New Mexico State vs. Idaho
Free Pick: Idaho +7.5 (-110) – Thu January 15th ’09 9:00p
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The New Mexico State Aggies are usually tough at home, but this has not been the case lately and they could be in trouble tonight vs. the improved Idaho Vandals.

Idaho is off to a respectable 8-8 start, which already matches their win total for all of last season (8-21). More importantly, they have been in practically every game and are currently riding a four-game winning streak against the spread.

The Vandals have improved on both sides of the floor, hitting on 47.6 percent of their field goal attempts on offense including a very good 37.3 percent of their three-point attempt, and they are limiting opponents to 42.6 percent shooting on defense. They have even improved their play on the road this season, where they are 5-3 ATS.

The Aggies have lost two straight games, both here at home, and they have in fact now lost their last three games in their own building. Sure, they have outscored their home opponents by a whopping average of +12.2 points, but all of that damage came vs. weak non-conference opponents. New Mexico State has lost their two WAC home games by an average of 9.0 points.

Now the Aggies won all three head-to-head meetings between these schools last season including a win in the WAC Tournament, but Idaho has closed the talent gap greatly this year and may be in line for revenge.

College Basketball Free Pick: Idaho +7.5 (-110) – Courtesy of LT Profits

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