Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals u8.5 (110) – Thu May 21 ’09 8:15p
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The St. Louis Cardinals have taken the first two games of this series with the Chicago Cubs by scored of 3-0 and 2-1, and we see a similarly low scoring game here tonight.

Cards starter Adam Wainwright has pitched much better at home this season than his 1-2 home mark would indicate, as he had a spiffy 3.16 ERA in this ballpark with a nice 1.24 WHIP in five starts. He tossed a gem in his last start, limiting the Milwaukee Brewers to only one run and two hits with seven strikeouts in eight innings, albeit to no avail in a tough-luck 1-0 loss. He also owns four Quality Starts in his last five starts vs. the Cubs over the last two years.

The Cubs counter with Sean Marshall, who has allowed three runs or less in four of his five starts this year including one vs. St. Louis. In fact, he has now allowed three runs or less in each of his last six career starts against the Cardinals. The southpaw should take advantage of a Redbirds lineup that is hitting just .222 vs. left-handed pitchers this season, including a pathetic .185 over the last 10 games!

The Under is now 13-3-1 in the last 17 road starts made by Marshall, and when we factor in the sharp home form of Wainwright, look for that to continue.

MLB Free Pick: Cubs, Cardinals Under 8.5 (+110)

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