San Diego Chargers -4.5 (-110) - Sunday October 12th ‘08 8:15
San Diego is 22-10 ATS last 3 years against conference opponents. San Diego is 17-7 ATS last 3 years in all games when the total is between 42 1/2 and 49 points. San Diego is scoring 29.6 points per game overall this year and 36 points per game at home this season. Patriots are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC. Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win. Patriots are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 6. Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Chargers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in October. Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Chargers are 20-7-3 ATS in their last 30 games following a SU loss. Chargers are 47-17-2 ATS in their last 66 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chargers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Chargers are 41-18-3 ATS in their last 62 games on grass. Chargers are 35-16-3 ATS in their last 54 vs. AFC. Chargers are 46-22-3 ATS in their last 71 games overall. We’ll recommend a small play on San Diego tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky 

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Game: Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons
Date: October 12th 2008 1:00PM
Opinion: under 43.5
Condition: (must be 43 or better)

These teams have faced each other five times since 1993. All five of those games finished below the total. Those games averaged only 23.8 combined points and none produced more than 34. The most recent meeting came in December of 2005 and resulted in a 16-3 victory by the Bears. While all that’s “ancient history,” the Bears are again playing some solid defense. They allowed just seven points last week and have held four of five opponents to 20 points or less. Overall, they’re allowing 17.4 points, which is the sixth best mark in the league.

The Bears have been particularly stingy on the road, allowing an average of only 13.3 points in three games away from Chicago. All three of those games fell below the number bringing the ‘under’ to 6-2 in Chicago’s last eight road games overall. Looking back several years and we find the UNDER at a profitable 14-8 the last 22 times the Bears played a road game with a total in the 42.5 to 45 point range. Additionally, note that they’ve allowed an average of only 10 points in their two “dome games.”

The Falcons have also been respectable on defense. Through five games, they’re allowing 21.4 points. That’s slightly better than the current league average of 22.5. While the Bears have allowed fewer points on the road, the Falcons have been better defensively at home. In two games here, they’ve allowed an average of only 17.5 points.

One of the many stats I pay attention to is how many times a team runs the ball each game. As you know, when teams regularly run the ball, the clock has a better chance to keep moving. These teams both rank near the top of the league in that category. In fact, through five games both the Bears and Falcons are averaging exactly 33 rushing attempts per game. Only the Ravens (40.3) and the Redskins (33.6) have run the ball more frequently.

We know Chicago coach Lovie Smith has always liked to run the ball and first-year Atlanta coach Mike Smith had this to say: “We’re always going to set out to try to run the football. I think in the first five games we’ve done that.” That’ll likely be “easier said than done” in Week 6, as the Bears are allowing a mere 74 yards per game on the ground. That doesn’t mean the Falcons will quit trying though. I expect a heavy dose of Michael Turner and Matt Forte to help keep the clock moving and for the final combined score to finish below the generous number. Consider the Under.

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Miami Dolphins +3.0 (-110) - Sunday October 12th ‘08 1:00p
The Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans are certainly entering this game with different mindsets, as Miami is oozing confidence after upsetting the New England Patriots and San Diego Chargers in consecutive games while the Texans are reeling from their late collapse vs. the Indianapolis Colts to fall to 0-4. Granted, Matt Shaub should be back at quarterback for Houston after Sage Rosenfels singlehandedly gave the that Colts game away, fumbling twice in the last five minutes to help Indianapolis overcome a 27-10 deficit. However, Shaub may be sick to his stomach again soon after this game starts, as the Dolphins have recorded 12 sacks this season and should be able to take advantage of what is still a suspect Texans offensive line. One way to slow down the Miami pass rush would be with an effective running game, but Houston lacks that right now despite a decent performance vs. a horrible Colts run defense last week. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have done a good job of controlling clock behind the running of Ronnie Brown the last two games, and we see no reason why they cannot have more success here vs. a Texans defense 32.5 points and 334.2 total yards per game. Quarterback Chad Pennington will not beat anyone deep, but he could be very effective off of play action here. The bottom line here is that the Dolphins are simply playing better football than Houston right now, and the fact that the Texans may been psychologically fragile right now is a nice added bonus. NFL Free Pick: Dolphins +3 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

New York Jets -8.0 - Sun Oct 12 ‘08 1:00p
A late decision has Cincinnati’s top gun QB Carson Palmer sitting this one out because of a sore elbow. Without the catalyst of their offense leading the way, the pedestrian Bengal attack is in big trouble, and should spend a great deal of time on the sidelines today because of their inability to move the chains. This will result in a tired Bengal D, that could be easily taken advantage of as this game progresses. Meanwhile, the NY Jets enter into this home game, rested and prepared to perform off a bye week. The Jets behind future hall of fame QB Brett Favre , have had time to get the playbook down. With everything now working in sequence the Jets, are capable of another one sided win similar to the one they served up on the Arizona Cardinals two weeks ago , all be it though in a lower scoring manner. Final notes & Key Trends: The Jets are 6-0 ATS L/6 following a bye week. Projected score: NY Jets 28 Cincinnati 10 - Courtesy of Alex Smart

Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 (-110) - Sunday October 12th ‘08 4:05p
This is as close to a must-win game for the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. the Denver Broncos as there can be at this relatively early stage of the year, while the Broncos have more of a comfort level with a two-game lead in the West. Jacksonville can ill afford to fall to 2-4 if they want any realistic chance of making the playoffs, and we feel they will have success vs. a bad Denver defense here, as we feel the Broncos performance vs. Tampa Bay last week was rather flukey. The Jaguars have had some offensive line problems, but they are luckily facing a weak Denver defensive front, so look for running backs Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew to have to have big games this week, very similar to when they faced another soft front in the Indianapolis Colts a few weeks ago. Now the Broncos were prolific offensively early this year, but they are coming off of back-to-back sub-par efforts. The fact that they have maintained a two-game lead in the division is a negative here, as there will really be no urgency to improve on those last two weeks here, Instead, Denver may have one eye on their marquee battle with the New England Patriots next week. The combination of a more desperate Jacksonville team and a poor Broncos defense should be enough for the Jaguars to pull the upset. NFL Free Pick: Jaguars +3.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

Carolina Panthers +1.5 (-110) - Sun Oct 12 ‘08 1:00p
The Carolina Panthers head south this weekend for a NFC South tilt with the Buccaneers. Right now the Panthers are leading the division at 4-1, but the Bucs can even things up with a win as they are sitting in second place at 3-2. We are going to go with Carolina at +1.5 on Sunday. The Panthers appear to be running on all cylinders as they head into Tamp Bay and one of the great aspects of this team is their consistency. Jake Delhomme is about as steady a hand as there is in the league at quarterback, and the team’s play reflects that week to week. This will be a tough, grind it out game for a couple of reasons, the first being that these two teams mirror each other in many ways, and the second is the fact that it is a division battle. The Panthers typically come out on top in these kinds of games and their ability to make big plays with the passing game gives them the edge here. Brian Griese is questionable for Tampa and if Garcia has to replace him, who knows where his psyche is at. The Panthers will force one of these two to win the game as I look for them to shut down the Bucs ground attack. Carolina has yet to allow a 100 yard rusher all season and I do not seeing it happening Sunday. The Panthers are averaging 207 yards passing per game while the Bucs are yielding 218.6 per game. Delhomme should be able to move the chains with Steve Smith who has had some success against Tampa in the past. The Carolina running game will also keep the Bucs defense honest and take some heat off of Delhomme. John Fox’s team also has the advantage over the Bucs in both the turnover and time of possession categories. Things to consider: The Bucs are 1-4 against the spread versus Carolina as a home favorite. Carolina is 9-1 against the spread and 8-2 straight up in their last 10 games as a road underdog versus an NFC South opponent. The Panthers are 4-0 against the spread and straight up as a road dog versus an NFC South foe with a spread of 0 to 3.5. Carolina is 7-1-1 ATS as an away dog coming off back to back straight up wins. Free Pick: Take the Panthers +1.5 (-110) - Courtesy of Matt Foust

St. Louis Rams +14.0 - Sunday, October 12th ‘08 1:00p
Yes, the Redskins have won four straight games, including road upsets at Dallas and Philadelphia. But at no point in any of those four victories did the Redskins enjoy a two touchdown lead. The four victories were all decided in the fourth quarter, each coming by a touchdown or less. This is not an offense built for easy blowouts, nor does the obvious flat spot on their schedule following the two divisional road wins provide much fodder for the ‘blow out St Louis’ theory. And let’s not forget the absolute ineptitude of double digit favorites in the NFL this season. The league as a whole is a perfect 0-7 ATS when laying ten points or more. Speaking of ‘whole league’ angles, let’s not forget a key long term angle that supports a play on the Rams in this spot. Teams that are 0-4 SU or worse, coming off their bye week, as an underdog of six points or more are a truly phenomenal long term against the spread. They spend two weeks hearing about how much they stink – from friends, family, the local media – and then these winless teams off a bye tend to take out some of their frustrations upon their opponent. Throw in a coaching change in St Louis and we can clearly see that the Rams are poised for their single best showing of the season; a major step up for a team that has now lost eight consecutive games dating back to last year, the most recent seven defeats all coming by 17 points or more. With Marc Bulger back behind center for Jim Haslett’s squad here, look for the Rams to be competitive throughout, just as winless Cinci was in Dallas last week. Take St Louis. - Courtesy of Ted Sevransky

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The NFL is a league of parity, and across the board the talent level is relatively equal. “On any given Sunday” is a phrase that has merit because there is enough skill and talent on every team to win against any opponent on a given day. No doubt some teams like St. Louis (0-4) and Detroit (0-4) are playing as poorly as their statistical profiles warrant. Both teams have also destroyed their betting backers thus far going 0-4 Against-the-Spread (ATS).  But Cincinnati’s near miss overtime loss at the NY Giants and close contest at Dallas combined with winless Kansas City’s victory over Denver as a 9.5-point underdog proves that even the biggest and ugliest ‘Dogs can have their day with good effort and execution against top-level teams.

Cincinnati (0-5) is still winless, yet after opening with a pair of losses the Bengals were competitive in defeat and cashed ATS playing two of the NFL’s best teams on the road at the NY Giants (+13) and Dallas (+16). The Bengals have actually been a 1-point favorite in their three other contests, and the loss of quarterback Carson Palmer for the Browns game clearly hurt their chances for victory. Houston (0-4) is the other winless team, and the Texans literally gave away a certain victory last Sunday with a 27-10 lead in the final five minutes. The 31-27 Colts win had most Texans betting backers (+3 or +4 late) wanting to ring QB Sage Rosenfel’s neck. The Texans have had to battle the tough travel schedule and also deal with the devastation of Hurricane Ike to the Houston area. Houston has played two strong, physical defensive teams in Pittsburgh and Tennessee that also like to pound the ball on the ground offensively. Their two other opponents usually feature strong stop units, but both Indianapolis and Jacksonville are down defensively this season while also struggling with injuries. Looking at Houston’s remaining schedule, it doesn’t appear the Texans will ever be a double-digit underdog this season. Yet they must shore up a run defense that allows 140 rushing ypg and stop turning the ball over. Houston is tied with Detroit for the leagues worst turnover differential (–6), and the Texans have three turnovers in three games this season, and two in the other contest versus the Titans.

If you look at the NFL betting card this week, you’ll notice there are two big underdogs; Detroit (+14) at Minnesota and St. Louis (+13.5) at Washington. Statistically, you really can’t make much of a case for the Lions or Rams this week, as they rank as the bottom two defensive teams in the league. However, double-digit favorites have fared poorly this season, going 0-7 ATS, although Carolina did close as a 10-point favorite in some places last week and they crushed the Chiefs 34-0. The Rams have been a 9 or 9.5-point underdog in all four contests this season, and have lost each game by at least 17 points with three losses by 24 or more.

Detroit has allowed a league worst 429 yards-per-game (ypg), 6.7 yards-per-play (ypp) and minus (-6) in turnover differential. They are tied with the Rams for the fewest turnovers forced (2). They have been equally inept against both the run and pass. The Lions allow 180 ypg rushing at 5.0 yards-per-rush (ypr). Detroit has allowed an incredible league-high 11 runs of 20 yards or more. Needless to say, facing the Vikings and Adrian Peterson in Minneapolis this week doesn’t look too promising. The pass defense is just as poor, allowing a league high 9.4 yards-per-pass-play (yppp), over 67% completions and 249 passing ypg. Detroit has only registered four sacks this season, ahead of only the Chiefs and Bengals with three each. The Lions have not played too tough a schedule yet either in losing both home games against division opponents Green Bay and Chicago while losing badly on the road at San Francisco and Atlanta.

Remember, Detroit ended last season on a 1-7 straight-up run. That makes them 1-11 since the second half of last season, and despite the horrific defensive performance, the Lions offense has been a major disappointment also while ranking no. 26 in the NFL. Detroit is no. 31 in rushing offense, averaging just 72 ypg on the ground and just 4.6 yards-per-play overall. Of course, the Lions have faced big deficits early in each of their four games and have led for a grand total of 2 minutes and 24 seconds this year. What the heck was this Detroit team doing during their bye week? With two weeks to prepare for division rival Chicago, the Lions managed just 185 yards total offense. They went three-and-out on their first three possessions and were only 2-13 on third down conversions. They were whipped soundly and embarrassed at home by the Bears, 34-7. Nobody, not the players, coach Rod Marinelli or new offensive coordinator Jim Colletto has been able to adequately explain the offensive woes. Against the Bears, the Lions opened in their regular two-receiver set then took their best player, Calvin Johnson, out on the second play. The next series, they came out with three receivers and tried the no-huddle offense they installed three weeks ago after not working on it once during training camp. For much of the game, they looked unprepared and struggled with miscommunications. The Lions do have three rookie starters (right tackle Gosder Cherilus, running back Kevin Smith and fullback Jerome Felton) and a fourth player (right guard Manny Ramirez) making essentially his NFL debut. Coach Marinelli said the no-huddle was a no-brainer not to do, and the Lions will “pull back” on their scheme this week against Minnesota.

Perhaps betting against this Lions team is a no-brainer. However, check back tomorrow for more NFL winless team notes and a look at how the big NFL underdogs have fared long-term Against-the-Spread.

Week 6 NFL Football Power Rankings-Ratings Courtesy of Alex Smart, A Professional Sports Handicapper featured on Touthouse.com. If you are betting on football this weekend be sure to buy Alex’s expert NFL Picks.

1: Tennessee Titans (5-0 ATS, 5-0 SU) (LW: 1) Tennessee won the battle of the unbeaten ATS squads against the Ravens last Sunday and is the last team undefeated against the spread. They’re off this week before continuing with KC in Week 7.
Next Up: Bye

2: Washington Redskins (4-1 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 5) Ever since getting romped by the Giants on opening nights, the Skins have been spotless, beating the spread by an average of 8.3 points per game, including back-to-back upsets on the road against NFC East opponents. They’ve played down to the level of their opponents of late though, as they are 2-9-1 ATS in their L/12 against teams with losing records.
Next Up: Home vs. Rams (-13.5)

3: New York Giants (3-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 4) The Giants pummeled Seattle last week, making a mockery of the fact that they were only favored by a touchdown. They hit the road this week, where they are 20-7 in their L/27 games.
Next Up: Away @ Browns (-9)

4: Chicago Bears (3-1-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 8 ) Chicago takes a big jump up the polls this week after throttling the hapless Lions last week. Either the oddsmakers still don’t respect the Bears, or they’re giving a lot of credit to the Falcons, as they are only slight favorites against the team with the longest odds to win the Super Bowl at the start of the season.
Next Up: Away @ Falcons (-1)

5: Baltimore Ravens (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 2) Baltimore had the Titans down and out in the 4th quarter, but let the Titans scored the final ten points to take their Week 5 betting match-up. They’ve earned the respect of the oddsmakers though, as they are only short underdogs in Indianapolis, a team that has historically owned them.
Next Up: Away @ Colts (+4.5)

6: Buffalo Bills (3-2 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 3) It was a dud week for Bills bettors out in the desert, but they’ll get a break for having to play back-to-back games a long way from home. They come back to Orchard Park next week after enjoying their bye this weekend.
Next Up: Bye

7: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-1 ATS, 3-2 SU) (LW: 7) “Buc ball” was on display in Denver last weekend, as Tampa Bay did just enough to cover the spread with a late touchdown to find the backdoor. They play Carolina this weekend, and are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 games against the NFC South.
Next Up: Home vs. Panthers (-1)

8: Carolina Panthers (3-1-1 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 13) Another week, another ‘W’ for Carolina bettors, who whitewashed Kansas City 34-0 last weekend. They’ll head to Tampa Bay this weekend with a chance to extend their lead in the NFC South to two full games.
Next Up: Away @ Tampa Bay (+1)

9: Atlanta Falcons (3-2 ATS, 3-2 SU) (LW: 14) Let’s hear it for the Falcons, who are now 3-2 and coming off of an upset in Green Bay. They’re ranked #2 in the NFL in rushing and #8 in total yards. The oddsmakers have responded by making Atlanta short underdogs at home against the Bears.
Next Up: Home vs. Bears (+1)

10: Philadelphia Eagles (3-2 ATS, 2-3 SU) (LW: 6) The Eagles were shocked at home this weekend by the surging Skins and suddenly find themselves three games back of the Giants in the NFC East. They’ll hit the road this week, where they are 7-1 ATS in their L/8.
Next Up: Away @ 49ers (-4.5)

11: Oakland Raiders (2-2 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 11) Even though Lane Kiffin is no longer the head coach of the Raiders, they hold their spot in the poll. They’re just 8-17 ATS in their L/25 though, and will hope for better in New Orleans this weekend.
Next Up: Away @ Saints (+9)

12: Miami Dolphins (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 21) Miami is the biggest mover of the weekend after pulling off their second straight major upset against a team that played in the AFC title game last year. Now they’re underdogs against a team that can’t hold a 17-point lead in the final four minutes, so it could be another chance to shoot up the poll.
Next Up: Away @ Texans (+3)

13: Arizona Cardinals (3-2 ATS, 3-2 SU) (LW: 19) After getting the wood laid to them in Giants Stadium against the Jets, the Cardinals took their rage out on the Bills by beating them 41-17. The #5 offense in the NFL has a big chance to make some noise in the NFC in they can knock off Dallas this weekend.
Next Up: Home vs. Cowboys (+5)

14: New Orleans Saints (3-2 ATS, 2-3 SU) (LW: 9) It’s not often than a team returns two punts for touchdowns and loses, especially when Gus Frerotte is the opposing QB, but that’s what the Saints pulled off this week against the Vikes. They’re 6-2 ATS in their L/8 against this week’s opponent, Oakland.
Next Up: Home vs. Raiders (-9)

15: Indianapolis Colts (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 20) Sunday’s game with the Houston Texans was just how HC Tony Dungy drew it up. Fall behind by 17 points in the 4th quarter, then let Sage Rosenfels hand you a cover on a silver platter. They’ll look to get off the pine at home this week when the Ravens come to town.
Next Up: Home vs. Ravens (-4.5)

16: Dallas Cowboys (2-3 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 10) After coming out of the blocks like a house on fire to start the season, the Cowboys have dropped back to the pack after losing to Washington and appearing mortal against the Bengals are 18-point favorites. They’re just 1-7 ATS in their L/8 games against NFC foes and need to turn that around in a hurry to get back in the top half of the poll.
Next Up: Home vs. Bengals (OTB)

17: New York Jets (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 18) QB Brett Favre and the Jets were off last week, but return to action this week against the Bengals, who have covered the same number of games in Giants Stadium this year (1) as they have (1).
Next Up: Home vs. Bengals (-6)

18: Green Bay Packers (2-3 ATS, 2-3 SU) (LW: 12) Aaron Rodgers started under center despite a shoulder injury for the Pack, but it didn’t seem to matter against Atlanta. The Falcons offense ran up and down the field on the Green Bay defense, which must regroup in a hurry for their meeting with Seattle this week. The Pack are 10-3-1 ATS in their L/14 road games.
Next Up: Away @ Seahawks (+1)

19: Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 25) There isn’t a more beat up team in the NFL than the Pittsburgh Steelers, but they showed grit and tenacity against the Jags on Sunday Night Football. RB Mewelde Moore picked up the slack of the injured Willie Parker and Reshard Mendenhall well, but he’ll likely take a backseat to Parker when the Steelers return to action in two weeks.
Next Up: Bye

20: San Diego Chargers (2-2-1 ATS, 2-3 SU) (LW: 15) Apparently HC Norv Turner wasn’t watching any tape of the Fins against New England before his Chargers hopped on the plane to Miami. Miami ran 12 direct snaps and blew the San Diego rush defense apart. Now they’re favored by six points against the Pats, a team that beat them to go to the Super Bowl last year.
Next Up: Home vs. Patriots (-6)

21: New England Patriots (2-2 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 26) The New England of new is starting to look like the New England of old. The Pats responded to a humiliating defeat against Miami by beating San Fran 30-21. They’re underdogs this week for the first time since the ’07 playoffs.
Next Up: Away @ Chargers (+6)

22: San Francisco 49ers (2-3 ATS, 2-3 SU) (LW: 16) Oddsmakers showed a lot of confidence in the Niners against the Pats, but they learned their lesson when New England pounded San Fran 30-21. They come back to conference play this week, where they are just 4-10 ATS in their L/14 games.
Next Up: Home vs. Eagles (+4.5)

23: Denver Broncos (1-3-1 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 17) The Broncos left the backdoor wide open for the Bucs last week. They notched another victory, winning 16-13, but once again, failed to cover the spread for their bettors. They’ve now failed to cover the spread in three straight games, though they are 2-1 SU in those games.
Next Up: Home vs. Jaguars (-3.5)

24: Cleveland Browns (2-2 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 22) The Browns enjoyed their bye this week, but are back on the field against the defending champs on Monday night. The Giants put up 44 points last week, only two points less than what the Browns have scored all season.
Next Up: Home vs. Giants (+9)

25: Minnesota Vikings (2-3 ATS, 2-3 SU) (LW: 29) Minnesota won a sloppy match-up with the Saints on ESPN’s MNF, notching their second win for Vikes bettors this year. It must be a frightening thought for anyone who plans on backing Minnesota this week that Gus Frerotte is favored by almost two full touchdowns against anyone… then they’re comforted by the fact that the Lions are coming to town.
Next Up: Home vs. Lions (-13.5)

26: Cincinnati Bengals (2-3 ATS, 0-5 SU) (LW: 30) It’s back-to-back covers for Cincinnati bettors after putting up a strong effort in Dallas. The bottom line for HC Marvin Lewis is that the Bengals are still 0-5 SU, and will try to break that streak against the Jets, who have covered two of the L/3 meetings with Cincy.
Next Up: Away @ Jets (+6)

27: Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 23) NFL bettors ran the line in Jacksonville’s game with Pittsburgh from 3 up to 5, but were all incredibly disappointed by the effort the Jags put into their 26-21 loss. It could be another long week for Jacksonville, as Denver is 4-2 ATS in their L/6 against the Jags.
Next Up: Away @ Broncos (+3.5)

28: Kansas City Chiefs (2-3 ATS, 1-4 SU) (LW: 24) The Chiefs scored 33 points against Denver two weeks ago, but thanks to their 34-0 loss in Carolina last week, they’ve only scored 32 in their other four games combined. They’re off this week, but the reward for HC Herm Edwards is a meeting with the Titans in Week 7.
Next Up: Bye

29: Houston Texans (1-3 ATS, 0-4 SU) (LW: 28) Just when Texans bettors were lined up to cash their tickets, Sage Rosenfels happened. The backup QB fumbled twice and threw an interception on the team’s final three drives, coughing up a 17-point lead in just over two minutes of game time against the Colts, providing one of the roughest football betting breaks you’ll ever see. For some unknown reason, Houston is a favorite this week to pick up their first victory of the season against the resurgent Dolphins.
Next Up: Home vs. Miami (-3)

30: Seattle Seahawks (1-3 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 27) Someone needs to wake Matt Hasselbeck out of this nightmare. For the fourth straight game to start the season, the All-Pro caliber QB has failed to reach 200 yards passing, and his team only has one victory to show for it. Even though a 44-6 loss to the Giants will sting for awhile, it’s a better memory than when Hasselbeck yelled, “We want the ball and we’re gonna score!” against this week’s opponent.
Next Up: Home vs. Packers (-1)

31: St. Louis Rams (0-4 ATS, 0-4 SU) (LW: 32) In the ongoing battle between the Rams and Lions for the cellar in the power poll, it is St. Louis who earns the nod this week in the #31 hole, only because Detroit looked worse against Chicago than the Rams did against the bye week. They’re 4-17 ATS in their L/21 games against teams with winning opponents, so they could be back in the dungeon again next week.
Next Up: Away @ Redskins (+13.5)

32: Detroit Lions (0-4 ATS, 0-4 SU) (LW: 31) It’s never a good sign when the members of the media are asking your head coach whether he should quit or not, but that’s what Lions HC Rod Marinelli went through this week. Getting shlomped at home by a divisional rival has that effect sometimes, though. They’re now 1-11 ATS in their L/12 games and should be proud to be behind the Rams now in the power poll.
Next Up: Away @ Vikings (+13.5)

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Chicago Bears -3.5 (-110) NFL Betting Odds - Sunday, October 5th ‘08 1:00p
Now we normally shy away from seemingly obvious selections like the Chicago Bears being favored over the lowly Detroit Lions by just over a field goal, but we feel that in this case, the line is being kept down artificially because some people actually think the Lions will suddenly improve with the firing of general manager Matt Millen! Well, we feel that Vince Lombardi would have a difficult time getting something out of this Detroit team right now if he came back from the grave, so we will cast our paranoia aside and accept this bargain line for just what it is. The Lions have not even been competitive in their fist three games, as all those contests were over at halftime. Detroit has had a propensity of trying to establish the run early to set up the pass later, That is all well and good except for the fact that the Lions have mediocre at best running backs and their offensive line has been horrible. So perhaps their strategy this week will be to throw the ball straight from the get-go? Well the problem there is that the Bears put great pressure on the quarterback and they allow only 5.5 yards per passing attempt. The Chicago defensive number would only get better if Detroit became a one-dimensional passing team. Now can the Detroit defense keep them in this game? Well, the Lions are allowing a whopping 430.3 total yards per game, and they are allowing an incredulous 5.6 yards per rush and 9.0 yards per pass attempt. Not to mention that they allow the most points in the NFL at 37.7 points per game, so the answer to the question would be no. We feel that only the Bears conservatism could keep this game remotely close, but rookie running back Matt Forte has run very well vs. much better defenses already, and that should et up some nice play-action opportunities for Kyle Orton later. Remember too that the Bear could very easily be 4-0 after their thrilling win over the Philadelphia Eagles last week instead of 2-2, and they should roll to an easy win here. NFL Free Pick: Bears -3.5 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0 (-110) - Sunday, October 5th ‘08 4:05p
The Denver Broncos were shocked by the lowly Kansas City Chiefs last week while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are playing excellent football at 3-1 right now. Well yes, the Broncos are 3-1 also, but that is where the similarities end. The Broncos could have easily lost both of their home games thus far, so they more closely resemble a tram that is 1-3 than 3-1. The problem for Denver has been a defense that has been torched for 29.2 points and 411.2 total yards per game. In their two home wins so far, they survived thanks to a terrible call by the referee vs. the San Diego Chargers and by a missed field goal in the closing seconds by the New Orleans Saints, winning those contests by a combined three points! Suddenly, losing to the Chiefs does not look that surprising. Now the Buccaneers can be 4-0 right now, as they lost 24-20 in the final minutes to the Saints on opening week before their current three-game winning streak. The key to their success has been the running of Earnest Graham, as the Bucs are averaging 133.8 rushing yards per game on a nice 5.0 yards per carry. Look for Graham to have success on the ground again vs. a Denver run defense that is allowing 132.8 rushing yards per game on a terrible 5.0 yards per rush, keying this mild upset. NFL Free Pick: Buccaneers +3 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

Miami Dolphins +7.0 - Sun Oct 5 ‘08 1:00p
The Miami Dolphins have had an extra week of rest since upsetting and pounding the New England Patriots 30-13 back on Sept 21. The Fins , well prepared and fresh, will now take on a San Diego team that exerted a great deal of energy in a come back victory against their long time rivals the Oakland Raiders last week. I’m betting the Chargers after that above mentioned effort, and the difficulties associated with adjusting to a new time zone, will not be as lethal as usual, especially in the heat and humidity of south Florida. Meanwhile, I expect the Dolphins behind a load of exotic offensive options with RB Ronnie Brown as the catalyst to give the Chargers inconsistent offense all they can handle in this spot on their way to what could easily be another upset win, against a franchise they have beaten 6 straight times. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover -Projected score: Miami 24 San Diego 21 - Courtesy of Alex Smart

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Denver Broncos o46.0 (-110) - Sun Oct 5 ‘08 4:05p
Today the Denver Broncos will try to overcome last week’s road loss to the Chiefs by matching up with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mile High Stadium. Although the Bucs are traditionally known for their defense, we are going to go with the over 46 in this AFC/NFC battle. Last week the Broncos failed to score at least 33 points for the first time in 2008. Despite putting just 19 on the board at Arrowhead Stadium, Denver is still averaging 33 points per game this year. The only reason Jay Cutler and company did not crest the 30 point mark in KC was due to an opportunistic Chiefs defense which created four turnovers. Still, the Broncos piled up 446 yards of offense while possessing the ball a little over 26 minutes. The Buccaneers are still known for their defensive prowess but they have some weapons on offense and Jon Gruden knows how to use them. Tampa Bay is averaging over 25 points per game this season and they have shown an ability to move the ball both with the pass and the run. Last Sunday against Green Bay, the Bucs put up almost 350 yards of offense despite turning the ball over three times. Denver has proven that they can move the ball on anyone. Granted, they have not exactly faced a murder’s row of defensive units, but their numbers are jaw dropping nonetheless. The Bucs will be the toughest defense that Denver’s faced thus far, but their biggest weakness is the Broncos biggest strength (passing game). Denver will get its share, and so will Tampa. The yardage Denver’s porous defense has given up is just as staggering as their offensive production. The Broncos are yielding over 400 yards per game and Brian Griese should have little trouble moving the offense down the field. Free Pick: Take the OVER 46 -110 - Courtesy of Matt Foust

Below are the current NFL football betting Week 5 power rankings-ratings-poll courtesy of Alex Smart, An award-winning professional football handicapper featured on Touthouse.com. If you are betting on football be sure to Buy Alex’s expert NFL picks

1: Tennessee Titans (4-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) Tennessee holds the top spot in the poll with their 30-17 beating of the Vikes as 3-point favorites. Titans bettors haven’t had anything to worry about this year, as the 10-point victory against the spread was the closest game they’ve played to the football betting line this year. They’ve got the longest streak of covering spreads in the land at five games.
Next Up: Away @ Ravens (-3)

2: Baltimore Ravens (3-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) (LW: 4) The Ravens had the Steelers dead to rights on MNF last week, but came up just short of an outright victory. Their 3-point OT loss was good enough to cover the spread though, which is great news for Baltimore bettors who only went 3-13 a year ago. They’ll hook up with the only other unbeaten team left in the league this weekend.
Next Up: Home vs. Titans (-3)

3: Buffalo Bills (3-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 5) Buffalo has been awfully impressive this year, and that continued when they whooped the Rams 25-0 in the 2nd half and putting Scott Linehan out of a job once and for all. They take on the Cards this week, a team that they’ve covered in each of their L/4 meetings.
Next Up: Away @ Cardinals (+1)

4: New York Giants (2-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) (LW: 6) The G-Men were off last week after failing to cover against the Bengals. Though Giants bettors were losers that day, they’re still 8-4 ATS in their L/12 games as favorites.
Next Up: Home vs. Seahawks (-7.5)

5: Washington Redskins (3-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 15) For a team that was only picked to win 7.5 games this season, the Skins have been quite impressive under first year HC Jim Zorn. They picked up a huge outright victory as double-digit dogs in “Big D” over the weekend. Washington will put their three game winning streak on the line this week in Philadelphia.
Next Up: Away @ Eagles (+5.5)

6: Philadelphia Eagles (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 2) Philly couldn’t find a way to capitalize on their chances against the Bears on Sunday, and it cost their bettors a chance at moving to 4-0 on the season. They’ll return to the City of Brotherly Love this week, a place where they’ve outscored their L/3 opponents by an average of 17.3 ppg.
Next Up: Home vs. Redskins (-5.5)

7: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 12) Tampa Bay just keeps finding ways to win games and cover spreads for their football bettors. In spite of three interceptions by Brian Griese, the Bucs found a way to cover the Pack. Since the ’04 season, Tampa Bay has gone just 4-9-1 ATS against teams from the AFC or NFC West, and they’ll hope to reverse that trend this week.
Next Up: Away @ Broncos (+3)

8: Chicago Bears (2-1-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) (LW: 13) The Eagles might’ve scored 20 points last Sunday night, but don’t let the numbers fool you. The Bears defense was dominating, bailing out an offense that turned the ball over four times. It’s not quite a bye week this week for Chicago, but it’s the next best thing. They’re headed to the Motor City.
Next Up: Away @ Lions (-3.5)

9: New Orleans Saints (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 16) NFL bettors backing the Saints moved to 3-1 on the year when New Orleans knocked off the 49ers by two TDs as short favorites. It could be a short-lived winning streak, as the Vikings have both won and covered the last three games against New Orleans.
Next Up: Home vs. Vikings (-3.5)

10: Dallas Cowboys (2-2 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 3) There are chinks in the armor of the Cowboys after all. They were beaten as double-digit favorites at home against the Skins this week, largely due to the fact that they haven’t forced a turnover all season. That should change this week if Carson Palmer isn’t ready to go for the Bengals.
Next Up: Home vs. Bengals (OTB)

11: Oakland Raiders (2-2 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 9) Oakland bettors were robbed of a winning ticket last week after being outscored 25-3 in the 4th quarter by the Chargers. It also wasn’t a good week for those who bet on Lane Kiffin to be the first coach fired this year, as Scott Linehan beat him to it.
Next Up: Bye

12: Green Bay Packers (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 8 ) There’s lots of bad news in Green Bay right now. Losing to the Bucs might be the better news from Week 4, as Aaron Rodgers hurt his throwing shoulder and might not play this week. The good news is that Atlanta is next up.
Next Up: Home vs. Falcons (-7)

13: Carolina Panthers (2-1-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 17) The Panthers are quietly 3-1 and tied for the top spot in the NFC South after cashing another winning ticket against the Falcons last week. They play their 2nd AFC West opponent of the year, a division they have a good history against. Since 2000, Carolina is 6-3 ATS.
Next Up: Home vs. Chiefs (-10)

14: Atlanta Falcons (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 7) In their two road games this season, the Falcons have lost by the identical scores of 24-9. They’ve now lost 10 out of 11 games away from the Georgia Dome, and now the head to Green Bay, a place they haven’t visited since the ’03 playoffs.
Next Up: Away @ Packers (+7)

15: San Diego Chargers (2-1-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 19) No one could fault Chargers bettors who laid the nine-points against the Raiders for ripping up their ticket when the Bolts trailed 15-0 at halftime and 15-3 after three quarters. They responded by outscoring Oakland 25-3 in the 4th to find the backdoor. San Diego is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS against the Fins, this week’s opponent.
Next Up: Away @ Dolphins (-7)

16: San Francisco 49ers (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 11) Niners bettors ripped up their betting ticket for the tenth time in their L/12 meetings with the Saints this past Sunday. They return to the Bay Area this weekend, a place where they’ve covered the spread in three of their L/4 games.
Next Up: Home vs. Patriots (+3)

17: Denver Broncos (1-2-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 10) That thud you heard was the sound of the Broncos bandwagon careening into a ditch. As 9.5-point road favorites, Denver laid a massive egg, dropping to the Chiefs by two touchdowns. The Bucs are averaging over five yards per carry this year, so they must be licking their chops after watching the Broncos give up 198 yards to Larry Johnson last week.
Next Up: Home vs. Buccaneers (-3)

18: New York Jets (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 25) It took Brett Favre just four games to do something with the Jets that he never did in his entire career with the Packers: Throw six TDs in a game. New York took care of the Cards with ease and will now enjoy their bye week.
Next Up: Bye

19: Arizona Cardinals (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 14) It’s not often that you can throw for 472 yards, have three 100+ yard receivers, and score 35 points in a half of football… and lose… That’s what Arizona pulled off last Sunday against the Jets, delivering a blow to Cards bettors. They stay in the AFC East this week when Buffalo visits the desert, a place where Arizona has covered in six of their L/9 games.
Next Up: Home vs. Bills (-1)

20: Indianapolis Colts (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) (LW: 21) Following their bye week, the Colts are set to embark on a stretch of six out of nine games on the road. That’s good news for Indy bettors, as they are 7-4 ATS and 10-1 SU in their L/11 outside of Indianapolis.
Next Up: Away @ Texans (-3)

21: Miami Dolphins (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) (LW: 22) The Fins were off last weekend, and hope to ride the momentum from their massive win in New England two weeks ago. They travel west to take on the Chargers this weekend. History is on Miami’s side, as the Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their L/11 games against AFC West opponents.
Next Up: Away @ Chargers (+7)

22: Cleveland Browns (2-2 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 28) Browns bettors caught a big break when Carson Palmer didn’t suit for the Bengals. They’ll take their 20-12 win in Cincy into their bye week, where HC Romeo Crennel will have to figure out whether he wants to stick with Derek Anderson or turn the quarterback reigns over to Brady Quinn.
Next Up: Bye

23: Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 18) Jacksonville bettors should be getting used to dramatic finishes. QB David Garrard put the Jags on his back to lead them to a come-from-behind victory over the Texans on Sunday, but it wasn’t enough to give J’Ville bettors a winning ticket. They’ll hope to return to their winning ways next week against the Steelers, a team they’ve covered against in eight of their L/9.
Next Up: Home vs. Steelers (-3)

24: Kansas City Chiefs (2-2 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 30) The Chiefs might be 2-2 ATS, but we’re still not buying what HC Herm Edwards is selling. KC earned a nice 33-19 victory over Denver, but they’ll move further up the power poll if they can break a three-game ATS losing streak to the NFC South next weekend.
Next Up: Away @ Panthers (+10)

25: Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 20) The gritty Steelers found a way to erase a 10-point deficit at halftime against the Ravens to pound out a 23-20 victory, but it came at a steep price. RB Rashard Mendenhall is out for the season, and they’ll be forced to go up against a very physical Jacksonville team next week with their third and fourth team running backs.
Next Up: Away @ Jaguars (+3)

26: New England Patriots (1-2 ATS, 2-1 SU) (LW: 23) With QB Tom Brady sidelined, the Pats rank near the bottom of a ton of offensive categories. If New England bettors have anything to fall back on this week, it’s that they’ve dominated the NFC West. In their L/10 games against that division, the Pats are 9-1 SU and a perfect 10-0 ATS.
Next Up: Away @ 49ers (-3)

27: Seattle Seahawks (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) (LW: 26) Hopefully for Seahawks bettors, QB Matt Hasselbeck spent his bye week learning the names of all of his new receivers. Injuries have killed Seattle at the WR position, and that’s bad news against a Giants defense which ranks in the Top-5 in the NFL. Giants Stadium has been a nightmare for Seattle for quite some time. They’re 0-9 SU in the Meadowlands since 1985.
Next Up: Away @ Giants (+7.5)

28: Houston Texans (1-2 ATS, 0-3 SU) (LW: 27) Texans bettors got a much deserved victory in their 30-27 overtime loss in Jacksonville last week, but that won’t be any consolation to HC Gary Kubiak. The good news is that the team will play its first game at Reliant Stadium next week. The bad news is that they’re playing the Colts, a team that has outscored them 368-199 in their 12 games in team history.
Next Up: Home vs. Colts (+3)

29: Minnesota Vikings (1-3 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 24) Aside from one really good half against the Panthers last week, Minnesota bettors haven’t had much to blow their horns over. They got whooped 30-17 as 3-point underdogs in Tennessee last week, and now QB Gus Frerotte will try to reverse Minnesota’s recent road hex in New Orleans. The Vikes are just 3-5-2 ATS and 3-7 SU in their L/10 games away from the Metrodome.
Next Up: Away @ Saints (+3.5)

30: Cincinnati Bengals (1-3 ATS, 0-4 SU) (LW: 27) After not showing up on an injury report until late in the week, QB Carson Palmer threw a wrench into the works for Bengals bettors who laid the points against the Browns. Even though backup Ryan Fitzpatrick is a Harvard graduate, it didn’t take any Ivy Leaguer to figure out how little of a chance Cincy had in this one. The line ballooned to Cleveland -1 at the close, and the Browns won 20-12.
Next Up: Away @ Cowboys (OTB)

31: Detroit Lions (0-3 ATS, 0-3 SU) (LW: 31) HC Rod Marinelli should have plenty of motivation for his Lions this week. Not only is Matt Millen no threat to walk through the door, but they are 3-0 ATS in their L/3 meetings with this week’s opponent.
Next Up: Home vs. Bears (+3.5)

32: St. Louis Rams (0-4 ATS, 0-4 SU) (LW: 32) Somehow, Rams bettors just had to have a sick feeling about their game with Buffalo even though they led 14-6 at halftime. They were catching 9.5-points on the NFL betting line, but getting outscored 25-0 in the 2nd half spelled yet another loss for St. Louis. There’s no truth yet to the rumor that the Rams are underdogs to the bye week in Week 6.
Next Up: Bye

Week 4 NFL Football Power Rankings-Ratings Courtesy of Alex Smart, An Award Winning Professional Football Handicapper featured on Touthouse.com. If you are betting NFL football this Sunday..Click Here to Buy Alex’s Expert NFL Picks

NFL Football Power Rankings for Week 4 NFL
1: Tennessee Titans (3-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) There is no doubt that the Titans have been the most clutch team for NFL bettors this year. They beat both Jacksonville and Cincinnati outright as underdogs, and then crushed the Texans 31-12 last week as 4.5-point favorites. However, Week 4 has been awful to Tennessee of late. They’re just 1-9 ATS in their L/10 Week 4 games.
Next Up: Home vs. Vikings (-3)

2: Philadelphia Eagles (3-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) The Eagles have a good gripe for the top spot in the power poll as well. Last week, they knocked off Pittsburgh 15-6 as 3.5-point home favorites. They’re now 5-1 ATS in their L/6 games overall.
Next Up: Away @ Bears (-3.5)

3: Dallas Cowboys (2-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) The Cowboys could be the best team in the NFL, but they’re not spotless for their football bettors. Still, at 2-1, Dallas has been impressive, especially after they covered the spread as short favorites in Green Bay on Sunday Night Football last week. They have a hefty spread to cover this week at home against the Skins.
Next Up: Home vs. Redskins (-11)

4: Baltimore Ravens (2-0 ATS, 2-0 SU) There hasn’t been much respect for the Ravens yet in ’08, and no wonder. They went 3-13 ATS last season. The Joe Flacco era has begun with a bang this year though, as Baltimore is 2-0 and has beaten the spread by an average of 12-points per game.
Next Up: Away @ Steelers (+8)

5: Buffalo Bills (2-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) With Tom Brady on the sidelines for the season, the Bills have a great shot to win the AFC East. Even though they didn’t cover the 10-point spread against Oakland last week, they’re still a very impressive 2-1 ATS. The loss snapped a streak of six out of seven covers dating back to last year.
Next Up: Away @ Rams (-9.5)

6: New York Giants (2-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) The defending champs opened the season with two very impressive covers against Washington and St. Louis. Last week, they almost tripped up against the Bengals, needing overtime to take out Cincy. The ATS defeat snapped the league’s longest streak of covering the spread at eight games.
Next Up: Bye

7: Atlanta Falcons (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) Give credit to Matt Ryan and the Falcons for tallying two very impressive victories in their first three games of the season. They whooped Detroit and Kansas City by an average of 17.5 ppg ATS. Now they head to Carolina, a place where they won 20-13 as 3.5-point underdogs a year ago.
Next Up: Away @ Panthers (+7)

8: Green Bay Packers (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) The Pack ran into a buzz saw last Sunday night against the Cowboys, but that shouldn’t take away from their first two covers of the season. Good news for Green Bay fans is that two NFC South teams are on the horizon. They’re 7-1 ATS in their L/8 games against the division.
Next Up: Away @ Buccaneers (+1)

9: Oakland Raiders (2-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) Even though Lane Kiffin is clearly in his last days as the head coach in Oakland, his team has responded to the controversy by covering back-to-back games. Their luck could run out this week, as the visiting Chargers are 9-1 ATS against the silver and black over the L/5 years.
Next Up: Home vs. Chargers (+9)

10: Denver Broncos (1-1-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) Broncos bettors have deserved better luck this season. After pushing the spread against the Chargers in Week 2, they had the Saints dominated last week, only to let New Orleans hit the backdoor with a 13-3 rally to end the game. Denver covered the spread against this week’s opponent, Kansas City, in both of their match-ups last season.
Next Up: Away @ Chiefs (-9.5)

11: San Francisco 49ers (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) After dropping their opening game at home to Arizona, the Niners suddenly look like a legitimate NFC West contender. They’ve scored 30+ points in each of their L/2 games, both wins and both covers. San Fran is just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 meetings with their next opponent, New Orleans.
Next Up: Away @ Saints (+6)

12: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) All looked lost for Bucs bettors last week when they trailed the Bears in the “Windy City” by two scores late in the 4th. QB Brian Griese rallied the troops for an OT victory, the second straight Bucs cover.
Next Up: Home vs. Packers (-1)

13: Chicago Bears (1-1-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) The Bears successfully snapped defeat from the jaws of victory against the Bucs last Sunday, and now are stuck facing the red hot Eagles this week. Soldier Field hasn’t been kind to Chicago bettors of late, as they are just 4-10 ATS in their L/14 home games.
Next Up: Home vs. Eagles (+3.5)

14: Arizona Cardinals (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) The Cardinals took advantage of a weak schedule to move to 2-0 SU and ATS, but ran into trouble last week in Washington. They never led against the Redskins, and never had much of a chance to cover the spread at +3. Things may not get easier this week in New York, as the Cards are 4-8 ATS in their L/12 against the AFC East.
Next Up: Away @ Jets (+1)

15: Washington Redskins (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) Back-to-back covers as short favorites has to give Washington some confidence after getting throttled 16-7 in the Meadowlands on opening night. The loss snapped a streak of three consecutive covers against the NFC East. The Skins will hope to return to their winning ways against the Cowboys and Eagles the next two weeks.
Next Up: Away @ Cowboys (+11)

16: New Orleans Saints (2-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) The Saints might have fallen a Martin Gramatica field goal short of beating the Broncos last week, but they did stay within the 5-points for their football bettors. TE Jeremy Shockey was added to a lengthy injury list this week, so covering six-points against San Fran might be difficult.
Next Up: Home vs. 49ers (-6)

17: Carolina Panthers (1-1-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) It appears as though the Panthers have crashed back to reality after opening up the season with a resounding win against San Diego. After leading 10-0 in Minnesota, the Vikes rolled off 20 straight points, costing Panthers bettors a sure-fire winning ticket. Carolina is just 3-7-1 in their L/11 home games.
Next Up: Home vs. Falcons (-7)

18: Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) It was a must-win game for the 0-2 Jags in Indianapolis last week, and football bettors got just what the doctor ordered. Jacksonville won 23-21 on a game-winning field goal as time expired, and will hope to keep their streak going against lowly Houston this week.
Next Up: Home vs. Texans (-9)

19: San Diego Chargers (1-1-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) After two very lackluster performances, the Chargers of old finally made their first appearance on Monday Night Football against the Jets. Though many thought they were ripe to be upset, San Diego not only beat New York, but beat them senseless. They’ll hope to keep that momentum going in Oakland this week, a place where they have covered six straight games.
Next Up: Away @ Raiders (-9)

20: Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2 ATS, 2-1 SU) In their L/2 games, both on the road, Pittsburgh has only managed to score 16 total points. Football bettors could be in for another long week, as the Steelers have only beaten the NFL betting line once in their L/6 meetings.
Next Up: Home vs. Ravens (-6)

21: Indianapolis Colts (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) It’s been a very frustrating season for Indy bettors this season, particularly in their new home, Lucas Oil Stadium. Their loss to Jacksonville last week marked their second consecutive home loss. The last time the Colts lost back-to-back home games was in 2001.
Next Up: Bye

22: Miami Dolphins (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) Hello Miami! The Fins hadn’t showed a pulse in almost two years, but on Sunday, they posted a tremendous victory over the Pats as 12.5-point underdogs. They could be in a decent spot to pick up another ‘W’ after their bye week, as they are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their L/6 meetings against the Chargers, whom they’ll meet in two weeks.
Next Up: Bye

23: New England Patriots (1-2 ATS, 2-1 SU) The NFL’s longest winning streak came to a close against the Dolphins last week, and boy was it a disappointment. They were -12.5 and got whooped by 25 points against the winless Fins. Fortunately, they have a bye week to lick their wounds, but they’re out on the West coast the two weeks to follow.
Next Up: Bye

24: Minnesota Vikings (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) Minnesota bettors picked up their first ‘W’ of the season when they took out the Panthers 20-10 as 3.5-point favorites last Sunday. The Vikes rarely play next week’s opponent, Tennessee, but are 4-0 SU and ATS against the Titans since ’98.
Next Up: Away @ Titans (+3)

25: New York Jets (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) Brett Favre is battling an ankle injury, and the Jets don’t appear to be ready for lift-off any time in the near future. The last two weeks, they have failed to cover the spread by an average of nine ppg. They return home this week, and that probably means more bad news. New York is just 2-6-1 ATS in their L/8 home games.
Next Up: Home vs. Cardinals (-1)

26: Seattle Seahawks (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) After failing to cover the teaser number in either of their first two games, the Seahawks responded by destroying the Rams 37-13 at home last Sunday. That broke a spurt of four out of five regular season games where they failed to cover.
Next Up: Bye

27: Cincinnati Bengals (1-2 ATS, 0-3 SU) The Bengals might be one of the worst five teams in football, but at least they can say that they pushed the defending champs to the brink. They never trailed the 13-point spread against the G-Men last weekend, giving Cincy bettors their first cover of the season. In their L/7 games after covering the spread, the Bengals are just 1-6 ATS.
Next Up: Home vs. Browns (-3.5)

28: Cleveland Browns (1-2 ATS, 0-3 SU) Last year might’ve been a dream for Cleveland bettors, going 12-4 ATS, but 2008 hasn’t seen that luck continue. The Browns are 1-2 ATS and haven’t had a real chance of producing a straight up ‘W’ yet. As a result, NFL bettors might get their first look at Brady Quinn as a starting QB sooner than later.
Next Up: Away @ Bengals (+3.5)

29: Houston Texans (0-2 ATS, 0-2 SU) Texans bettors deserved much better than a 19-point defeat in Tennessee last weekend. They came up empty on several red zone trips in the second half, which was capped off by a 99-yard INT return for a touchdown on the final meaningful drive of the game. They’ve now failed to cover in eight of their L/9 road games.
Next Up: Away @ Jaguars (+9)

30: Kansas City Chiefs (1-2 ATS, 0-3 SU) There really appears to be no hope for the Chiefs this year. KC bettors got fortunate with the injury to Tom Brady in Week 1, but they haven’t even come close to covering a spread since. Last week in Atlanta, they lost by 24 as 6.5-point underdogs. No one should mention to HC Herm Edwards that they lost to Denver 41-7 the last time they hooked up…
Next Up: Home vs. Broncos (+9.5)

31: Detroit Lions (0-3 ATS, 0-3 SU) The only thing giving the Lions the nod over St. Louis is the fact that they finally fired Matt Millen. There’s more good news in Detroit this week too… Even the Lions should figure out how to avoid a loss to the bye week.
Next Up: Bye

32: St. Louis Rams (0-3 ATS, 0-3 SU) Sports bettors who have been super teasing the Rams every week aren’t very happy right now. Not only has St. Louis gone 0-3 ATS, they’ve failed to cover each of those games by at least 13-points. The good news is if they lose to Buffalo this week by the same margin as they did the last time they played each other, Rams bettors will only lose by 11.5-points.
Next Up: Home vs. Bills (+9.5)

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Green Bay Packers +1.0 (-110) NFL Odds - Sunday, September 28th ‘08 1:00p
The Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers renew their Bay of Pigs rivalry from the old NFL Central days this week, and we look for the cold-climate Packers to prevail in the Florida heat. The Buccaneers have been a pleasant surprise at 2-1, and they could easily be 3-0 as they blew a late lead in their only loss at New Orleans. Still, Brian Griese is coming off of a career day in a 27-24 overtime victory vs. the Chicago Bears, passing for 407 years while throwing the ball an ungodly 67 times. Simply put, Griese is not good enough to have two solid games in a row, and if the Tampa Bay running game gets stuffed again, we feel that the Bucs would be in for a very long day. Do not forget that for all the yardage that Griese passed for last week, he did also toss three interceptions. Meanwhile, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers must be salivating at the opportunity to pass against a Tampa Bay secondary that was shredded b Kyle Orton of all people last week. If the likes of Brandon Lloyd could garner 134 receiving yards vs. the Bucs, how are they supposed to contain the duo of Greg Jennings and Donald Driver? The answer is probably that they cannot, so look for Rodgers to pass the Pack to a big road win. NFL Free Pick: Packers +1 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits
 
Minnesota Vikings +3.0 (-110) Football Odds - Sunday, September 28th ‘08 1:00p
We feel that this matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and the Tennessee Titans is a battle between a slightly underrated team and a slightly overrated team, and that the underrated team is the underdog. Remember that the Vikings were the preseason pick by many to win the NFC North, but many people soured on them after an 0-2 start. Well, they could have gone 2-0 in those games with any quarterback play whatsoever, and they did indeed break through the win column vs. the Carolina Panthers last week after finally making the switch to Gus Frerotte under center. Meantime, the Titans are 3-0 but they have yet to face a team that is capable of stopping the run. That is not the case here vs. a Minnesota defense that is surrendering a miniscule 70.3 rushing yards per game on 3.2 yards per rush, and we do not trust Kerry Collins to stand in vs. probably the best defensive line in all of football. Finally, this game means a lot more to the Vikings, as they are still chasing the Green Bay Packers while the Titans already have a two-game lead in the AFC South. Look for an outright upset. NFL Free Pick: Vikings +3 (-110) - Courtesy of LT Profits

Philadelphia Eagles -3.0 (-110) - Sunday September 28th ‘08 8:15p
The (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS) Philadelphia Eagles stroll into Soldier Field for its Week 4 battle with the (1-2 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) Chicago Bears riding high after dominating the Pittsburgh Steelers at “The Linc” last Sunday. The same can’t be said about Chicago who choked another one away in the second half against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Philadelphia has dominated the last six of the recent series going 5-1 SU but just 3-3 ATS. Philadelphia bounced back in style off its MNF loss to division rival Dallas its last time out against in-state rival Pittsburgh. Even though the 15-6 final verdict doesn’t portray a beatdown, don’t let the final score deceive you. Philly dominated from the onset limiting the Steelers to less than 200 total yards of offense, forced three turnovers, and sacked Pitt QB Ben Roethlisberger nine freaking times. The nine point victory cashed Philly bettors tickets laying the 3.5-points, and the combined 21 points never seriously threatened the closing ‘total’ of 44.5. The ATS cash was the birds third straight to start their ‘08 campaign, and they’ve rattled off six straight pointspread covers per the closing NFL lines. Last weeks OT loss at home to Tampa was extremely tough for Chicago to swallow, but even more so for NFL sportsbettors that backed them as three-point home chalks. The Bears held a 10-point lead with less than four minutes to go in the game, but somehow managed to allow Brian Griese and the Bucs offense to rattle off 10 straight points to force the extra session. After the defense pinned the Bucs deep in their own territory, CB Charles Tillman got caught defending his teammate and got flagged for unnecessary roughness allowing the Bucs drive to continue. Already exhausted, the Bears “D” let up a number of big pass plays that allowed Matt Bryant to nail the chip shot eight yarder to seal the Bears fate. Chicago’s now a pathetic 4-10 ATS its L/14 overall home games; look for McNabb and the “Iggles” to avenge last years shocking home loss with ease….. - Courtesy of Mike Rose

Kansas City Chiefs +10.0 - Sunday Sep 28 ‘08 1:00p
Sunday afternoons conflict between the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos is a game that has the public money pouring in all over the Broncos. Denver right now are media darlings , after coming out of the gate with 3 straight victories , including back and forth exiting wins against the high flying Saints and Chargers. Most of the pundits are caught up in Broncomania while at the same time, taking note of the Chiefs current 0-3 start, and unlucky 13 game SU losing streak that dates back to last season. I know the Broncos QB Jay Cutler(914 yds,8 TDs) is a top flight talent with some surprising down field weapons , but what a lot of pundits are ignoring is their extremely vulnerable defense. With that said,look for KC QB Damon Huard and his under performing but viable down field weapons to open the playbook, for some surprising success, against a Denver defensive secondary, that is giving up 316 passing yards per game. It is never easy laying money down on a downtrodden team like the Chiefs, but you have to remember this is a long standing divisional rivalry that is sure to bring out the best in the home dog. Final notes & Key Trends: Denver has failed to cover 13 of their L/17 against division foes. Home team is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings. I’ll call this wager, my Ugly Betty Game of the Week. Best of luck, and God Bless. Play on the Chiefs - Courtesy of Alex Smart

If you are betting monday night football this evening, be sure to check out Touthouse.com for the winning pick between the San Diego Chargers and the New York Jets

Did you get caught up in Jets mania last week and do some NFL betting on Brett Favre and company to beat the Patriots? If you did you lost some cash; New England might not have Tom Brady, but they still have enough to get past the Jets by a 19-10 margin.

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That loss puts New York at 1-1 straight up heading into Monday night’s game against the winless Chargers in San Diego. And Favre will be looking to put up bigger numbers this week than he did against the Pats; the new Jets QB went an efficient 18-of-26 last week, but that was only good for 181 yards. Favre also tossed a fourth-quarter TD strike

The Chargers have lost each of their first two games so far this season, with a blown call by referee Ed Hochuli sealing their fate in a 39-38 loss to the Broncos last weekend. Philip Rivers went 21-of-33 for 377 yards passing in that defeat, with three touchdowns and one interception. Chris Chambers had four catches for 83 yards and two TDs on the day, and LaDainian Tomlinson was held to just 26 yards on the ground on 10 rushes

So far this season the Jets and Chargers are a combined 1-2-1 against-the-spread, with New York 1-1, and San Diego 0-1-1. New York’s cover came against the Dolphins, when they were 3-point road favorites. San Diego pushed on the road against Denver last weekend. Both San Diego games have been OVERs; New York has two UNDERs.

The last time the Chargers and Jets battled was on November 6, 2005 at New York. San Diego came away with a 31-26 road victory in that contest, although New York managed to cover as 6-point home ‘dogs. The total went OVER the posted 40 points.

The Chargers vs. Jets Betting Odds at BetUS sportsbook is siding with the Chargers for Monday night, as they’re listed as 8.5-point favorites. The total for the contest is pegged at 44.5 points. As well, you can get San Diego at -420 on the moneyline, with New York the +330 underdog to win.