Colorado vs. Oklahoma State
Free Pick: Over 47 points -110 odds
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The value in this game is clearly with the OVER tonight. This line has dropped 2.5 points, meaning the public is on the UNDER when it should be on the OVER. The reason this total is dropping is due to Oklahoma State’s recent 4-1 UNDER run. But the Cowboys are more than capable of taking care of this OVER by themselves, and with QB Zac Robinson playing tonight after a concussion, they won’t miss a beat offensively. The Cowboys have scored 33 or more points in 7 of their last 9 games, and the only time they failed to reach that 33-number was against a great Texas defense and an improved Texas Tech defense. Colorado is not a good defensive team, giving up 28.7 points/game overall and 32.8 points/game on the road. Given those averages, I see no possibility of Colorado holding the Cowboys to less than 35 points. Oky State’s defense has not been spectacular, allowing 22.9 points/game at home this season. That said, I also feel Colorado will score at least 2 touchdowns tonight to help chip in to get this thing over the number. The OVER is 6-0 in Buffaloes last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. The OVER is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 home games. Take the OVER.

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