Wisconsin Green Bay vs. Detroit
Free Pick: Wisconsin GB +7 -110 odds
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The chase for the regular season Horizon League championship is likely over tonight as with a win over Youngstown St., Butler will claim the outright title. That does not mean any of the remaining games are not important anymore. Teams still need to play for seedings and byes for the conference tournament and these games will go a long way in determining what takes place. The Bulldogs will have the number one seed but the team that finishes second will have a bye all the way until the semifinals and right now there are five teams that are within a game and a half of each other for second place. Two of those teams are squaring off tonight with Detroit being the worst of that five-team group so a loss will likely knock it out. That should get the motivation going for the Titans but at the same time it will also put a spark under Wisconsin-Green Bay to hold its position, currently tied for third place with Wright St. The Phoenix have a showdown with the Raiders on Saturday in Dayton but in order for that game to mean something, they need to take care of business here. The fact that we are getting a ton of points only adds to the value for a team that is actually going out to win a game. Wisconsin-Green Bay is a game better overall and in the conference yet it is getting a touchdown in this matchup. In a conference game this time of year pairing two fairly similar teams, you will normally see the line take the home floor into consideration and that is it. Right now, Wisconsin-Green Bay has a better power ranking, has played a tougher schedule and is a solid 6-4 on the road. Detroit comes in with a 10-3 record at home but I do not consider that to be dominating enough to constitute a rather large line. The Phoenix have the advantage at the free throw line and in assist/turnover ratio and those are two of the big categories. A third big one is in rebounding and while Detroit has the advantage there, Wisconsin-Green Bay is closing the gap. It has outrebounded five of its last six opponents, posting a 22-rebound advantage over that span (3.7 rpg). Prior to that stretch, the Phoenix had lost the battle of the boards against eight of their previous nine opponents. Wisconsin-Green Bay has won five straight meetings in this series including a two-point victory at home last month and while that means revenge comes into play, the matchups and the talent negate that factor here. 3* Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix

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