close loss to BYU, but young team’s can improve (i.e. Oregon State), especially when there are rumors swirling about their coach’s demise. Sometimes this can bring out the best in a team. I see an inspired effort from the Huskies today as they will be playing on the road without as much pressure and with nothing to lose. Here are a couple of nuggets too, that may be of interest. In Mike Stoops tenure (this is his sixth year) at Arizona, the Wildcats have beaten an opponent by more than 24 points at home just three times. Two of those have happened this season, but I find it unlikely that he will pull off a feat three times in six games that he only managed to do once in his first five seasons. Also, the underdog in this conference series is 8-3 straight up and 11-0 against the spread since 1997. Free Pick: Take the Washington Huskies +24 - Courtesy of Matt Foust

If you are betting on college football this weekend, be sure to visit Touthouse.com for expert college football betting picks and odds. Below are free picks by Matt Foust and Bob Harvey for the BYU vs. Utah State Matchup on Friday. 

 BYU @ Utah St. o60.0 (-110) - Friday, October 3rd ‘08 8:00p
This week the eighth ranked BYU Cougars will travel to Logan, Utah for a Friday evening tilt with WAC member Utah State. The Cougars of BYU are a heavy road favorite at -28, but we are going to go with the over 60 in this match-up. The Cougars are having another outstanding season under Bronco Mendenhall and their offense is explosive to say the least. Quarterback Max Hall is a legitimate Heisman candidate with a 180.8 passer rating and he has thrown 15 touchdowns to just two interceptions. The Cougars are averaging 43 points per game and have scored under 40 just once (28 at Washington) in a game where they turned the ball over twice. Against competition similar to Utah State, BYU has scored 59, 44, and 41. They will get over 40 in this game without question. The Aggies of Utah State have faced a pretty tough schedule to this point in the season, and they have not faired well. They have squared off against two teams in BYU’s class in Oregon and Utah. They allowed 124 points in those two games and they scored 34. I look for them to chalk up anywhere from 14 to 20 in this contest and for BYU to easily take care of the rest and push the total over 60. Things to consider: The Over is 7-3 in BYU’s last 10 as a road favorite with a total of 54.5 or more. The Over is 3-1 the last five years when BYU played as road favorite in the month of September. The Over is 3-1 the last five years when BYU played as a road favorite coming off a win as a home favorite. The Over is 5-0 the last five years win Utah State played as a home underdog during the month of September. - Courtesy of Matt Foust

BYU -29.0 (-110) - Friday, October 3rd ‘08 8:00p
BYU has got the perfect balance. A high powered offense led by a Heisman caliber QB and a stingy defense. That combination will be tough for Utah State to overcome tonight. The 8th ranked Cougars are coming off back-to-back shutouts of UCLA and Wyoming and have eight straight wins over Utah State dating back to 1993. BYU will also look to extend the nation’s longest winning streak to 15 games. Max Hall has been the catalyst behind the Cougars blazing start. Hall has thrown for 1,284 yards and 15 touchdowns in four games, tying the school record with seven TDs against UCLA. He has completed 74% of his passes this year with just two picks. The Aggies are just 1-3 this season and there hopes for the huge upset will rest on the shoulders of sophomore QB Diondre Borel, who threw for 191 yards and rushed for 97 yards in his first career start against Idaho two weeks ago. Utah State will also need a big game from running back Robert Turbin who rushed for 123 yards in the victory over the Vandals. Following a cumulative 103-0 dismantling of two Division 1 schools, the only thing that can keep BYU from posting a third straight road will be if they stay focused and don’t take one of the worst teams in the nation for granted. Utah State is 1-46 against ranked opponents. Make that 1-47 after they get spanked tonight by BYU. - Courtesy of Bob Harvey

If you are betting on the Boise State vs. Louisiana Tech college football game tonight and need current college football odds and college football picks be sure to visit Touthouse.com and Buy Jim Krugers Expert NCAA Picks.

Boise St -23.5 - Wednesday October 1st ‘08 8:00p
To start, there are way too many great Bronco trends on the blue turf to even think about going against Boise. There are also a bunch of bad trends on LaTech such as being 11-26-1 ATS since 2001 as an away dog. Both teams have only played three games so far this year with the Bulldogs upsetting Mississippi State in their home opener but then losing to a lethargic Kansas squad, 29-0. The LT passing attack in these two games was very poor, 26 of 74 for only 294 yards and is only completing 41%of their passes for the entire season.  LaTech beat SE Louisiana at home, 41,26, in their last game but were only ahead 28-23 at half and only outgained their Division-1AA opponent by 5 yards. Boise beat Bowling Green at home in their second game but went completely flat in the second half after getting a 20-0 first half lead. The Broncos beat Oregon on the road 9-20-08 as a 10.5 point underdog building a 37-13 lead. With the Oregon win, Boise now becomes the next “BCS buster” leader. This means BSU will try to run up the score to further impress the media. This is a must 30-point victory for Boise. Betting on WAC road dogs of 14 or more points is not a profitable spot in the past, 20-32 ATS the past five years. La Tech’s last two visits to potato-land have finished with identical 55-14 losses. Boise doesn’t seem to have the same capabilities on the ground this year as in the past. However, they don’t necessarily need to have a very good ground game against the Bulldogs who are next to last in pass defense in the NCAA giving up almost 350 yards per game. Boise gained confidence beating Oregon. Redshirt freshman QB Kellen Moore is ranked 7th in the nation in pass efficiency. Over the past ten years, a conference home favorite of 14 points or more who won their previous game straight-up as an away dog of more than 7 points is 15-4 ATS. Boise went lame in the Bowling Green game. However, that game was not played on a weekday in front of a national audience at night. This is Boise’s time Take the Broncos! - Courtesy of Jim Kruger

This Article is Courtesy of Fairway Jay, An award winning professional sports handicapper featured on Touthouse.com. If you are betting on college football this year, be sure to buy Fairway Jay’s Expert Picks

Public bettors and college football fans that like the ‘favorites’ found themselves in the ‘rough’ this past weekend. College football betting favorites went a wallet-busting 17-30-1 Against-the-Spread (ATS). The big betting favorites (2 touchdowns or more) were 9-12 ATS, so backing those big boys with your bankroll was not a complete bust, but still a losing proposition.

College football handicappers that prefer to rely mostly on current form during the first month of the season can find themselves ‘off course’ and ‘scrambling’ to find the ‘green’. After all, if you listen to the ‘talking heads’ and the TV network ‘experts’, they would have you believe that the dominating early season performances turned in by top-5 teams Florida, USC and Georgia make them unbeatable. So what happens on the final weekend of September? Florida loses on their home field as a 22-point favorite to Mississippi. No. 1 Southern Cal (USC) is outplayed on the road in Corvallis and loses to Oregon State as a 4-touchdown favorite. And the Bulldogs were beaten soundly as well, as Georgia ‘dawged’ it as a 7-point home favorite and were ‘rolled’ by the ‘Tide when Alabama built a 31-0 halftime lead and cruised over their SEC opponent.

The linemaker makes adjustments weekly based on a number of factors including previous weeks’ differences in the ATS results. The betting public will often look to ‘hot’ teams or teams coming off a powerful performance to continue their high-level of play. The reality is that letdowns, emotions and the ebb and flow of college contests with young athletes make it difficult to bring your ‘A’ game every week. Several factors must be considered and incorporated into your analysis and breakdown of a contest before you go ‘all-in’. One must consider scheduling, match-ups, injuries and motivation. Coaching and the ability to make adjustments factors into the equation, along with conference versus non-conference play.  You must use current stats and numbers to isolate strong, balanced offensive teams and better defensive units, and understand the strength of those numbers given the current slate of competition. The savvy handicapper can ‘dig’ through boxscores and incorporate some of the misleading statistical information, turnovers and special teams play into ‘value’ opportunities in upcoming contests. But perhaps one of the most misunderstood aspect of the point spread on a weekly basis is that the linemaker’s original opinion of a team’s fundamental strength can be an accurate indicator of long-term performance and point spread success.

What does this mean? There are some great opportunities in the upcoming college football schedule to get the ‘green’ and earn plenty of profit by comparing and understanding the week 1 power rating numbers to the current week’s power rating and point spread. Last season, perceptive and value-conscious shoppers were able to go 41-20 ATS during the 3-week stretch of games in late September and early October. They did it by comparing the week 1 power rating numbers to the current week’s line, and wagering on the teams with a 7+ point discrepancy favoring the week 1 number. Following that formula this past week proved very profitable, as those same bettors and myself were able to go 15-4 ATS by simply doing our homework and utilizing an original power rating to turn profits.

We cashed in on teams like SMU (+18), Oregon State (+25), Mississippi (+22) and Nevada (+4); all underdogs with three winning outright. How did we do that? By understanding that there are some over-adjustments in the betting line following 3-4 games, and applying some power rating principles and original team forecasts into value-betting opportunities. I’m a little disappointed we didn’t ‘let it rip’ and pile up more profits this past weekend by just following this formula and fundamental approach. This upcoming weekend has 16 contests that fit this profitable profile.

The Owls of Florida Atlantic (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) are the defending champions of the Sun Belt Conference, but have been a little disappointing thus far. On Tuesday night they will hit the road to face off against the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) in NCAA college football action that is set to get underway at 8 PM ET at Horace Jones Field/Floyd Stadium (artificial turf) in Murfreesboro, TN.

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NCAA Football Betting Odds: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE -3
Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* FAU has covered five of its last seven games
* FAU has played nine of its last 12 games OVER the total
* FAU has covered four of its last six road games
* FAU has lost 17 of its last 25 road games SU
* MT is 2-4-1 ATS in its last seven games
* MT has lost five of its last six games SU
* MT has played its last five games UNDER the total
* MT has covered four of its last six home games
* MT has played four of its last five home games UNDER the total

To put it mildly, Rusty Smith has been a disappointment. The signal-caller for Florida Atlantic University generated quite a bit of buzz when he went 25 of 32 for 336 yards and five touchdowns in last year’s New Orleans Bowl, highlighting a season where he tossed 32 TD’s with just nine INT’s. Coming into his junior season, the speculation was whether Smith, who has NFL size, would opt out of college early and become one of the top two or three QB’s selected in the draft.

But right now Smith looks like a guy who’s got to go back to the drawing board. He misfired against Texas in the season opener, was just 17 of 34 with FOUR interceptions against Minnesota, and was a dismal 8 for 34 against Michigan State. He has hit on just 46% of his throws, and his Owls have generated just 13 points in their three losses. If there is some encouragement, it’s that Smith has been sacked only once this year, and when stepping down in quality of competition, against UAB, he threw for 325 yards and three TD’s in a 49-34 win. So it is not implausible to assume that against this Sun Belt Conference foe, he’ll be more productive. Middle Tennessee is 70th nationally in pass efficiency defense, although they have yielded just 56% completions.

The Owls will undoubtedly have to turn Charles Pierre (6.5 ypc) loose to help free up things for Smith, and such a thing is not impossible. The Blue Raiders have gotten better stuff out of Joe Craddock, who is 65% with 1076 yards passing, but they can’t run a lick (just 1.9 ypc).

When sufficiently motivated, MTSU can produce; in Week 2 of the season, the Raiders controlled the ball for nearly 40 minutes and scored a ten-point win over Maryland, which has since beaten nationally-ranked California and Clemson. This is a big occasion, with a crowd “blackout” scheduled.

The thing is, we’re absolutely convinced Smith is not as bad as his current stats would indicate, and after facing Big 12 and Big Ten foes, this MTSU defense may provide a bit of relief. The Owls have a more balanced offense, and let’s forget that to win the Sun Belt title and gain the bowl berth last year, FAU had to go on the road and beat Troy. Look for Howard Schnellenberger to pull something out of his bag of tricks and get things going in starting this “new slate” in conference play. Take the points with FAU, the three-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.

JAY’S PLAY: FLORIDA ATLANTIC +3 **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

College football betting top 25 power rankings courtesy of Alex Smart, An award winning professional football handicapper featured on Touthouse.com. If you are betting on college football this weekend and need winning ncaa picks visit Touthouse.com and buy Alex’s college football picks on Saturday.

1: Oklahoma Sooners (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 8 ) The Sooners move up to the top spot in the power poll this week because after their 35-10 whooping of TCU as 18.5-point favorites. OU returns to Big XII play this week against Baylor, and that could lead to a short stay as the top dog. Last year, they went just 3-6 ATS in conference play.
Next Up: Away @ Baylor (-27)

2: Ball State Cardinals (4-0 ATS, 5-0 SU) (LW: 4) Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good. Football bettors pounded Ball State from -17 all the way up to 20.5 at close. Kent State looked set to backdoor the closing line with a late touchdown, but they missed the extra point sending elated BSU bettors to the window to cash their tickets.
Next Up: Away @ Toledo (-7)

3: Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 3) The Commodores were off this week, but they did move into first place in the SEC East by virtue of both Georgia and Florida losing. They’ll take on Auburn next week, a team they’re just 1-4 ATS against since 2000.
Next Up: Home vs. Auburn (+4)

4: Duke Blue Devils (3-0 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 13) The biggest jump of the week belongs to Duke, who annihilated Virginia 31-3, easily covering the spread as seven-point home favorites. HC David Cutcliffe deserves to be enshrined if he can get the Dookies to a bowl game this year. The Blue Devils will hope to bump their winning streak to three against GTECH this week, but they haven’t covered the spread against the Jackets since 2003.
Next Up: Away @ Georgia Tech (+14)

5: Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 11) The Cowboys are moving up the power poll quickly, with another really impressive victory over Troy. They knocked off the Trojans 55-24 as 17.5-point home chalks, and in their ATS ‘W’s this year, they’ve averaged beating the spread by 11.8 ppg.
Next Up: Home vs. Texas A&M (-23.5)

6: Texas Longhorns (4-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 10) Another 20+ pointspread, another cover for Longhorns bettors. For the third time this year, they beat an opponent by the score of 52-10 when they knocked off the Razorbacks. Next up is Colorado, a team they slaughtered 70-3 the last time they met in the ’05 Big XII title game.
Next Up: Away @ Colorado (-14)

7: Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1 ATS, 5-0 SU) (LW: 12) They may be young, but the Crimson Tide are for real! As 6.5-point underdogs, the Tide rolled out of the gates to a 31-0 advantage over Georgia. Though there were some scary moments in the second half, Alabama bettors never had anything to sweat about.
Next Up: Home vs. Kentucky (-16.5)

8: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 5) The Golden Hurricane struggled for awhile with Central Arkansas, but ultimately pounded them 62-34. It should be a real fun game in Tulsa next week when the high flying Rice Owls come to town. Last year, these teams combined to put 91 points on the board.
Next Up: Home vs. Rice (-14)

9: Air Force Falcons (3-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) (LW: 9) It was a bye week for Air Force. They’ll return to the field on Saturday against Navy, a team they haven’t beaten or covered against since 2002.
Next Up: Home vs. Navy (-6)

10: Southern California Trojans (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) (LW: 1) For college football bettors that already had the Trojans penciled into the BCS National Championship game, get out your erasers. USC was absolutely pathetic in their Thursday night showdown with the Beavers at Reser Stadium, falling behind 21-0 at halftime and losing 27-21 when it was all said and done. The Trojans have now lost outright as 24.5 and 41-point favorites in each of the last two seasons. Hmmmmmmm…….
Next Up: Home vs. Oregon (-17)

11: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-0 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 16) The Yellow Jackets were on their bye last week. Though normally getting a bye week to prepare for Duke would be ridiculously unfair, HC Paul Johnson knows not to rest on the also-ATS unbeaten Blue Devils.
Next Up: Home vs. Duke (-14)

12: Penn State Nittany Lions (3-1 ATS, 5-0 SU) (LW: 2) It was tough luck for Nittany Lions bettors who laid the 15 points against Illinois. Though PSU was clearly the better team on the field, they came up a point short of beating the football betting line. They’re 7-2 ATS their L/9 meetings against this weeks opponent, Purdue.
Next Up: Away @ Purdue (-12)

13: Northern Illinois Huskies (3-0 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 21) After narrowly covering the spread two weeks ago, Huskies bettors came up with an easy winner this week with their 37-0 victory over Eastern Michigan as short road favorites. Even though they’ll be big underdogs in Knoxville next week, NIU has covered all three of their trips to SEC stadiums since ’99.
Next Up: Away @ Tennessee (+16)

14: Brigham Young Cougars (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 15) The Cougars had a week to prepare for their game this Friday nights game against Utah State. BYU has dominated the lesser teams on their schedule of late, as they’ve covered the spread in seven of their L/10 games against teams below .500.
Next Up: Away @ Utah State (-28.5)

15: Tulane Green Wave (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 6) With a 31-10 lead in the 3rd quarter, Green Wave bettors had to be set to cash their tickets. Unfortunately, they were knocked from the ranks of the unbeaten ATS teams when they were outscored 17-3 by SMU down the stretch. Tulane has covered against Army in three straight meetings, and they’ll host the winless Black Knights this Saturday.
Next Up: Home vs. Army (-19)

16: Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-1 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 17) The backdoor was wide open for Minnesota bettors in their visit to the “Shoe” this past weekend. Even though the Gophers were behind 34-6 early in the 4th, they scored two TDs in the final nine minutes to cover the 20-points and beat the spread for the third straight game. They’ll take on Indiana this week, a team who’s yet to record a pointspread victory for their bettors in 2008.
Next Up: Home vs. Indiana (-7.5)

17: Texas Tech Red Raiders (1-0-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 18) The 7th ranked team in the land starts its conference play when the Red Raiders travel to Kansas State this week. Since 2000, Texas Tech is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against the Wildcats.
Next Up: Away @ Kansas State (-6.5)

18: Georgia Bulldogs (2-1-1 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 7) Though the Bulldogs have one of the hardest schedules in the country, not many expected to see Georgia lose to Alabama at home last Saturday. They’ll have a week to lick their wounds before playing Tennessee.
Next Up: Bye

19: Missouri Tigers (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 20) With Georgia, Florida, and USC all losing this week, the Tigers have garnered some first place votes in the polls on their bye week. They head to Nebraska this week, a place they haven’t won or covered the spread in their last three visits.
Next Up: Away @ Nebraska (-10)

20: Texas Christian Horned Frogs (3-1 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 14) The Horned Frogs put up a decent effort in Norman against the Sooners, but it wasn’t quite enough to stay within the 18.5-points for their football bettors. The #5 defense in the country will come home next week, a place they’re a whopping 37-16 ATS in their L/53 games.
Next Up: Home vs. San Diego State (-24.5)

21: Ohio Bobcats (3-1 ATS, 1-4 SU) (LW: 24) Ohio picked up their first victory of the season in their 51-31 thrashing of VMI last weekend. Sports bettors have the chance to wager on the Bobcats again this week when they take on Western Michigan, a team that will be looking to avenge 2006’s 27-21 defeat.
Next Up: Away @ Western Michigan (+4)

22: North Carolina Tar Heels (2-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: NR) North Carolina looked dead in the water in Miami when they trailed 24-14 with less than ten minutes to play as 7.5-point underdogs. QB Cam Sexton, playing due to the injury to TJ Yates led the Tarheels for not only the spread-covering TD, but then a game-winning one with just 0:46 remaining. They step out of conference this week to take on the banged up UCONN Huskies.
Next Up: Home vs. Connecticut (-7)

23: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 25) The Golden Eagles return to action this week when they take on UTEP. Last season, SMS knocked the Miners off 56-30 as three-point road favorites. They’ll need another strong offensive effort if they’re going to cover this week, as UTEP averages over 30.2 ppg.
Next Up: Home vs. UTEP (-8)

24: Mississippi Rebels (3-1 ATS, 3-2 SU) (LW: NR) Someone forgot to tell Ole Miss that they were supposed to lose to the Gators last weekend. Instead, the Rebs took out #4 UF 31-30 as 23-point underdogs. They’ve got another tough SEC matchup this weekend when the Gamecocks come to Oxford, a place where Mississippi is 8-3-1 ATS in their L/12.
Next Up: Home vs. South Carolina (-2)

25: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (3-1 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: NR) For the second time in three weeks, the Ragin’ Cajuns came awfully close to winning a game as 20+ point underdogs. They’ve covered the spread in three straight games, averaging posting winners for their college football bettors by 16.8 ppg.
Next Up: Away @ Louisiana-Monroe (-1.5)

Dropped Out: Troy (19), Miami (22), Colorado (23)

The top-ranked USC Trojans (2-0 SU & ATS) will put their undefeated record on the line on Saturday when they face off against the Oregon State Beavers (1-2 SU & ATS) in a Pac-10 college football matchup that is set to take place at 9 PM ET at Reser Stadium (artificial turf) in Corvallis, OR.

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Thursday, September 25
BetUS NCAAF Betting Odds: USC -25, Total 51

Here are some of the NCAA football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* USC has covered six of its last seven games
* USC has won its last seven games SU
* USC has played ten of its last 13 games UNDER the total
* USC has covered four of its last five road games
* USC has won 22 of its last 25 road games SU
* USC has played four of its last six road games UNDER the total
* OSU has won and covered eight of its last 11 games
* OSU has played five of its last seven games OVER the total
* OSU has played four of its last five home games UNDER the total

Also….
* USC has won five of the last six meetings SU
* Four of the last six meetings have gone UNDER the total

How dominant was USC against Ohio State? Well, the Buckeyes got just 84 yards out of 21 throws by starting quarterback Todd Boeckman, and only 2.1 yards a carry out of its rushing game. After a while, it looked like the Trojans got bored.

It is going to be very hard to dislodge USC from its perch atop the college football polls, and Oregon State, despite giving the Trojans a rough go of it on their home field (winning two of the last the meetings in Corvallis) they aren’t likely to be the team to do it. But USC probably benefits a little more by the rest, and unless this is another of those games where Pete Carroll’s team loses focus (as it did against Stanford last year), you should see a crisp performance.

In the early going, Oregon State is not stopping people on the ground the way it did last season, when it was #1, statistically speaking, in the country, allowing less than 71 ypg. This year, it’s a different story, as might have been expected when OSU lost its entire starting front seven off the team that beat Maryland in the Emerald Bowl. Now the Beavers are yielding 169 yards a contest and 4.8 yards a pop. And here comes USC with its scary, deep running game, which complements surprisingly-accurate QB Mark Sanchez (68%) rather well. Even so, the story with Southern Cal is not necessarily offense, but defense. And we don’t see Lyle Moevao (6 TD’s, 4 INT’s) getting very far against this group.

USC is allowing a national-low 3.28 yards per play. Sanchez will have time to throw. But we can see this game being won on the ground, and on defense, where the Men of Troy haven’t permitted a touchdown in the last seven quarters. We don’t see how this game will move close to the 50-mark, so we’re going UNDER the total of 51 points in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.

JAY’S PLAY: UNDER 51 ***

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Kent +18.0 - Saturday, September 27th 2008 12:00p
The Ball State Cardinals enter into this Home Coming contest against visiting Kent State in a somber mood , Receiver Dante Love suffered a career-ending spinal cord injury last week , in his teams 42-20 win against state rivals the Indiana Hoosiers . It must be noted that the young man, had successful surgery to repair the damage, and is expected to walk again and live a normal life. Love is currently ranked 2nd in the nation in receiving yards , and was one of the Cardinals all time top stats leaders at his position . His versatility also made him a dangerous special teams player, and the impact of his loss will be much greater than some pundits might expect . The combination of last weeks emotional win and the loss of one of their biggest stars , will hinder the Cardinals abilities to concentrate and compete at a high level here this week, even though they are facing a sub .500 opponent in their MAC conference opener. Final notes & Key Trends: Kent State may only be 2-12 ATS dating back to last season, but for the most part they have been very competitive , with their average margin of defeat ringing in at just 8 PPG. Play on the Golden Flashes to cover -Projected score: Ball State 34 Kent 24 - Courtesy of Alex Smart

Indiana +8.0 (-110) - Sat September 27th ‘08 12:00p
The Indiana Hoosiers and Michigan State Spartans are very similar in that both teams have run oriented offenses and both defend the run well, so in what figures to be a tight battle, it seems prudent to grab more than a touchdown with the home team here. In fact, the home underdogs are actually averaging more points and yards offensively and allowing fewer yards per game defensively, meaning that this line may be based more on reputation than on the performances of these teams on the field this season. Indiana is averaging 32.0 points and 446.7 total yards per game while going 2-1 so far, with a whopping 271.3 of those yards coming on the ground. The Hoosiers are averaging an impressive 5.7 yards per rush, and quarterback Kellen Lewis has made up for his passing deficiencies by leading the team with 331 rushing years on a terrific 9.5 yards per carry. The Indiana defense has done its part by allowing just 19.3 points and 298.0 total yards per game, limiting opposing rushers to 3.1 yards per carry. Now the Spartans are off to a 3-1 start, and they are averaging 28.2 points on 376.0 yards per game. While those numbers look impressive, they are actually not as good as Indiana and the yardage numbers are padded somewhat by a dominating performance on the ground vs. a bad Notre Dame team last week. Their defense has been solid, allowing only 13 points per game, but they are allowing an average of 324.2 totals yards and 3.8 yards per rush, more than half a yard higher that the Hoosiers run defense allows per carry. Add this all up and we see a field goal type contest either way, so we feel Indiana offers lots of value at this price at home. CFB Free Pick: Indiana +8 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
 
Virginia Tech +7.0 (-110) - Sat September 27th ‘08 8:00p
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 3-0 and outscoring their opponents by an average score of 40.0-14.3, but the Virginia Hokies represent a jump up in class here. After all, the Huskers three blowout wins have come vs. New Mexico State, San Jose State and Western Michigan. They are now facing a legitimate defense for the first time all year, and while the Hokies are allowing a few more points and yards than recent seasons, they have still displayed big play ability with 11 takeaways and seven sacks. Also do not forget that Virginia Tech already has two conference wins, and their only loss was at East Carolina, so that have not faced the same cupcake schedule that Nebraska has taken on. They are also coming off of an impressive road win over an up and coming North Carolina program. While Nebraska may have the more gaudy statistics on paper, we feel that a tougher schedule for Virginia Tech to this point has better prepared them to take this contest down to the wire, and an outright shocker would not surprise us. CFB Free Pick: Virginia Tech +7 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

Oklahoma State -17.0 (-110) - Saturday, September 27 ‘08 7:00p
Under normal circumstances I would tend to look toward the big dog in this one. However, that’s not the case this year, as Okla. St. will be highly motivated for this one. Okla St. went to Troy last year as a 10.5 point favorite and were embarrassed on national TV getting blown-out 41-23. They were off last week, therefore have had 2 weeks to prepare for the rematch and are catching Troy coming off a tough game last week at Ohio St. Look for Okla St. to roll in this one. - Courtesy of JB Sports

Navy +16.5 (-110) - Sat September 27th ‘08 3:45p
The Navy Midshipmen are off to a 2-2 start this year, but this Saturday they will meet perhaps their toughest opponent to date in Wake Forest. Despite the difficult draw, we are going to go with Navy +16.5 on the road against the Demon Deacons. Navy’s two losses this year both occurred on the road, the first one against a high-powered Ball State team and the second versus the vastly improved Duke Blue Devils. The Midshipmen’s biggest issue in the Ball State game was their inability to get the Cardinals off the field on third down, consequently, they were dropped 35-23. Navy carried a 24-20 lead into halftime at Duke but allowed the Devils to post 21 second half points (they still finished within 10). Wake Forest is a quality team but they have not exactly been overpowering. Their biggest win was their opener at Baylor (41-13), but the Bears handed the Deacons five turnovers, making the margin of victory more than it normally would have been. Since that win they beat Ole Miss 30-28 (Mississippi three turnovers) and Florida State 12-3 (FSU seven turnovers).Wake also has not exhibited a dominant running game (2.6 yards per carry) which could lead to more third and long situations versus Navy. The Midshipmen have proven that they can run the ball (345.8 yards per game on the ground) and this will limit the Demon Deacons ability to run the score up. While their defense is far from being a big stopper, they should be able to get at least a few. Navy will not hand Wake points via turnover either, as their other opponents have. On the year the Midshipmen are averaging just one turnover per game. Wake will get the win, but Navy will hang around here and make this game closer than people might think. Free Pick: Take Navy +16.5 (-110) - Courtesy of Matt Foust

Nebraska -7.0 (-110) - Sat September 27th ‘08 8:00p
In one of two ACC vs. Big XII games this weekend, the Virginia Tech Hokies (3-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) will storm Lincoln to face head coach Bo Pelini’s rejuvenated Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS). The Hokies are coming off of a big come-from-behind 20-17 win against the Tar Heels. Pelini’s Cornhuskers have started the season strong, winning by at least 23 points in every game to generate their unblemished record. Frank Beamer and the Hokies originally intended to redshirt QB Tyrod Taylor this season, but the offense sputtered under QB Sean Glennon and Taylor has taken a hold of the starting reins. Taylor also struggled last week against North Carolina, only completing 11 passes for 125 yards while throwing two interceptions in the win. Once again, the vaunted Hokie defense had to bail out the offense and did so by holding UNC to just 14 first downs while forcing four turnovers in the win. VTECH is a bankroll killing 1-7-1 ATS in non-conference games since 2006. The Huskers have started the season strong and will look to keep it going against the Hokies. Since taking over for Sam Keller with a few games to go last year, QB Joe Ganz has dazzled when given the opportunity as the Huskers field general. In Big Reds last game against New Mexico State, Ganz threw for 227 total yards and two touchdowns in a very efficient performance. RB Marlon Lucky has again been a workhorse on the ground, carrying the ball 15 times for 103 yards and two touchdowns in that win over the Aggies. With one more ATS win this season, the Huskers will have already matched their college football gambling win total from 2007. Look for them to get it in this prime time affair!!! - Courtesy of Mike Rose

College Football Top 25 Power Poll Week 5
Week 5 College Football power ranking courtesy of Alex Smart, A professional college football handicapper featured on Touthouse.com. If you are betting football this weekend do not miss Alex’s Expert football betting picks

1: Southern California Trojans (2-0 ATS, 2-0 SU) The Trojans are at the top of the AP Poll and start at the top of the power poll as well. USC has covered the spread against Virginia and Ohio State by an average of 22.8 points per game. USC is now 6-1 ATS in their L/7 games overall.
Next Up: Away @ Oregon State (-25.5)

2: Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) HC Joe Paterno may have a real national championship contender in Happy Valley this year. PSU has faced three sub-par opponents this year, but have faced some hefty numbers on the betting line as well. They’re averaging 52.8 points per game, 3rd in the nation. The schedule gets much harder now, and begins with a game against Illinois, a team they lost 27-20 to last season.
Next Up: Home vs. Illinois (-14)

3: Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) For a team that had an over/under of three wins on the season, Vandy’s done quite alright this year. They’re ranked in the AP Poll for the first time since 1984, and are the only team in the land that is 4-0 ATS. Not only are they a perfect 4-0 ATS and SU, but they won three of those four games as underdogs.
Next Up: Bye

4: Ball State Cardinals (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) There’s very little attention paid to MAC football, but bettors who’ve dug to find the Cardinals have been rewarded with a 3-0 start to the season. Not only have they been covering the spread, but they’ve been killing it. Last week against Indiana, they won by 22-points as short underdogs. They’re now 14-5 in their L/19 games overall. Loss of (Duante Love) may impact this rating next week.
Next Up: Home vs. Kent State (-17)

5: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) Tulsa has destroyed the betting line in all three of their contests this year in spite of being favored by an average of 15.2 ppg. Last week was the biggest blowout, as the Golden Hurricane took care of New Mexico 56-14 as 11-point favorites. Betting against Tulsa hasn’t been a good idea of late, as they’ve beaten the spread by at least a touchdown in each of their L/4 games.
Next Up: Home vs. Central Arkansas (No Line)

6: Tulane Green Wave (3-0 ATS, 1-2 SU) The Green Wave have very quietly put up three very impressive performances for their sports bettors to start the season. In each of their first three games, they’ve covered the spread by at least a touchdown. It could be more good news this week, as they take on SMU, a team they’ve covered the spread against six of the L/7 times.
Next Up: Home vs. SMU (-18)

7: Georgia Bulldogs (2-0-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) The Bulldogs opened up the season #1 in the AP Poll and haven’t done anything to disappoint thus far. The schedule’s been brutal, but they’ve passed their first couple stern tests with flying colors. They’re now 6-0 ATS in their L/6 games against ranked opponents and will hope to continue that streak against the #8 team in the nation this week.
Next Up: Home vs. Alabama (-7)

8: Oklahoma Sooners (2-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) The Sooners have taken care of business so far this season, racking up relatively easy victories against Cincinnati and Washington in their first two FBS games. They’ve had a bye week to rest up for TCU, a team that came into Norman and knocked the Sooners off 17-10 back in 2005. Oklahoma is 10-4 ATS its L/14 home games.
Next Up: Home vs. Texas Christian (-17.5)

9: Air Force Falcons (3-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) Though the Falcons pulled off SU upsets against both Wyoming and Houston as road underdogs in the first two weeks of September, a match against Utah was a bit too difficult last week. Though they lost 30-23, it was good enough to cover the 9.5-points and move to 3-0 ATS on the year. The Falcons are 5th in the nation on the ground, rushing for 281.8 yards per game.
Next Up: Bye

10: Texas Longhorns (3-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) If the first three games of the year are any indicator, the Longhorns are going to be very scary in Big XII play. They’ve now covered the spread as 23, 26, and 29-point favorites early this season against lesser opponents. Last week, Rice was victim for UT, as the Longhorns rolled to the 52-10 victory.
Next Up: Home vs. Arkansas (-27)

11: Oklahoma State Cowboys (2-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) The victories keep getting more impressive early in the season for the Cowboys. Last week they took care of Missouri State with ease, but they’ll return to FBS play this week when the also-unbeaten Troy Trojans pay a visit to Stillwater. Since ’03, the Cowboys are 5-2 ATS against Sun Belt teams.
Next Up: Home vs. Troy (-17)

12: Alabama Crimson Tide (3-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) Sure, the Tide aren’t undefeated, but knocking off Clemson by 24 points as four-point underdogs, then blowing out the Razorbacks in Fayetteville last week deserves some recognition. They’ve got a tremendous game “Between the Hedges” this week, but are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 SEC games.
Next Up: Away @ Georgia (+7)

13: Duke Blue Devils (2-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) It may be about a million years since Duke was ranked in any real poll, but at 2-0 ATS, they’re good enough to crack the Top-25 here. Last week, they covered the spread against Navy as favorites, the first time they had accomplished that feat since 1998.
Next Up: Home vs. Virginia (-7)

14: Texas Christian Horned Frogs (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) After beating SMU by 41-points last week, the Horned Frogs cracked the AP’s Top-25 for the first time this year. More importantly for football bettors, it was their third straight ATS victory of the season, and they’re now 7-1 ATS in the L/8 overall.
Next Up: Away @ Oklahoma (+17.5)

15: Brigham Young Cougars (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) The only memory that most people have of the Cougars this year was beating Washington on a blocked extra point. For those not paying attention, BYU has outscored their last two opponents by a combined score of 113-0. Needless to say, they’ve been a cover-machine.
Next Up: Bye

16: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-0 ATS, 3-1 SU) After back-to-back ATS victories to open up the ACC season, HC Paul Johnson continued to bring success to Atlanta by knocking off Mississippi State 38-7 as seven-point favorites. The Ramblin’ Wreck have a week off to prepare for Duke.
Next Up: Bye

17: Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) The Gophers haven’t taken on the greatest of opponents yet this year, but they’ve taken care of business in their last two betting affairs. They’ve averaged beating the spread against Bowling Green and Florida Atlantic by 28.5 ppg.
Next Up: Away @ Ohio State (+17.5)

18: Texas Tech Red Raiders (1-0-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) If not for a late backdoor TD by SMU last week, the Red Raiders would be 2-0 ATS instead of 1-0-1. QB Graham Harrell has thrown for 1,573 yards already in just four games. TT has a week off before starting Big XII play to kick off October.
Next Up: Bye

19: Troy Trojans (2-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) The Men of Troy are the last unbeaten Sun Belt team left in terms of the spread, and they’ve gotten to 2-0 against some pretty impressive competition. Last week, the Trojans marched into the Horseshoe and gave the Buckeyes all they could handle, sticking within the three tuddies.
Next Up: Away @ Oklahoma State (+17)

20: Missouri Tigers (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) The Tigers have the #2 offense in the nation at 53.8 points per game, and though they failed to cover the hefty 31.5-point spread against Buffalo last week, they look poised to run up the score on a lot of teams this season. Just ask Nevada and Illinois.
Next Up: Bye

21: Northern Illinois (2-0 ATS, 1-2 SU) No one asks how you cover the spread, just whether you do, and the Huskies have done just enough to keep their bettors happy. They may have lost both of their betting match-ups SU this season, but they have found a way to cover the spread in each with strong 4th quarters. Even though they have only won three games in the past two seasons, NIU has covered the spread in five straight games.
Next Up: Away @ Eastern Michigan (-6.5)

22: Miami Hurricanes (2-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) HC Randy Shannon has his job on the line this year, and the UM alumni have to be happy with the 2-0 ATS start. Last week, they blew out Texas A&M as 2.5-point road favorites. They’ve got a real shot to make some noise in the ACC Coastal division this week when they host the Tar Heels, who have covered the spread against Miami in all four of their meetings since the Canes joined the ACC.
Next Up: Home vs. North Carolina (-7.5)

23: Colorado Buffaloes (2-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) Will the real Colorado Buffaloes please stand up? A week and a half after nearly losing to Eastern Washington, the Buffs beat West Virginia 17-14 in overtime as 2.5-point underdogs. It hasn’t been pretty, but Colorado is 2-0 ATS and hopes to improve on that in their neutral site game with Florida State.
Next Up: Neutral Site vs. Florida State (+5.5)

24: Ohio Bobcats (3-1 ATS, 0-4 SU) Hey, even 0-4 teams get some love from the betting gods every now and then. The Bobcats are a hook away from being 4-0 ATS in spite of losing all four of their games straight up. Last year, HC Frank Solich’s boys were strong ATS as well. They’ve now covered the spread in six of their L/8.
Next Up: Home vs. VMI (No Line)

25: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) Southern Miss laid a giant egg against Marshall last week, losing outright as 7-point favorites. It’s hard to overlook their first three ATS victories of the season though, as the Golden Eagles took care of their bettors by beating the spread by an average of 10.3 ppg.
Next Up: Bye

Baylor @ U Connecticut o50.5 - Fri September 19th ‘08 8:00p
The Baylor Bears will travel to Storrs, Connecticut this week for a Friday night, stand alone tilt with the UConn Huskies. We are going to go with over 50.5 for this ESPN 2 national game.

The Baylor Bears were anything but a prolific offensive team in 2007, averaging 18.2 points per game. Head Coach Art Briles no doubt made the offense a big priority in the off season as he headed into his first season at Baylor. So far the results would indicate that to be true. The Bears have averaged 36.33 points per game thus far in 2008; the only game that they did not break 20 was their opener against Wake Forest. Baylor also had five turnovers in that game which limited their ability to put points on the board.

True freshmen quarterback Robert Griffin has added a different dimension to the offense this season and he will certainly put the Huskies defense on notice. Last week against Washington State Griffin threw for 129 yards and rushed 11 times for 217 yards and two touchdowns.

Connecticut is averaging 30.67 points per game this season and they have rushed for an average of 297.7 per game. Last week, against Virginia, the Huskies posted 45 points, ran for 382 yards, and collected 25 first downs. They have a deep and talented group of running backs and a veteran quarterback in senior Tyler Lorenzen.

Uconn has the better defense in this contest, but Baylor will be able to move the ball against them. The Huskies defensive line is very good but Griffin’s mobility will give them some trouble and his ability to run or pass will help Baylor keep the chains moving. While Baylor won the game on the ground versus Washington State, they still averaged 8.1 yards per pass and they have great speed at receiver as well as big play capability in David Gettis. The Huskies, on the other hand, will be able to run against Baylor’s front. Last week the Bears throttled Washington State’s rushing attack, but they will have a much more difficult time trying to stop Uconn. Look for the scoring to start early and happen often.

Free Pick: Take the OVER 50.5 - College Football Odds

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