College Football Picks: Boise State vs. Nevada Prediction: December 1st 2012
College Football Picks: December 1st 2012
Boise State vs. Nevada
Prediction: Nevada +8.5
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Nevada has played Boise State as tough as anyone in recent years. The Wolf Pack won 34-31 the last time they hosted the Broncos. Nevada has won or lost by seven points or less in three of the last five meetings and has gone 4-1 against the spread in these games.
The Wolf Pack have lost three home games this season but two of the losses came by a single point. One of those narrow defeats came against San Diego State, which also defeated Boise State 21-19 Nov. 3.
Nevada played San Diego State tougher than Boise State. The Wolf Pack put up 38 points on the Aztecs and outgained them 480-349. The Broncos only managed 276 yards of offense in their meeting with the Aztecs.
Boise State is one of the top defensive teams in the country, but it will have its work cut out for itself as it goes up against one of the most explosive offenses in the nation. The Wolf Pack rank 10th in total offense with 509.5 yards per game and 16th in scoring with 38.5 points per game.
Boise State will have a tough time coming back if it falls behind early. That’s because it ranks 81st in total offense with 386.0 yards per game and 50th in scoring with 30.7 points per contest.
It is significant that Nevada ranks seventh in the country in rushing offense with 263.0 yards per game. That’s because the Broncos are 0-6 against the spread versus good rushing teams that average 200.0 rushing yards or more per game over the last two seasons. Take Nevada and the points.
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