Miami vs. Clemson
Free Pick: Clemson +4.5 (-110 odds)
Sat October 24th 2009 3:30p
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There was talk of the Miami Hurricanes actually being in the national title picture until they suffered their only loss vs. Virginia Tech, but we never held them in such high regard and we would not be shocked if the Hurricanes suffer their second loss today vs. the Clemson Tigers.

Clemson may be 3-3, but all three of there losses have been by four points or less and they have actually been playing better defense than Miami has, allowing only 15.3 points and 270.2 yards per game. The Tigers have been stout vs. both the run (3.0 yards per carry) and the pass (5.6 yards per attempt).

They did have their worst performance of the season three weeks ago with an inexplicable 24-21 loss to lowly Maryland, but that was followed by a bye week during which they probably worked out a lot of kinks. We say this because they rebounded with their best game of the year last week, a 38-3 demolition over Wake Forest in which they outgained the Demon Deacons 382 yards to 178. This is a talented club that can beat anyone on any given day.

Miami began the year 2-0 before getting crushed 31-7 by the Hokies. Now, they have won three straight games since then, but all of those wins have come vs. non-conference opponents including two lightweights in Florida A&M and Central Florida the last two games. Yes, the streak began with a 21-20 upset of Oklahoma, but keep in mind the Sooners were without Sam Bradford and playing with a young quarterback making his first career road start.

Yes, the Canes still deserve credit for that win, but the last two victories are no big deal and we actually feel playing those two cream puffs hurts their conditioning coming into this matchup with a hot quality opponent.

We will gladly take more than a field goal here in a game that should go down to the final gun, with an upset not beyond the realm of possibility.

CFB Free Pick: Clemson +4.5 (-110)

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