Chicago Blackhawks vs. Philadelphia Flyers
Game 6 Prediction: Under 5.5 -110 odds (June 9th 2010)
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For a number of different reasons I believe this will be the tightest game of the Stanley Cup Final as the Flyers will look to stave off elimination and send this one back to Chicago for a Game 7; as a result the “under” offers up a great investment opportunity:

Another high-scoring affair in Game 5; after losing back-to-back games in Philadelphia, the Blackhawks looked better in all facets in front of their home town crowd.

Important to note though that Chicago has in fact seen the total go “under” the posted number in 9 of 15 games this year when playing with two or more days of rest.

On the other side of the rink: Michael Leighton was pulled for the second time in five Games in Sunday’s loss.

Peter Laviolette has yet to decide who will start Game 6, but keep in mind that Leighton is 6-0 with two shutouts in six playoff starts in front of the home town crowd; Brian Boucher has not started a game since Game 5 against the Bruins.

Also keep in mind that Philadelphia is 9-1 at the Wachovia Center during the playoffs.

The Flyers have seen the total go “under” the number in 20 of 29 games this year after allowing 4 goals or more in their previous contest; which means of course, that after a sub-par effort, this team comes out and plays much more aggressively on the defensive side of the puck.

Philadelphia has also seen the total go “under” the number in all four games its played this season after playing to three or more consecutive “overs”.

Bottom line: So far there have been 40 goals in this series; the most over five games of the Stanley Cup Final since 1981.

After a wide open affair in Game 5, I expect Game 6 to be a much tighter affair as each team will look to avoid making silly mistakes against its opportunistic opponent; when coupled with the extremely strong “under” trends that each exhibits in this position, you may want to consider taking a second look at the UNDER in this situation.

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