Cleveland Browns vs. Minnesota Vikings
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The Vikings are going to be a popular team this season with the addition of Brett Favre. The public is all over them in this spot as road favorites and this is not even a typical road favorite as the number has crept up over that key number of three. I am a fan of the Minnesota running game as well as the defense but the quarterback situation brings in down to another level. Favre has spent very little time with the team and even if he has been reading the playbook all summer, his lack of experience with his players is a major liability this early in the season. Favre has yet to hook up with wide receiver Bernard Berrian in a game atmosphere as he suffered a hamstring injury in Minnesota’s exhibition game at Indianapolis and did not play in another preseason game. Cleveland should be an improved team this season and the simple reason for that is it will be playing harder as last season the Browns clearly quit on head coach Romeo Crennel. They limped in with six straight losses and an offense that seemed to have no clue, scoring a total of just 31 points in those final six contests. The main culprits were quarterbacks Bruce Gradkowski and Ken Dorsey who started four of those games between the two while Brady Quinn and Derek Anderson were involved in just one game each. Quinn was named the starting quarterback late this week and I think it was the right choice. I also think that it was a smart move on head coach Eric Mangini’s part to name the starter late as it gives the Vikings that much less time to prepare. I think the passing game can have some success against Minnesota. The Vikings had the best rush defense in the league last season but finished as the 18th ranked passing defense and allowed 7.1 ypa which was 21st in the league. One player who could bust out here is Braylon Edwards. He had some tough moments last season after having a fantastic season in 2007. This being a contract year means play gets stepped up and don’t be surprised to see it right from the start as he is a tough matchup for the Vikings secondary. His size, strength and athleticism give him the ability to out-battle the shorter cornerbacks. Minnesota is just 1-3 ATS in its four games under head coach Brad Childress as a road favorite. Cleveland meanwhile is on a 5-0-1 ATS run in its last six games as an underdog between 3.5 and 10 points. Dome teams coming outdoors is always a challenge and that is the case with Minnesota as it is 7-10 ATS outdoors including a 2-4 ATS record last season. 3* Cleveland Browns

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