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Week 3 NFL Pick from Doc’s Sports: Redskins vs. Eagles Prediction: September 21st 2014

REDSKINS VS. EAGLES WEEK 3 NFL PICK Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Week 3 NFL Pick: Philadelphia -6.5 point spread (September 21st 2014)
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Free NFL Football Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take #456 Philadelphia over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21) I have handed out FOUR straight free play winners in this space, and I want to keep it rolling! I am also off to a sensational college football start with over $2,300 in profit and this week I’m going to keep that rolling, too. I won with the Eagles on Monday Night Football to cap a winning NFL Week 2, and I think I’ll go right back to them here. I think the Eagles have more momentum off their comeback win over Washington than the Redskins gained by blowing out the Jaguars. There is no doubt that Kirk Cousins is a better quarterback – by a wide margin – than Bob Griffin. But there are still some fundamental problems with Washington, particularly in the secondary, and the Eagles should exploit those weaknesses. Philadelphia is going to be nearly impossible to beat at home this season, and I think that they are going to wear teams down and tack on those extra couple fourth quarter scores to keep them ahead of a lot of lines. They have won their last five regular season home games by an average of 17 points and those differentials were by 17, 43, 14, 3 and 8 points. Even if you kick out the 43-point outlier the other four wins were by an average of 10.5 points per game. The Eagles are only 7-21 ATS in their last 28 home games. But those numbers are set up for a huge regression, and I can see the Eagles going 6-2 or 7-1 ATS this season on their own turf. This Philadelphia team is one of the best in football. And even though Washington has some solid defensive stats working in their favor they have also faced Ryan Fitzpatrick and Chad Henne this year. This will be the best offense the Eagles have faced to date, and I don’t know that they’re up for it. The action is split almost 50-50 in this game, and the Redskins are taking the lion’s share of the moneyline action. But this isn’t a 50-50 game at all. Philadelphia will pull away late, and I can see them winning this one by between 13-17 points.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Bucs Betting Odds & Prediction: September 18th 2014

FALCONS VS. BUCS BETTING ODDS PICK SEPTEMBER 18TH 2014Lovie Smith probably didn’t envision this type of start for Tampa Bay (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS, 0-2 O/U), who lost their first two games at home. Atlanta (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U) ran into a tough Cincinnati team on the road last week and looks to bounce back at home. The Falcons host the Buccaneers from the Georgia Dome on Thursday night at 8:25pmET

Point Spread: Atlanta opened as a 6.5-point betting odds favorite and moved to 6.0 in most books. The total opened at 45 and moved to 44.5.

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There’s no excuse for Josh McCown and the Tampa Bay passing offense not to get something going against one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. McCown has led the Bucs to just 168.6 yards passing per game and has three interceptions with two touchdowns.

Last week, Tampa Bay fell to a St. Louis team with a third-string quarterback Austin Davis. The Bucs were able to run the ball despite not having Doug Martin (inactive) as Bobby Rainey rushed for 144 yards on 22 carries.

The Bucs had a chance to win the game when McCown found rookie wide receiver Mike Evans for a 29-yard gain to the Rams’ 32-yard line. But Evans couldn’t get up after being hit hard and that resulted in a 10-second runoff to end the game.

Receiver Vince Jackson has amassed 449 receiving yards against Atlanta since joining Tampa Bay in 2012. That’s more than any other receiver in that span.

Tampa Bay has some major injuries issues as two-time Pro Bowl defensive tackle Gerald McCoy is expected to miss this week with a broken left hand and middle linebacker Mason Foster is questionable with a shoulder injury. Now they have to face an Atlanta offense that is averaging 438.5 yards per game.

The Tampa Bay defense has recorded just one takeaway in two games and that should be a point of emphasis for Smith’s defense.

The Atlanta Falcons have allowed 635 passing yards in the first two games. It’s understandable for Drew Brees to go nuts on Atlanta because the Falcons still won the game, 37-34 overtime.

Yet last week, the Bengals beat up the Falcons, 24-10, despite losing star wide receiver A.J. Green early in the game.

The Falcons rank dead last in the league, allowing an average total of 472 yards.

The offense hasn’t been an issue as Matt Ryan has 679 yards passing with four touchdowns, but also has three interceptions. Ryan is 5-1 as a starter against Tampa Bay at home with seven touchdowns, no interceptions and two sacks in the last six.

He hopes to get left tackle Jake Matthews back from an ankle injury. He missed the last game against Cincinnati and Ryan struggled, going 24 of 44 for 231 yards with one touchdown and three picks.

Just like Vincent Jackson, Atlanta wide receiver Julio Jones had put up some big numbers against this week’s opponent. Jones is currently fourth in the NFL with 204 receiving yards and has 394 total yards receiving against Tampa Bay with three touchdowns in four career games. He missed both games last year due to a foot injury.

At running back, Steven Jackson has rushed for just 98 yards in the first two games, though he is averaging 4.3 yards per carry.

Prediction:
Atlanta could go 2-0 in the NFC South win a win over a Tampa Bay team that can seem to get out of their own way. The Falcons need to improve their pass defense and not let Vincent Jackson take over the game.

Chicago vs. New York Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 22nd 2014

Chicago Bears vs. New York Jets
Point Spread: New York -3 Over/Under 45 (September 22nd 2014)
Week 3 NFL Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S PREMIUM PICKS

ATS Trends:
Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Jets are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Jets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Jets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3. Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. Bears are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Bears are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 15-2 in Jets last 17 games in Week 3. Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games on fieldturf. Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 5-2 in Jets last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games overall. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games in September. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Bears are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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Pittsburgh vs. Carolina Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 21st 2014

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Carolina Panthers
Point Spread: Carolina -3 Over/Under 42 (September 21st 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Panthers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. Panthers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass. Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Panthers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Panthers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Steelers are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Steelers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games in September. Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 3.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 6-0 in Panthers last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Under is 6-0 in Panthers last 6 games in Week 3. Under is 11-1 in Panthers last 12 games overall. Under is 6-1 in Panthers last 7 home games. Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 5-0 in Steelers last 5 games in Week 3. Over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 games on grass. Over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games overall.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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Denver vs. Seattle Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 21st 2014

Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks
Point Spread: Seattle -5 Over/Under 48 (September 21st 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3. Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games in September. Under is 6-1 in Seahawks last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 home games. Under is 6-2 in Seahawks last 8 games on fieldturf. Under is 7-3 in Seahawks last 10 games overall. Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games in September. Over is 16-4-1 in Broncos last 21 games on fieldturf. Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games following a S.U. win. Over is 35-15-1 in Broncos last 51 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Seattle. Road team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

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Oakland vs. New England Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 21st 2014

Oakland Raiders vs. New England Patriots
Point Spread: New England -14 Over/Under 46 (September 21st 2014)
Week 3 NFL Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S PREMIUM PICKS

ATS Trends:
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf. Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Patriots are 23-7-2 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Raiders are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3. Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 16-5 in Patriots last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 19-7 in Patriots last 26 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 16-6 in Patriots last 22 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Over is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 games in Week 3. Over is 37-14 in Patriots last 51 games on fieldturf. Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games in Week 3. Under is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 games following a S.U. loss.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

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Green Bay vs. Detroit Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 21st 2014

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions
Point Spread: Detroit -2 Over/Under 53 (September 21st 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC North. Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 3. Packers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Packers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Packers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Packers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September. Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games following a ATS loss. Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games overall. Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 35-14-2 in Lions last 51 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games in September. Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games overall. Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games following a ATS loss. Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games on fieldturf. Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 vs. NFC North.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Detroit. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

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Tennessee vs. Cincinnati Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 21st 2014

Tennessee Titans vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Point Spread: Cincinnati -6 Over/Under 43 (September 21st 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Bengals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Bengals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 3. Bengals are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Bengals are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on fieldturf. Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Titans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Titans are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 3. Titans are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Titans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. Titans are 16-34-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games in September. Over is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 home games. Under is 7-3 in Bengals last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Under is 13-6-1 in Bengals last 20 vs. AFC. Under is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games overall. Over is 4-0-1 in Titans last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 9-1-1 in Titans last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Titans last 7 games on fieldturf.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cincinnati. Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Cincinnati. Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

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Houston vs. New York Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 21st 2014

Houston Texans vs. New York Giants
Point Spread: Houston -2 Over/Under 41 (September 21st 2014)
Week 3 NFL Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S PREMIUM PICKS

ATS Trends:
Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Giants are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Giants are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September. Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 3. Texans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Texans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games following a ATS loss. Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games in Week 3. Under is 10-2 in Giants last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games overall. Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 16-5 in Texans last 21 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Texans last 8 games in September. Over is 12-4 in Texans last 16 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Texans last 8 games in Week 3.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends Available

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Dallas vs. St. Louis Week 3 NFL Point Spread & Pick: September 21st 2014

Dallas Cowboys vs. St. Louis Rams
Point Spread: St. Louis -1 Over/Under 44 (September 21st 2014)
Week 3 NFL Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S PREMIUM PICKS

ATS Trends:
Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on turf. Rams are 15-34-2 ATS in their last 51 games in September. Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 3. Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 3. Cowboys are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win. Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 7-0 in Rams last 7 games overall. Under is 7-0 in Rams last 7 vs. NFC. Under is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-1 in Rams last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 12-5-1 in Rams last 18 games in Week 3. Under is 6-0 in Cowboys last 6 games in Week 3. Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games following a S.U. win. Under is 8-2 in Cowboys last 10 games in September. Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games on turf.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

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