Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds u9.0 (-110 betting odds)
Sat August 1st 2009 7:10p
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We cashed a nice Under ticket between the Colorado Rockies and the Cincinnati Reds here last night, and we see no reason not to come back with the same play at the same posted total of nine tonight.

Sure, we only covered by one run in the 5-3 Rockies win on Friday, but keep in mind that four home runs were hit in that game, so it is not as if the offenses generated many runs. The Rockies are still batting just .231 as a team over their last 10 games, and the Reds have been even worse, hitting an abysmal .194 over that same period.

Colorado starter Ubaldo Jimenez may be just 7-9 on the season, but he is obviously a much better pitcher than that, as evidenced by his fine 3.85 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Jimenez is just now reaching his peak, as he has recorded four consecutive Quality Starts while posting 27 strikeouts in 26 innings. He has also allowed a grand total if two earned runs and nine hits in two career starts vs. Cincinnati, which both came last season.

Now Homer Bailey may have ugly numbers for the season, but he has allowed three runs or less in four of his six starts since re-entering the starting rotation on June 27, including his last start when he allowed three runs on six hits in 7.1 strong innings vs. the San Diego Padres. Remember that Bailey was highly regarded when he was called up a few years ago, so he may be finally starting to mature just now.

We see no reason for these teams to exceed their total output of last night, especially since it is unlikely they will combine for four homers again.

MLB Free Pick: Rockies, Reds Under 9 (-110)

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