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Home > Free Sports Picks, NCAA Basketball Picks > College Basketball Odds & Picks: February 12th 2008

College Basketball Odds & Picks: February 12th 2008

February 12th, 2008

Michigan State @ Purdue u132.0 (-110)
Tue February 12 ’08 7:00p
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The Michigan State Spartans and Purdue Boilermakers are both playing good defense this season, so we look for a low-scoring struggle tonight in this big game for both teams.

Purdue has been a major surprise at 19-5, and the Boilermakers are one of the hottest teams in the nation, as they have now won nine consecutive games after a huge win at Wisconsin Saturday. They are allowing just 60.0 points per game during this winnings streak, lowering they average for the entire season to 61.0 points allowed per game. Furthermore, they are allowing just 58.4 points per contest here at home.

The Spartans are no strangers to defense either, as they are allowing 62.4 points per game on a miniscule 39.0 percent shooting from the floor. Outside of one breakdown vs. Penn State, Michigan State has allowed 62 points or less in four of their last five games.

Finally, the last two head-to-head meetings here in Purdue have produced just a combined 100 and 125 points respectively, and we see this game not eclipsing 125 either.

CBB Free Pick: Michigan State, Purdue Under 132

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North Carolina -8.5
Tue Feb 12 ’08 8:00p

This play is the result of a successful computer model that has allowed Bob Akmens Sports to finish in first-place in 152 different categories of documented monitored handicapping contests since 1978. The computer models I’ve developed for each sport look at the most-predictive variables that go into the winning and losing of games. Several interesting factors in today’s play are as follows -

The NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS cover the spread when:
They just show up, folks: 16-5 ATS last 21
They show up on the road: 6-2 ATS last 8; 19-9 ATS last 28
They allow 80 or more points in their last game: 5-1 ATS last 6
They score 80 or more points in their last game: 12-4 last 16; 37-18 last 55

The VIRGINIA CAVALIERS fail to cover the spread when:
They’re a dog: 2-6 ATS last 8
They play an ACC Conference opponent: 2-7 ATS last 9
They play after they played a conference opponent: 2-6 ATS last 8
They play after a loss to a conference rival: 1-6 ATS last 7
They allow 80 or more points: 0-6 ATS last 6; 5-10 last 15

GO WITH NORTH CAROLINA -8.5 IN THIS 800PM EST MATCHUP.

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