Florida State vs. Virginia
College Football Pick: Florida State -17 (November 19th 2011)
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Florida State is absolutely rolling. They are finally playing up to their potential, and there’s no question in my mind that this is one of the best teams in the country right now. They were supposed to compete for a national championship coming into the season, but injuries put a damper on that. They are now healthy. The Seminoles are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Backers have made a ton of money backing them of late. Four of their last five wins have come by 25 or more points.

Virginia has been solid against the spread of late as well, but they are just 2-11 ATS after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992. The Cavaliers are also 10-23 ATS in road games vs. good teams – outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992. Also, Virginia is 4-14 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams – averaging >=5.9 yards/play since 1992.

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