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Archive for the ‘NCAA Tournament Picks’ Category

Wisconsin vs. Duke NCAA Championship Point Spread & Pick: April 6th 2015

WISCONSIN VS. DUKE POINT SPREAD CHAMPIONSHIP GAMEWisconsin Badgers vs. Duke Blue Devils
Point Spread: Wisconsin -1 Over/Under 139 (April 6th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Blue Devils are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Blue Devils are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. Badgers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 vs. Atlantic Coast. Badgers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. Badgers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Badgers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-1 in Blue Devils last 6 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 non-conference games. Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Over is 9-3 in Blue Devils last 12 vs. Big Ten. Under is 19-7 in Blue Devils last 26 neutral site games. Over is 5-1 in Badgers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 5-1 in Badgers last 6 games following a S.U. win. Over is 5-1 in Badgers last 6 neutral site games. Over is 5-1 in Badgers last 6 NCAA Tournament games. Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 non-conference games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends Available

Pick: After dumping North Carolina, Arizona and the juggernauts of Kentucky,the Badgers can’t be feeling more confident. Duke beat Utah, Gonzaga and Michigan State but everyone knew earlier this season that this team was looking poised for an early exit. Duke is coached extremely well as we all know and they proved the doubters wrong. Problem is that they blew their wad with a 20 pt. win over State and could be in for a tough night where they keep searching for the spark that ignited that 81-61 outburst. Duke will seek and Wisconsin will destroy. Kaminski and the Badgers get it done without much flashiness. This looks to be their year. -Ari Atari

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Wisconsin vs. Kentucky Final Four Betting Pick: April 4th 2015

WISCONSIN VS. KENTUCKY FINAL FOUR PICK APRIL 4TH 2015

Wisconsin vs. Kentucky
Final Four Betting Prediction: Wisconsin +5 (April 4th 2015)
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Wisconsin (35-3) has been the team that most believe has the best chance of beating Kentucky all season. Well, it is going to get its chance this weekend in the Final Four. It took some shaky moments to get here, but the Badgers have gotten the job done nonetheless, and they’re coming off their best performance of the tournament.

The Badgers weren’t sharp in an 86-72 win over Coastal Carolina in the opener. They also struggled against Oregon before eventually winning 72-65. They were only up one point with under a minute remaining in a 79-72 triumph over North Carolina in the Sweet 16. But they had control of the game most the way in an 85-78 win over Arizona last round, knocking the Wildcats out of the Elite 8 for a second straight year.

Sam Dekker hit five of Wisconsin’s 10 3-pointers in the second half on his way to a career-high 27 points against Arizona. Frank Kaminsky led all scorers with 29 points as well. The Wildcats would get within five points twice in the final 2 1/2 minutes, but both times Dekker answered with clutch 3-pointers to help seal the victory.

This will be a rematch from last year’s Final Four where Kentucky narrowly edged out Wisconsin by a final of 74-73. The Wildcats would eventually lose to UConn in the National Championship Game. I believe there is a ton of value in backing the Badgers as 5-point underdogs in revenge mode.

It’s going to take an elite offensive team to beat Kentucky, and Notre Dame is an elite offensive team that nearly upset the Wildcats in the Elite 8. But so is Wisconsin, which has the ability to space the floor with 3-point shooters everywhere to force Kentucky’s big men away from the paint. I also like the fact that the Badgers are a dominant rebounding team that doesn’t turn the ball over.

The Badgers are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games. Wisconsin is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 neutral site games, including 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 NCAA Tournament games. The Badgers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road games off an upset win as an underdog. Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

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Kentucky vs. Wisconsin Final Four Point Spread & Pick: April 4th 2015

KENTUCKY VS. WISCONSIN POINT SPREAD FINAL FOURKentucky Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Point Spread: Kentucky -5 Over/Under 131 (April 4th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Badgers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games. Badgers are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games. Badgers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 neutral site games. Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Badgers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southeastern. Wildcats are 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten. Wildcats are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games. Wildcats are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 overall. Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 neutral site games. Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 vs. Big Ten. Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games following a ATS loss. Under is 15-3 in Wildcats last 18 non-conference games. Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 overall.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends Available

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Michigan State vs. Duke Final Four Point Spread & Pick: April 4th 2015

MICHIGAN STATE VS. DUKE POINT SPREAD FINAL FOURMichigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils
Point Spread: Duke -5 Over/Under 138 (April 4th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten. Blue Devils are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Blue Devils are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 Saturday games. Blue Devils are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games. Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 non-conference games. Under is 5-0 in Blue Devils last 5 games following a S.U. win. Under is 5-0 in Blue Devils last 5 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 NCAA Tournament games. Over is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 8-3 in Spartans last 11 overall. Over is 7-3 in Spartans last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

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Louisville vs. Michigan State Tournament Betting Prediction: March 29th 2015

Louisville vs. Michigan State
Betting Prediction: Michigan State -2 (March 29th 2015)
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Michigan State has had the tougher road reaching the Elite 8. The Spartans have held their three opponents in this tournament to 36.4, 29.8, and 33.3 shooting percentage. Louisville is not a quality shooting team in general although they lit it up against NC State nailing 60 percent of their field goals. But prior to that the Cardinals had scored 66 points or less in 9/10 games. They have not scored 70 or more points in consecutive games since January. That is significant because Michigan State is 24-4 when they hold their opponent to less than 70 points. The Cards hit just 43 percent on the season and 30.6 percent from beyond the arc. Plus they average only 63.4 points per game. They’ve been fortunate so far having the physical advantage in terms of size against NC State and UC-Irvine while having a distinctive edge in athleticism against Northern Iowa. Michigan State beat Georgia to open the tourney, a team that led Kentucky by eight points with five minutes left. Then the Spartans beat the #1 defense in the country in Virginia. Finally they knocked off Oklahoma, the last team out of the Big 12. Obviously Izzo and Petino each know how to get it done at this level and there are supporting stats to support each coach. But I like the fact Michigan State is perhaps playing their best basketball of the season winning 7/8 with the only loss to Wisconsin overtime. Since February 18th, Louisville’s offense has really sputtered at times. They scored 59 at Syracuse, 52 at Georgia Tech, 59 against Notre Dame, 60 against North Carolina, and 57 against UC-Irvine. I think the 66 against Northern Iowa and the 75 against NC State were a fluke. Tough game for sure but I’ll use the Spartans in what figures to be a low-scoring tilt.

Gonzaga vs. Duke NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 29th 2015

GONZAGA VS. DUKE POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKGonzaga Bulldogs vs. Duke Blue Devils
Point Spread: Duke -2 Over/Under 145 (March 29th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Bulldogs are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-1 in Blue Devils last 6 Sunday games. Under is 7-2 in Blue Devils last 9 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 17-5 in Blue Devils last 22 neutral site games. Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 overall. Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 non-conference games. Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 Sunday games. Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 20-7 in Bulldogs last 27 NCAA Tournament games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Michigan State vs. Louisville NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 29th 2015

MICHIGAN STATE VS. LOUISVILLE POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKMichigan State Spartans vs. Louisville Cardinals
Point Spread: Michigan State -2 Over/Under 127 (March 29th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Cardinals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Cardinals are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 neutral site games. Cardinals are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Sunday games. Cardinals are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games. Cardinals are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Spartans are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Spartans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 Sunday games. Over is 8-3-1 in Cardinals last 12 NCAA Tournament games. Over is 18-7-1 in Cardinals last 26 neutral site games. Under is 10-4-1 in Cardinals last 15 overall. Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 3-1-1 in Spartans last 5 non-conference games. Over is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 Sunday games. Over is 7-3 in Spartans last 10 overall.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Notre Dame vs. Kentucky NCAA Tournament Point Spread & Pick: March 28th 2015

NOTRE DAME VS. KENTUCKY POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKNotre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Kentucky Wildcats
Point Spread: Kentucky -11 Over/Under 136 (March 28th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Wildcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. Wildcats are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games. Wildcats are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win. Wildcats are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Wildcats are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Southeastern. Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Fighting Irish are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games following a ATS win. Under is 14-3 in Wildcats last 17 non-conference games. Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast. Under is 7-2 in Wildcats last 9 neutral site games. Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 overall. Under is 13-3-1 in Fighting Irish last 17 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 8-2 in Fighting Irish last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 9-3 in Fighting Irish last 12 Saturday games. Over is 5-2 in Fighting Irish last 7 non-conference games. Over is 27-13 in Fighting Irish last 40 games following a S.U. win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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Arizona vs. Wisconsin Point Spread & Pick: NCAA Tournament: March 28th 2015

ARIZONA VS. WISCONSIN POINT SPREAD BRACKET PICKArizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Point Spread: Arizona -1 Over/Under 133 (March 28th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pacific-12. Badgers are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 non-conference games. Badgers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games. Badgers are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games. Badgers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten. Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Wildcats are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Wildcats are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Wildcats are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 6-2 in Badgers last 8 Saturday games. Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 overall. Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 37-14 in Wildcats last 51 Saturday games. Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games following a ATS loss.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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Kent State vs. Northern Arizona CIT Point Spread & Pick: March 27th 2015

KENT STATE VS. NORTHERN ARIZONA CIT POINT SPREAD PICK MARCH 27TH 2015

Kent State vs. Northern Arizona
Point Spread: Northern Arizona -2 Over/Under 136 (March 27th 2015)
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ATS Trends:
Lumberjacks are 11-2-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Lumberjacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Lumberjacks are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Lumberjacks are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 home games. Lumberjacks are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win. Golden Flashes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Golden Flashes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Golden Flashes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Golden Flashes are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Golden Flashes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-1 in Lumberjacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 12-4 in Lumberjacks last 16 home games. Under is 8-3 in Lumberjacks last 11 Friday games. Under is 10-4 in Lumberjacks last 14 home games following three or more consecutive road games. Under is 52-21 in Lumberjacks last 73 non-conference games. Under is 10-3 in Golden Flashes last 13 games following a S.U. win. Under is 13-5-1 in Golden Flashes last 19 overall. Under is 7-3 in Golden Flashes last 10 games following a ATS win. Over is 13-6 in Golden Flashes last 19 Friday games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

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