Illinois vs. Wisconsin
Free Pick: Wisconsin -9 -110 odds
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3* graded play on Wisconsin as they take on Illinois in Big-10 action set to start at 7:00 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by 10 or more points. This is a significant game given that Wisconsin and Illinois are tied for 2nd in conference play sporting 8-3 marks. Among the top-5 teams in conference play, Illinois has the most losses with 8 and reflects the fact that Illinois has yet to play the elite conference teams. After Wisconsin tonight they have to face Ohio State and then Purdue. They close out the season at Ohio State and then Wisconsin again. Safe to say, in our opinion, that Illinois will end up a possible bubble team at best. Wisconsin is an excellent ball handling team and Illinois has not faired well against similar teams. They are -9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing <=14 turnovers/game this season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 104-58 ATS since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points and is a slow-down team averaging 53 or less shots/game on the season and after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better. Take Wisconsin.

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