Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
Pick: Over 6.5 Runs -110 odds
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Padres starter Kevin Correia and a posted total of ‘6’ are completely incongruous. Correia’s last five starts have produced a total of 59 runs, seven or more in every contest. He’s allowed 14 runs in 16 innings of work in his last three home starts – even pitcher friendly Petco Field hasn’t helped his current form. The Rockies have handed Correia an ERA over 5.00 in five starts against him over the past two seasons.

Colorado’s Ubaldo Jimenez has been human in recent starts, finally coming back to earth after a truly phenomenal first two months of the season. He’s allowed 29 hits and 12 runs in four June starts after entering the month with an 0.78 ERA. Let’s not forget that despite Jimenez’s dominance, he’s still pitched more than his fair share of Overs; a very reasonable 5-6 to the Over in his last eleven trips to the hill. 2* Take the Over.

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