College Football Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: October 11th 2008
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South Carolina +1.0 – Saturday, October 11th ’08 12:30p
Kentucky prepares to play host to South Carolina in a key SEC battle, after taking part in a hard fought emotional 17-14 loss against the Alabama Crimson Tide last week. That result and effort will have the Wildcats in a let down situation , making them susceptible to a slow start. Meanwhile, South Carolina behind QB Chris Smelley looked fantastic , upsetting Ole Miss 31-24 on the road last week , and will be primed to keep that positive momentum working for them in this spot. I am expecting Spurriers team to come out here with all guns blazing and take a early lead, against an excellent but tired D. This also makes the Gamecocks a viable first half bet. I know winning on the road in the SEC is tough to achieve, especially two weeks in a row, but thats what I am betting will happen. It must be noted Steve Spurrier led teams have owned this Wild Cat program in the past, winning 15 straight confrontations, including 8 in a row as a coach of the Gamecocks ( three straight against coach HC Rich Brooks. Projected score: South Carolina 21 Kentucky 17 – Courtesy of Alex Smart
Temple +8.5 (-110) – Saturday, October 11th ’08 4:00p
The Temple Owls may be just 2-4 straight up, but they have been a gold mine against the spread at 5-1, with the only ATS loss being against national powerhouse Penn State on the road. Look for the Owls to gibe the Central Michigan Chippewas all that they can handle this week. Temple was very impressive last week, going into Oxford and upsetting the Miami-Ohio Redhawks 28-10 as seven-point underdogs. That marked the fourth time in their six games this season that the Owls have allowed 12 points or less, and it is noteworthy that unlike many other teams, they did not schedule any Division 1-AA teams during their early-season non conference portion. That defense is the very reason that Temple has been so successful vs. the number. Even with that 45-3 loss at Penn State, the Owls are allowing just 18.5 points per game. The reason they have won just two games outright is that the offense is only averaging 17.7 points, but that 28-point outburst last week was encouraging and they are facing a bad Central Michigan defense that is surrendering 30.6 points and 405.8 total yards per game. The Chippewas have still managed to go 3-2 SU and 2-2 ATS, thanks to an offense that is averaging 26.2 points, a figure that is skewed a bit by a still respectable 17-point performance at Georgia. However, the strength of the CMU offense is the passing game, and that just happens to be the strength of a Temple defense that is stingily allowing just 6.3 yards per pass attempt. We do not see the Chippewas getting a big lead at any point here vs. that defense, and their own defense is capable of allowing the Owls to reproduce the 28 points they scored last week, so look for a tight contest from start to finish. CFB Free Pick: Temple +8.5 (-110) – Courtesy of LT Profits
Rutgers +7.5 (-110) – Saturday, October 11th ’08 12:00p
The Cincinnati Bearcats managed to beat a defenseless Marshall team last week with an inexperienced quarterback, but this Rutgers defense is much tougher in the Bearcats Big East opener. Third string quarterback and redshirt freshman Chazz Anderson will again get the start for Cincinnati here, and although he was a decent 16 for 26 vs. Marshall, he only passed for 158 yards. That approach will not work vs. a Rutgers group that actually contained West Virginia pretty well last week, and we are simply not convinced right now that Anderson is capable of having success downfield. Now the Rutgers offense has been disappointing, but that 24-17 loss at West Virginia was actually an encouraging effort, especially with the emergence of Kenny Britt, who had 151 receiving yards on 12 receptions. If the great Cincinnati defense has an Achilles Heel, it is a pass defense that is allowing 241.8 passing yards per game. Sure, their eight interception have helped cover up this deficiency, but as long as Knights quarterback Mike Teel passes to the right uniforms, Rutgers may actually be able to generate some offense this week. If that is indeed the case, Rutgers should not only cover this contest, but they would have an excellent chance at an outright upset. CFB Free Pick: Rutgers +7.5 (-110) – Courtesy of LT Profits
West Virginia -23.5 (-110) – Saturday October 11th ’08 12:00p
Greg Robinson’s beleaguered Syracuse Orange hit the road this week to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers in Morgantown. West Virginia is also suffering through a disappointing season considering their pre-season expectations, but regardless of the Mountaineers ills, we are going with them minus the 23.5 this Saturday. The Orange are just 1-4 in Robinson’s fourth year and the way their schedule shapes up, it is likely that they may not win another game. Syracuse has exactly one team strength and that is their ability to run the ball. Unfortunately for them, that will not get you very far. Consider that the ‘Cuse are being out gained by an average of 173.8 yards per game and you get the picture. West Virginia is a particularly awful match-up for Syracuse in that their strength is running the ball (226.6 rushing yards per game) and the Orange would have trouble stopping sloth from averaging four yards per carry (206 rushing yards per game allowed). Also, the Mountaineers are 3-0 at home and have won by an average of 19.33 points per game against competition better than Syracuse. Note: WVU quarterback Pat White went out of last week’s game versus Rutgers but he is set to start this weekend. Things to consider: The favorite in this series is 12-4 ATS since 1992. Free Pick: Take West Virginia -23.5 (-110) – Courtesy of Matt Foust
New Mexico St @ Nevada Reno o67.5 (-110) – Saturday October 11th ’08 4:00p
This Saturday the Nevada Wolf Pack is set to host fellow WAC member, the New Mexico State Aggies. Given the history of this match-up and the current state of these two respective teams, we are going with the over 67.5. Nevada, while just 3-2 on the year, is producing points in bunches and also allowing them at a rather healthy clip as well. The Wolf Pack has scored exactly 49 points in all three of their wins (their two losses came against Texas Tech and Missouri) and they figure to get close to that number or exceed it this week versus the Aggies. They also figure to let the Aggies visit the end zone in regular intervals considering that they are allowing 31.6 points per game. New Mexico State is allowing 368 yards per game, 222.8 of which are coming on the ground. This plays right into Nevada’s game plan and strength as they are producing an astounding 306.6 rushing yards per game. Conversely, the Wolf Pack have a great deal of difficulty stopping the pass (332.2 passing yards allowed per game), and it just so happens that is what the Aggies do really well (321.8 yards per game through the air). These two have averaged a total of 71 points per game in their last seven meetings and they have scored over 67.5 in six of those seven games. – Courtesy of Matt Foust
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