Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers
Betting Line: New York -135 Over/Under 5 (May 24th 2015)
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Rangers are 30-9 in their last 39 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Rangers are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Rangers are 39-15 in their last 54 Sunday games. Rangers are 52-21 in their last 73 overall. Lightning are 10-3 in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Lightning are 6-2 in their last 8 Sunday games. Lightning are 5-2 in their last 7 road games. Lightning are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Lightning are 13-33 in their last 46 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 7-2-1 in Rangers last 10 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 6-2-1 in Rangers last 9 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games following a win. Over is 5-1-1 in Lightning last 7 following a loss of 3 or more goals. Over is 4-1 in Lightning last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 4-1 in Lightning last 5 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 20-6-2 in Lightning last 28 Sunday games. Over is 3-1-1 in Lightning last 5 overall.
Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Lightning are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Lightning are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
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Anaheim Ducks vs. Chicago Blackhawks
NHL Betting Prediction: Over 5 goals (May 17th 2015)
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The Anaheim Ducks will host the Chicago Blackhawks for the opener of 2015’s Western Conference finals. Both teams have impressed so far in the playoffs with the Ducks winning all but one game and the Blackhawks suffering just two defeats. This is a contest to close to call, but I do expect to see plenty of offense.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Firepower – The Ducks dynamic duo are dominating these playoffs, with Corey Perry leading all scorers with 15 points, and Ryan Getzlaf not far behind with 12. Patrick Kane is second in scoring with 13 points, and that means three of the top five playoff scorers will suit up for this game .
2. Road Warriors – The Blackhawks defeated the Ducks in both meetings at the Duck Pond during the regular season, out-scoring them 8-2 in those contests.
3. X-Factor – The Over is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 Conference Finals games.
Selection: This is a play on Chicago@Anaheim to go OVER the total (Free)
Anaheim Ducks vs. Calgary Flames
NHL Betting Prediction: Under 5.5 goals (May 8th 2015)
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I think we’re getting pretty good value on the UNDER today. After the Flames crazy come from behind 4-3 win in OT in Game 3, I believe we’re going to see a much more methodically paced affair this evening. Game 1 also saw seven total goals, while Game 2 was the lone low-scoring affair, an eventual 3-0 win for the Ducks. Frederik Anderson has for the most part been as solid as you could possibly hope for so far in the postseason for Anaheim and there’s no reason not to suspect that he’ll bounce back with a much better overall effort tonight. The Flames have gotten adequate goaltending so far in the postseason with Hiller and Ramo. Note that the Ducks have seen the total go UNDER the number in a whopping 14 of 18 this year when playing with two days of rest, while the Flames have seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of 16 in the same position. Consider a second look at the UNDER in Game 4 between the Ducks and Flames.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators
NHL Playoffs Pick: Montreal +120 odds (April 19th 2015)
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The Habs did not disappoint home at Montreal as they’re coming to Ottawa with a 2-0 lead in this Eastern Conference quarter-finals series. I’m looking for them to keep that momentum going with yet another win against the Sens tonight.
Ottawa looked nothing like a team for the playoffs for most of the season, but then in stepped Andrew “the Hamburglar” Hammond. He led Ottawa to wins, out-duelling opposing goaltenders left right and center, posting a 20-1-2 record with a 1.79 GAA in the season’s final two months. He’s not been quite as sharp so far in the post-season though, allowing seven goals on 81 shots over the two games combined and perhaps it’s the 27 year old’s lack of routine shining through. Keep in mind, this is his mere second season in the NHL after playing less than 35 minutes of NHL hockey last season. For the Sens to even stand a chance here Hammond has to out-duel Carey Price, which is not an easy task to say the least. Keep in mind that three of the Sens five goals so far in the series have come on the man advantage, and you’ll realize how sharp Price has been with the team at full strength.
While I can appreciate that the Sens won 11 of 14 at home to close out the regular season, I don’t put much emphasis on that now. This is the playoffs, and the team must already be somewhat demoralized after back-to-back losses. Getting Montreal at this kind of price here is a bargain, and then we might consider taking a look at the Sens in Game 4 instead.
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New York Islanders vs. Washington Capitals
NHL Pick: Islanders +116 odds (April 15th 2015)
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The NY Islanders and the Washington Capitals finsihed the year looking like their pretty evenly matched with 101 points each. But what the pundits continually harp on is the Capitals amazing power play behind Ovechkin the NHL goal scoring leader. Most seem to think this will be the difference maker in this series. Granted the Russian sniper is a run away bull and super star, but the Isles power play killing is vastly under rated. Yes, I know their numbers were bad this year, but they did play much of the campaign without who I consider the most under rated x factor on the pk in the league- Micheal Grabner, who is said to be healthy now. This speedster keeps opposing teams on alert and from pinching to much out of fear that Grabner will burn them. Even if Grabner, does not play tonight, it must also be noted that towards the end of the year the Isles, PK was much improved , The Isles PK has been ninth in the NHL in FA/60 since February 1st and seventh since March 1st. Also The Isles do not take a lot of penalties, and the Caps do , so power play out put via a graphical chart might not be a factor , because the Isles can also put the puck in the net with consistency with the man advantage.
Speed wise, no one in the league is faster than the Isles, and with an under rated array of scoring punch behind John Tavares, they must not be disrespected. Add to that the veteran prescense of Vishnovsky and Boychuck on defense, and former Stanly Cup winner Leddy this is formidable opponent with a top tier netminder in Halak between the pipes. Like the Beastie Boys said, No sleep till Brooklyn. That might be where the Islanders bring home the a championship next , but Nassau County Colisuem might still hold some post season magic, for one last kiss of Lord Stanleys Cup. So hold on folks, as Im betting the Islanders bring home the cash tonight and make life difficult for the Capitals in this series.
Play on the NY Islanders on the moneyline and to win the series 1/2 unit comp selection split evenly over both todays game and the futures.
Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens
NHL Betting Pick: Ottawa +130 odds (April 15th 2015)
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Unless your living under a rock, you all know the Senators are as hot as you can get! They have taken 3 of 4 from the Canadiens this season and expect tonight to be another win! Price was less than spectacular while splitting his two decisions versus Ottawa, while the Senators emerged victorious in the two other meetings. Ottawa, which resided 14 points out of a playoff berth on Feb. 10, posted a 23-4-4 record to secure the top wild-card position – and Hammond (20-1-2, 1.79 GAA, .941 save percentage) played an integral role in that surge. The first-year sensation won his first start with a 4-2 triumph over Montreal. The stats are all there for the Senators and the motivation factor as well.Rookie Mark Stone was named the NHL’s Third Star of the Week, scoring four goals and setting up another in three games – with two tallies coming in the playoff-clinching 3-1 victory over Philadelphia on Saturday afternoon. The Canadiens Max Pacioretty recorded a team-high 37 goals and league high-tying plus-38 rating, but his availability for Wednesday is in question after missing the last two contests following a crash into the boards against Florida on April 5. Even if he plays I do not believe he is 100% and will not be the same Pacioretty that we all know. Ottawa finished the season with an 11-0-3 record in its final 14 road contests, the longest such point streak in franchise history.Another motivating factor is the Senators assistant coach Mark Reeds passed away on Tuesday after a battle with cancer. He was 55. The team will come out strong tonight and beat the Canadiens on the road!
San Jose Sharks vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
Betting Pick: Pittsburgh -145 odds (March 29th 2015)
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Both clubs were in action yesterday as the San Jose Sharks won 3-2 in a shootout at Philadelphia to record a second consecutive win, while the Pittsburgh Penguins snapped a two game skid winning 3-2 against Arizona here in Pennsylvania. The Sharks have been on the road for quite some time now, and I like the price we get on the home team to equalize the season series tonight.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Motivational/Situational – The Sharks won the first meeting of the season 2-1 in a shootout on home-ice earlier this month. Now they’re playing the last game of a seven game road trek and one must wonder how much power do they have left, especially considering they’re all but out of contention of making the playoffs already. Pittsburgh’s motivation on the other hand is unquestionable as its coming in with revenge on its mind and is jostling with the Islanders and the Caps for second place in the Metropolitan Division behind the outstanding Rangers.
2. Injuries – The Penguins top scorer Evegni Malkin and Patric Hornqvist, third on the team for goals, were both back in the line-up yesterday as the duo has recovered from injuries. The Sharks are not quite as fortunate and are struggling particularly on the blue line with Marc-Edouard Vlasic and Mirco Mueller definitely out and Scott Hannan’s participation in jeopardy after he left Saturday’s game with a bloodied face.
3. X-Factor – Sidney Crosby is leading the NHL for points with his 78 on the season. He has 20 points over his last 14 games and was involved in each of the Pens goals last night tallying one goal and assisting two.
Selection: This is a play on the Pittsburgh Penguins
Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers
NHL Pick: Over 5.5 goals (March 27th 2015)
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The Dallas Stars have picked up pace at the end of the season, winning four straight and seven of their last eight. They’ve had little trouble finding the net in recent games and are visiting an Edmonton Oilers team that has lit up the lamp plenty of late as well. The Stars are coming into this game as a massive favorite, but I think the hosts will give them a run for their money in a high-scoring affair.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Offensive Qualities – Dallas has scored four goals in each of its last three games. Jamie Benn is on a four game point-streak over which he has notched four goals and four assists and he has one goal and two assists over the first two meetings with Edmonton on the season. Edmonton has won three of its last five while totaling 17 goals, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has four goals and three assists in those games. The last time Dallas and Edmonton faced off was on Dec 21st here in Edmonton in a game the Stars walked away as a 6-5 winner in a shootout.
2. Special Teams – The Stars have scored four goals over their last 13 opportunities to play with the man advantage and will be up against one of the worst penalty kill units in the NHL here. Edmonton was a perfect 1-for-1 on the power play its last time out, and has 12 goals over its last 38 chances.
3. X-Factor – Seven of the Stars last eight away from home have gone over the total.
Selection: This is a play on DAL@EDM to go over the total
Boston Bruins vs. Washington Capitals
Betting Prediction: Washington -134 odds (March 15th 2015)
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Take the Washington Capitals -134 as your NHL free pick for Sunday night. This pick falls into one of my top NHL systems and the Bruins are just 4-10 in their last 14 games when playing on back to back days. The Capitals are 18-7 in their last 25 games when playing with 1 days rest and 7-2 in their last 9 home games when playing a team that has a losing record on the road. The Capitals powerplay has been on fire converting at 41.7% over their last 5 games while the Bruins powerplay has struggled on the road this season converting at just 13.1%. The Bruins have won 5 straight while the Capitals have lost 2 straight and I look for the Capitals to play with more urgency today. The Bruins beat a Crosby-less Penguins club yesterday who were also without Malkin for most of the game otherwise that result would have been different and I look for the Capitals to take advantage of a tired Bruins club tonight. Play the Washington Capitals with confidence tonight as they snap their 2 game losing streak. In Winning, Vernon Croy
Dallas Stars vs. Carolina Hurricanes
NHL Betting Pick: Over 5.5 goals (March 12th 2015)
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The Dallas Stars and the Carolina Hurricanes have already been involved in one high-scoring thriller this season when the Canes prevailed 6-4 at Dallas. Both teams have struggled on defense of late, and I think we’ll be in for another high-scoring encounter when the teams clash at PNC Arena in Carolina tonight to close out the season series.
The Canes have opened a five game home-stand going 1-1-1, outscoring opponents 11-10. They’re off a 4-3 SO loss against Columbus Tuesday, and the over is 6-0 in their last six playing on one day of rest. Backup Anton Khudobin will go in goal, and he allowed three goals on only 19 shots against the Wild his last time out. He’ll be matched up against Kari Lehtonen who was chased off the ice after 36 minutes in the first meeting with the Canes over which he conceded four goals on 16 shots. He’s 15-5-2 away from home for the season, but it’s behind a swollen GAA of 2.82 and has often relied on being bailed out by a Stars offense that averages 3.03 goals per game on the road.
The Stars top scorer Tyler Seguin is riding a four game goal-streak against the Canes over which he has tallied five goals, and he’s likely to light up the lamp once or twice tonight. The over is 4-1 in the Stars last five on the road and 7-3 in their last 10 overall. I think this one will fly over as well.
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