Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
Free Pick: Kansas City Royals +120 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more MLB baseball picks from Matt Fargo

This is an excellent spot for the Royals to take this series. The first two games have been split as the royals ran into a buzzsaw on Saturday with Justin Verlander. The Tigers are favored again Sunday but for all of the wrong reasons in my opinion. Jeremy Bonderman has been solid this season with a 3.72 ERA through nine starts and if not for one blowup against the Mariners, his numbers would be even better. He has now thrown five straight quality outings and with him being what I consider a non-elite pitcher, this is the time to start fading. The price continues to rise while the probability of his success continues to fall. In five road starts this season he has a 5.02 ERA. He squares off against Brian Bannister who is also having a very good season. He has just two bad starts on the year and he has now allowed three runs or fewer in four straight games. The last outing was not a quality performance though so he does not fit into the same rationale of fading similar to that of Bonderman. He has been great at home, going 4-1 with a 3.65 ERA in six starts and facing the Tigers is a very good thing. In eight career starts against Detroit, he has a 2.12 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with six of those eight games being quality efforts. He has been the hard luck pitcher twice this season already as he has shut down the Tigers twice with two quality starts only to receive a no-decision in each game and the Royals going down in both. The Tigers are 1-8 in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of .400 or worse while the Royals are 10-4 in their last 14 games as a home underdog between +110 and +150. Also, Detroit is just 4-10 in Bonderman’s last 14 starts following a quality performance in his last contest while Kansas City is a solid 5-1 in Bannister’s last six starts as an underdog. 3* Kansas City Royals

If you enjoyed this article then you may be interested in:

1. Free MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Odds: September 17th 2009
2. MLB Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Pick: June 5th 2010
3. Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Odds & Pick: April 5th 2010
4. Free MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: September 10th 2009
5. MLB Betting: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Odds & Pick: April 8th 2010
6. Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Odds & Picks: August 16th 2009
7. Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Betting Line & Pick: May 6th 2010