College Basketball Predictions: January 29th 2011
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Prediction: Cal State Fullerton +11.5
Long Beach State will be seeking a measure of revenge against Fullerton on Saturday night as they recently suffered a two-point loss at the hands of the Titans. In that contest CS took full advantage of LBS’s defensive weaknesses with all Fullerton starters scoring in double-digits in the win. As the season has progressed, CS has developed a balanced offensive attack one in which the 49ers should have trouble matching up against once again in this contest. The Titans have won six of the last seven meetings between these two squads and the fact that they continue to get solid play from all of their starters makes this an easy call especially catching double-digits from the lines-makers in this particular situation. A check of the database supports our recommendation on the Titans with a league-wide system that tells us to Play AGAINST CBB home favorites of 10 or more points after going over the total by 30 or more points in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55 percent on the season. This system has posted a record of 16-4 ATS the last three seasons. CS is 12-2 ATS off a close road loss by 3 points or less since 1997. CS is 22-8 ATS in road games after a loss by 6 points or less since 1997. CS is 9-0 ATS in road games after having won two of their last three games over the last 2 seasons. LBS is 0-11 ATS in home games after three straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 47 percent or higher since 1997. Take the generous points here, as revenge will not be enough to help the 49ers defeat the Titans on Saturday night. -Robbie Gainous

Prediction: Kansas State +11
I’ll take Kansas State Saturday over Kansas in a huge rivalry game in Big 12 play. After such a brutal start to the season with one of the toughest schedules in the land, the Wildcats are finally starting to show solid value and it’s going to pay off at the pay window. Kansas State has the talent to go on the road and beat a team like Kansas, they just haven’t put it all together for 40 minutes yet this season. I feel they will do just that tonight and stay within double-digits of a Kansas team that has proven to be very vulnerable. The Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Those six contests include an overtime victory over Michigan, a 5-point win at Iowa State, a 3-point home win over Nebraska, an 11-point home loss to Texas and a 4-point road win at Colorado. Like I said before, Kansas is vulnerable and are very fortunate to only have on loss this season. Kansas State is 11-1 ATS after 2 straight games where they were called for 22 or more fouls over the last 2 seasons. Kansas is 2-8 ATS versus very good teams – outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. Bet the Wildcats Saturday. -Jack Jones