Buffalo Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falcons
Free Pick: Bowling Green +8.0 (-110) – Wed February 18th 2009 7:00p
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The Buffalo Bulls have quietly gone 17-6 straight up this season, but they have not been trustworthy favorites, and we again do not trust them laying this many points vs. the Bowling Green Falcons this evening.

The Bulls had a nine-game straight up winning streak snapped in a 53-51 loss at Ball State on Sunday, but despite that success on the court, Buffalo is still just 1-4 against the spread in the last five games.

And yes, the Bulls were favored on all five occasions. They failed to cover at home vs. the likes of Central Michigan and Toledo during this stretch, and this Bowling Green team is better than both of those clubs.

The Falcons are 14-10 SU and an excellent 13-8 ATS this season, and they too had a winning streak snapped (six games) last game in an upset loss to Eastern Michigan. Still, they are a nice 7-3 ATS on the road thus far, and they are only losing those road contests by an average of -4.0 points, well inside this rather inflated spread.

Look for a tight game from start to finish here.

College Basketball Prediction: Bowling Green +8 (-110)

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