College Basketball Picks: Buffalo vs. Western Michigan Odds: January 25th 2011
Laying points with Buffalo may not seem sound in this spot but this is ideal to me. Buffalo is coming off a huge come-from-behind win over Ohio on Saturday to remain in a tie for first place in the MAC East and Tuesday marks the first could of games where we have the East playing the West with the former being much superior. No team has better than a 3-2 record in the MAC East as everyone has been beating up on each other. Ohio, the preseason favorite, is 1-4 and still cannot be counted out.
All six teams in the East are separated by two games while the West is being overtaken by Ball St. which is 5-0 but all wins came against West opponents. Taking a look at power ratings, five of the top six spots in the MAC are held by East teams all of which are ranked 183rd or better while five of the bottom six teams are from the West, all of which are ranked 201st or worse with the bottom four being ranked 268th or worse. The point is laying points with the East on the road against the West is not an issue.
Buffalo is currently the highest ranked MAC team in the conference and rightfully so. Despite just a game and a half difference over Western Michigan, the Bulls are outscoring opponents by 7.4 ppg while the Broncos are getting outscored by 1.5 ppg. Buffalo is shooting 48 percent from the floor including 47.4 percent on the road and on the season it is outshooting opponents by 6.4 percent while Western Michigan is getting outshot by less than a percent. Backing this up is that Buffalo has played a tougher schedule.
The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a win while going 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. The role of road favorite has not been a problem for the Bulls of late as they are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite of three points or fewer. Western Michigan meanwhile, which is coming off a win against Northern Illinois, is 2-10 ATS coming off a conference in its last game over the last two seasons. 3* (517) Buffalo Bulls