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Los Angeles Dodgers (145) – Wed October 1 ’08 6:35p
The Chicago Cubs are picked my many experts to win the World Series this year, not just for sentimental reasons but because of their deep pitching staff. Well, we actually do not feel that they have an edge in Game 1 vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers, and we are calling for an upset here. After all, has there been a better pitcher in baseball the last six weeks or so than Derek Lowe? Lowe has incredibly allowed two runs or less in nine straight starts, including four scoreless outings and four starts where he allowed exactly one run! Lowe also pitched well in two starts vs. the Cubs this year, allowing a total of three runs and 10 hits in 14 innings, and he has now posted Quality Starts in each of his last four starts vs. Chicago. Perhaps most importantly, you cannot underestimate the valuable post-season experience that Lowe gained while pitching the Boston Red Sox to the world championship in 2004. Now we realize that Ryan Dempster finished 17-6 with a remarkable 2.96 ERA for the Cubbies, but we are always leery about a pitcher that had a career year making his first post-season start. After all, Dempster is not a youngster, and no one could have possibly seen this season coming. We would not be surprised if the real Dempster resurfaces now with the playoff spotlight upon him. Finally, do not lose sight that the Dodgers have the stronger bullpen here, which becomes much more important in the playoffs when manager tend to have a much quicker hook. MLB Free Pick: Dodgers +145

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