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Chargers vs. Broncos Over-Under Pick from Jimmy Boyd: October 23rd 2014

CHARGERS VS. BRONCOS OVER UNDER PICK OCTOBER 23RD 2014San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos
Over-Under Pick: Under 52 points (October 23rd 2014)
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The books have set this total too high. Divisional matchups have a tendency to be lower-scoring games due to both teams being so familiar with one another. Each of the 3 meetings between these two teams last year finished with 48 points or fewer and all 3 had a total set above 50 points.

San Diego knows that if they want any chance of keeping this game close, they have to control the clock, which is exactly what they have done over recent meetings. The Chargers accounted for at least 35 minutes of possession in all 3 meetings last year and I expect them do the same this time around. San Diego is one of the best in the league at converting 3rd downs and have found a new gem at running back in Branden Oliver.

Defensively the Chargers are going to do focus their attention on not allowing the Broncos to pick up big chunks of yards and force them to sustain drivers, which is going to eat up the clock. I also wouldn’t be surprised if the Broncos tried to take up a little more clock, knowing that their lack of possession in recent meetings has allowed San Diego to keep it close. The Chargers have also done a great job against the pass this season. They come in 3rd in the league, allowing just 209.6 ypg.

Both coaches have shown a tendency for low-scoring games against similar opponents. The UNDER is 9-2 in McCoy’s last 11 games against strong passing teams who are completing 61% or more of their attempts and 7-0 in Fox’s last 7 home games when he’s faced an opponent that’s outscoring teams by 10+ ppg.

We also see a strong system in play suggesting that this contest will finish below the total. The UNDER is 59-27 since 1983 in division games where you have one team off a home win and a total of 49.5 or more points. That’s a 69% system. Take the UNDER!

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Washington vs. Dallas Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 27th 2014

REDSKINS VS. COWBOYS WEEK 8 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 27TH 2014Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys
Week 8 Point Spread: Dallas -10 Over/Under 49 (October 27th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Cowboys are 8-20 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Redskins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Monday games. Redskins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Redskins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. Redskins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games in Week 8. Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 Monday games. Over is 11-3-1 in Redskins last 15 games in Week 8. Over is 6-2 in Redskins last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-3-1 in Redskins last 12 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 vs. NFC East.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Redskins are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Redskins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Dallas. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Underdog is 24-8 ATS in their last 32 meetings.

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Green Bay vs. New Orleans Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 26th 2014

PACKERS VS. SAINTS WEEK 8 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints
Week 8 Point Spread: New Orleans -2 Over/Under 55 (October 26th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Saints are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Saints are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 home games. Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Saints are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 8. Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Packers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games in October. Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 8.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games in October. Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games overall. Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games on field turf. Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games following a ATS win. Over is 6-1 in Packers last 7 road games. Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 vs. NFC. Over is 7-3 in Packers last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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Indianapolis vs. Pittsburgh Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 26th 2014

COLTS VS. STEELERS WEEK 8 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 8 Point Spread: Indianapolis -3 Over/Under 49 (October 26th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in October. Steelers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Steelers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Steelers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Colts are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Colts are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Colts are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 vs. AFC.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 7-0 in Steelers last 7 games in Week 8. Over is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-1 in Steelers last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Steelers last 8 games in October. Over is 6-1 in Steelers last 7 home games. Over is 7-2 in Colts last 9 games overall. Under is 17-5 in Colts last 22 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Colts last 8 vs. AFC. Over is 6-2 in Colts last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 9-3 in Colts last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends Available

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Oakland vs. Cleveland Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 26th 2014

RAIDERS VS. BROWNS WEEK 8 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 8 Point Spread: Cleveland -7 Over/Under 43 (October 26th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Browns are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Browns are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Browns are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8. Browns are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 8. Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Raiders are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Raiders are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 6-1 in Browns last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 home games. Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games in Week 8. Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games in Week 8. Under is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 22-8 in Raiders last 30 games in October. Under is 11-5 in Raiders last 16 games following a ATS loss.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

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Philadelphia vs. Arizona Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 26th 2014

EAGLES VS. CARDINALS WEEK 8 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals
Week 8 Point Spread: Arizona -2 Over/Under 48 (October 26th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. Cardinals are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games in October. Cardinals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 8. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Eagles are 4-11-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 games in Week 8. Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 vs. NFC. Under is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 3-0-1 in Eagles last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Eagles last 11 road games. Under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-3 in Eagles last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Arizona. Over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings. Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

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Buffalo vs. New York Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 26th 2014

BILLS VS. JETS WEEK 8 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 28TH 2014Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
Week 8 Point Spread: New York -3 Over/Under 41 (October 26th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf. Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Jets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Jets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8. Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Bills are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. Bills are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a S.U. win. Bills are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games in October. Over is 6-2 in Jets last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Jets last 7 games following a ATS win. Over is 7-3 in Jets last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-1 in Bills last 7 games in Week 8. Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 16-5 in Bills last 21 games on field turf. Over is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games in October. Under is 3-1-1 in Bills last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York. Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

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Chicago vs. New England Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 26th 2014

BEARS VS. PATRIOTS WEEK 8 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014Chicago Bears vs. New England Patriots
Week 8 Point Spread: New England -6 Over/Under 49 (October 26th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on field turf. Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8. Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Patriots are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games in October. Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8. Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. Bears are 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 20-6 in Patriots last 26 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 19-7 in Patriots last 26 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 39-15 in Patriots last 54 games on field turf. Over is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 games following a ATS loss. Under is 11-5 in Patriots last 16 games in Week 8. Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Over is 8-2 in Bears last 10 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Bears last 11 games overall. Under is 7-3 in Bears last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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Miami vs. Jacksonville Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 26th 2014

DOLPHINS VS. JAGUARS WEEK 8 NFL SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 8 Point Spread: Miami -5 Over/Under 43 (October 26th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Jaguars are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 home games. Jaguars are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 8. Jaguars are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC. Jaguars are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Jaguars are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win. Dolphins are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Dolphins are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 8. Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. Dolphins are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games in October. Over is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 5-2-1 in Jaguars last 8 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games in Week 8. Over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass. Under is 10-3-1 in Dolphins last 14 games in October. Under is 11-4-1 in Dolphins last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 games following a ATS win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

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Baltimore vs. Cincinnati Week 8 NFL Pick & Point Spread: October 26th 2014

RAVENS VS. BENGALS WEEK 8 SPREAD PICK OCTOBER 26TH 2014Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Week 8 Point Spread: Cincinnati -1 Over/Under 46 (October 26th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Bengals are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on field turf. Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Bengals are 5-11-3 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Bengals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 8. Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8. Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Ravens are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC North.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 14-4 in Bengals last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 10-3 in Bengals last 13 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 games overall. Under is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 games on field turf. Under is 7-3 in Bengals last 10 vs. AFC North. Under is 14-3 in Ravens last 17 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games on field turf. Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games in Week 8. Over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 road games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Ravens are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.

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