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Army +8.5 (-110) – Saturday November 1st ’2008 12:00p
The Air Force Falcons may be 6-2 straight up compared to just 3-5 for the Army Black Knights, but Army is on a 5-0 ATS run and they can give the Falcons fits at home here. In fact, the Cadets have won three of their last four games outright, and the only loss during this stretch was 27-24 in overtime on the road vs. what has become a pretty decent Buffalo team. These teams are very similar in that both clubs run the ball often and neither has a passing game. Army is averaging an impressive 246.9 rushing yards per contest on 4.5 yards per carry, compared to a miniscule 45.4 passing yards. Then again, we see that as a positive for a team getting more than a touchdown, as Army should be able to shorten this game by running a lot of clock. Air Force is averaging even more rushing yards per game at 291.0, although they average an identical 4.5 yards per rush as the Black Knights. Keep in mid they that the Army defense is only allowing 116.5yards per game on just 3.5 yards per carry, so that may slow the Falcons down somewhat. At the very least, it will take them longer to drive down the field, again killing clock and favoring the underdog. As long as Army does not turn the ball over much, we fully expect them to be in this game until the end, and an outright home upset would not shock us at all. CFB Free Pick: Army +8.5 (-110) – Courtesy of LT Profits

Miami (Florida) +2.5 – Saturday November 1st ’2008 12:00p
The Miami Hurricanes and the Virgina Cavaliers go head to head in a key ACC matchup between two teams that are currently in top form. The Canes after a 0-2 start in conference play, have come back with impressive successive wins against Wake Forest and Duke. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have won 4 straight games , including wins against two top 25 teams. Last year when these football programs met the Cavaliers mercilessly beat the Canes in their own back yard, down in the Orange Bowl by a 48-0 count. While revenge in College football can sometimes be over stated and over hyped, this is not one of those situations. The above mentioned loss marked the first time since 1974 that Miami Fl, was shut at home. Worse of all, the loss came in front of some of the schools all time top players. Needless to say, some key boosters were not impressed with how coach Randy Shannon seemed unprepared for that game. Since than the HC has had this date circled on his calender and will have his team more than ready to compete. The Wahoos HC Al Groh knows there is a storm blowing in, and will batten down the hatches . Look for a hard fought affair, with the Canes strength, their defense, ending up being the difference maker . Final notes & Key Trends: The underdog has won the L/4 meetings. The Canes have covered four straight road games. Projected score: Miami Fl 23 Virginia 20 – Courtesy of Alex Smart

Texas @ Texas Tech o72.0 (-110) – Sat Nov 1 ’08 8:00p
When the Texas Longhorns and the Texas Tech Red Raiders get together in today’s biggest game, there will be an abundance of things, not the least of which will be points. Due to the prolific nature of both of these offenses, we are going with the Over in tonight’s Big 12 South battle. The Longhorns and Red Raiders are averaging a combined 93.6 points per game while allowing a combined 39.5 points per game. Something has to give and I’m certain it will be the defenses. Last weekend was a low scoring game for the Longhorns as they put just 28 on the board against Oklahoma State. However, Texas still amassed 504 yards and 32 first downs. Were it not for two turnovers, Mack Brown’s team probably could have tacked on another 10 to 14 points. Given that Texas is not prone to the turnover, I do not look for last week’s giveaways to be an issue tonight. Additionally, I do not see the Red Raiders shutting down the UT offense (scored less than 38 just once in 2008). The same can be said for Tech, who is +9 in the turnover margin this year. Likewise too, while Texas has a very solid defense, holding the Red Raiders to less than 35 points would be quite an accomplishment considering no team has done it in 2008. Things to consider: The Over is 8-2 in the Longhorns last 10 as a road favorite. The Over is 5-1 in the last six between these two in Lubbock. Free Pick: Take the Over 72 (-110) – Courtesy of Matt Foust

Rice (-128) – Sat Nov 1 ’08 9:00p
To say the Rice Owls have rebounded from last year’s 3-9 finish would be an understatement. The Owls are 5-3 this season with their only losses coming against Vanderbilt, Texas, and Tulsa. Tonight David Bailiff’s squad will face conference rival UTEP in El Paso and we are taking Rice straight up (-128). Neither team, in this Conference USA match-up, plays a great brand of defense, but they can put points on the scoreboard and do it quickly. However, it Rice’s ability to do so with a greater proficiency that has me siding with them. The Owls are averaging 40.1 points per game to UTEP’s 31.4 and they have a distinct advantage at the quarterback position. While UTEP’s Trevor Vittatoe is a fine passer, he is not as capable as Rice’s Chase Clement nor does he have the same weapons. Clement has tossed 24 touchdowns this season and just six interceptions, and his outside targets are two of the best in the country. Receivers Jarett Dillard and James Casey both rank in the top 10 in the nation in receiving yards and in the top 15 in receptions. The UTEP secondary does not have an answer for either of these two. The UTEP offense, make no mistake, will get their share against the Owls rather porous defense, but they will be hard pressed to match points. And since Rice is not prone to self destructing (+9 in turnover margin this season), they should pull out a close win in El Paso. Things to consider: UTEP is 0-5 ATS and 1-4 straight up as a home team against a Conference USA opponent in November (last five games). UTEP is 1-9 straight up and 2-8 ATS the spread in their last 10 games as a home underdog in the month of November. Free Pick: Rice -128 – Courtesy of Matt Foust

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