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College Football Predictions: Memphis vs. Arkansas State Pick: September 8th 2012

September 7th, 2012
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College Football Predictions: September 8th 2012
Memphis vs. Arkansas State
Pick: Arkansas State -23
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After getting pummeled at Oregon last Saturday, Arkansas State will be elated to be back inside ASU Stadium. Since 2005, the Red Wolves have posted a respectable 31-7 SU record in their own backyard and were a perfect six-for-six in Jonesboro last season.

Knocking off Memphis shouldn’t be an issue. The Tigers dropped their lid-lifter with an embarrassing 20-17 home loss to Tennessee-Martin last week. Since 2009, Memphis has been one of college footballs worst posting an ugly 5-32 SU and 9-23-2 ATS record including just 3-10 SU and 2-8 ATS in non-conference action. Additionally, the Tigers have only tasted victory in one of their last 18 on foreign fields and have lost the other 17 by an average of 25.4 points per game. Get more college football predictions on gameday by signing up for our free sports picks newsletter at Touthouse.com

There is a decent system that side with Arkansas State too. Since 1980, home favorites priced at -20 or more are a respectable 80-54-2 ATS provided they check in off a blowout loss of 20 points or more. If our “play on” host is matched up against an opponent that enjoyed the comforts of home last, this system tightens up to a juicy 56-35-1 ATS!

Dating back to the start of the 2010 season, ASU has been a cash cow posting a healthy 17-8 ATS record in its last 25 lined games. In this role matched up against a foe that scoots in without momentum off a straight up loss, the Red Wolves have won 10 of their last 13.

Off the loss at Oregon and with a trip to Lincoln on deck to face No. 16 Nebraska, head coach Gus Malzahn’s troops will come out focused and take care of business. Take Arkansas State. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.