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Archive for the ‘NCAA Tournament Picks’ Category

Louisville vs. Michigan State Tournament Betting Prediction: March 29th 2015

Louisville vs. Michigan State
Betting Prediction: Michigan State -2 (March 29th 2015)
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Michigan State has had the tougher road reaching the Elite 8. The Spartans have held their three opponents in this tournament to 36.4, 29.8, and 33.3 shooting percentage. Louisville is not a quality shooting team in general although they lit it up against NC State nailing 60 percent of their field goals. But prior to that the Cardinals had scored 66 points or less in 9/10 games. They have not scored 70 or more points in consecutive games since January. That is significant because Michigan State is 24-4 when they hold their opponent to less than 70 points. The Cards hit just 43 percent on the season and 30.6 percent from beyond the arc. Plus they average only 63.4 points per game. They’ve been fortunate so far having the physical advantage in terms of size against NC State and UC-Irvine while having a distinctive edge in athleticism against Northern Iowa. Michigan State beat Georgia to open the tourney, a team that led Kentucky by eight points with five minutes left. Then the Spartans beat the #1 defense in the country in Virginia. Finally they knocked off Oklahoma, the last team out of the Big 12. Obviously Izzo and Petino each know how to get it done at this level and there are supporting stats to support each coach. But I like the fact Michigan State is perhaps playing their best basketball of the season winning 7/8 with the only loss to Wisconsin overtime. Since February 18th, Louisville’s offense has really sputtered at times. They scored 59 at Syracuse, 52 at Georgia Tech, 59 against Notre Dame, 60 against North Carolina, and 57 against UC-Irvine. I think the 66 against Northern Iowa and the 75 against NC State were a fluke. Tough game for sure but I’ll use the Spartans in what figures to be a low-scoring tilt.

Gonzaga vs. Duke NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 29th 2015

GONZAGA VS. DUKE POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKGonzaga Bulldogs vs. Duke Blue Devils
Point Spread: Duke -2 Over/Under 145 (March 29th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Bulldogs are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-1 in Blue Devils last 6 Sunday games. Under is 7-2 in Blue Devils last 9 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 17-5 in Blue Devils last 22 neutral site games. Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 overall. Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 non-conference games. Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 Sunday games. Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 20-7 in Bulldogs last 27 NCAA Tournament games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Michigan State vs. Louisville NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 29th 2015

MICHIGAN STATE VS. LOUISVILLE POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKMichigan State Spartans vs. Louisville Cardinals
Point Spread: Michigan State -2 Over/Under 127 (March 29th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Cardinals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Cardinals are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 neutral site games. Cardinals are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Sunday games. Cardinals are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games. Cardinals are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Spartans are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Spartans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 Sunday games. Over is 8-3-1 in Cardinals last 12 NCAA Tournament games. Over is 18-7-1 in Cardinals last 26 neutral site games. Under is 10-4-1 in Cardinals last 15 overall. Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 3-1-1 in Spartans last 5 non-conference games. Over is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 Sunday games. Over is 7-3 in Spartans last 10 overall.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Notre Dame vs. Kentucky NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 28th 2015

NOTRE DAME VS. KENTUCKY POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKNotre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Kentucky Wildcats
Point Spread: Kentucky -11 Over/Under 136 (March 28th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Wildcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Wildcats are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games. Wildcats are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win. Wildcats are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Wildcats are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Southeastern. Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Fighting Irish are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games following a ATS win. Under is 14-3 in Wildcats last 17 non-conference games. Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast. Under is 7-2 in Wildcats last 9 neutral site games. Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 overall. Under is 13-3-1 in Fighting Irish last 17 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 8-2 in Fighting Irish last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 9-3 in Fighting Irish last 12 Saturday games. Over is 5-2 in Fighting Irish last 7 non-conference games. Over is 27-13 in Fighting Irish last 40 games following a S.U. win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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Arizona vs. Wisconsin Point Spread & Pick: NCAA Tournament: March 28th 2015

ARIZONA VS. WISCONSIN POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKArizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Point Spread: Arizona -1 Over/Under 133 (March 28th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pacific-12. Badgers are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 non-conference games. Badgers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games. Badgers are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games. Badgers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten. Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Wildcats are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Wildcats are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Wildcats are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 6-2 in Badgers last 8 Saturday games. Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 overall. Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 37-14 in Wildcats last 51 Saturday games. Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games following a ATS loss.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Kent State vs. Northern Arizona CIT Point Spread & Pick: March 27th 2015

KENT STATE VS. NORTHERN ARIZONA CIT POINT SPREAD PICK MARCH 27TH 2015

Kent State vs. Northern Arizona
Point Spread: Northern Arizona -2 Over/Under 136 (March 27th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Lumberjacks are 11-2-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Lumberjacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Lumberjacks are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Lumberjacks are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 home games. Lumberjacks are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win. Golden Flashes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Golden Flashes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Golden Flashes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Golden Flashes are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Golden Flashes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-1 in Lumberjacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 12-4 in Lumberjacks last 16 home games. Under is 8-3 in Lumberjacks last 11 Friday games. Under is 10-4 in Lumberjacks last 14 home games following three or more consecutive road games. Under is 52-21 in Lumberjacks last 73 non-conference games. Under is 10-3 in Golden Flashes last 13 games following a S.U. win. Under is 13-5-1 in Golden Flashes last 19 overall. Under is 7-3 in Golden Flashes last 10 games following a ATS win. Over is 13-6 in Golden Flashes last 19 Friday games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Michigan State vs. Oklahoma NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 27th 2015

MICHIGAN STATE VS. OKLAHOMA POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKMichigan State Spartans vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Point Spread: Michigan State -2 Over/Under 136 (March 27th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Sooners are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spartans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Spartans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spartans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Spartans are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Big 12.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-1 in Sooners last 6 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 non-conference games. Under is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 vs. Big Ten. Under is 5-2 in Sooners last 7 overall. Over is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 Friday games. Over is 7-2 in Spartans last 9 overall. Over is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 7-3 in Spartans last 10 vs. Big 12. Under is 7-3 in Spartans last 10 NCAA Tournament games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Utah vs. Duke NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 27th 2015

UTAH VS. DUKE POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKUtah Utes vs. Duke Blue Devils
Point Spread: Duke -5 Over/Under 134 (March 27th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Utes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Utes are 22-6-2 ATS in their last 30 non-conference games. Utes are 39-15-3 ATS in their last 57 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Utes are 36-16-3 ATS in their last 55 games following a S.U. win. Utes are 67-30-3 ATS in their last 100 games overall.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 games following a ATS win. Under is 16-5 in Blue Devils last 21 neutral site games. Under is 9-3 in Blue Devils last 12 vs. Pacific-12. Under is 6-2 in Blue Devils last 8 NCAA Tournament games. Over is 13-3 in Utes last 16 Friday games. Under is 18-6 in Utes last 24 neutral site games. Under is 5-2 in Utes last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 7-3 in Utes last 10 overall.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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NC State vs. Louisville NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 27th 2015

NC STATE VS. LOUISVILLE POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKNC State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinals
Point Spread: Louisville -2 Over/Under 129 (March 27th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Cardinals are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 neutral site games. Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games. Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Wolfpack are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Wolfpack are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 Friday games. Wolfpack are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. Wolfpack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Wolfpack are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 10-3-1 in Cardinals last 14 overall. Under is 6-2-1 in Cardinals last 9 games following a S.U. win. Under is 9-3 in Cardinals last 12 vs. Atlantic Coast. Under is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 19-7-1 in Cardinals last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 7-2 in Wolfpack last 9 Friday games. Under is 10-3 in Wolfpack last 13 NCAA Tournament games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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UCLA vs. Gonzaga NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 27th 2015

UCLA VS. GONZAGA POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKUCLA Bruins vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Point Spread: Gonzaga -8 Over/Under 144 (March 27th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Bulldogs are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Bulldogs are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Pacific-12. Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Bruins are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Bruins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 overall. Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 non-conference games. Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games following a S.U. win. Over is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 neutral site games. Over is 20-6 in Bulldogs last 26 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 19-7 in Bruins last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 8-3 in Bruins last 11 games following a S.U. win. Under is 17-7 in Bruins last 24 overall. Over is 9-4 in Bruins last 13 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 35-16 in Bruins last 51 games following a ATS win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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