Duke vs. St. Johns
Pick: Duke -8.5 -110 odds – January 30th 2011
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The Duke Blue Devils are 19-1 this season and currently the third-ranked team in the land. Duke gets the call Sunday as they travel to Madison Square Garden to face the St. John’s Red Storm. The Blue Devils have won 4 straight at Madison Square Garden and 12 of 13 there. Since suffering their first loss of the season to Florida State, Duke has reeled off four consecutive victories in blowout fashion. They beat Virginia by 16, NC State by 14, Wake Forest by 24 and Boston College by 16. St. John’s is just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games, getting blown out the majority of the time. They lost to Notre Dame by 15, Syracuse by 17, Louisville by 25 and Georgetown by 25.

This play falls under a system that is 73-30 (71%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DUKE) – an explosive offensive team (>=78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games. Duke is scoring 85.6 PPG this season while St. John’s is averaging 68.8 PPG. The Blue Devils only allow 63.9 PPG while the Red Storm give up 66.7 PPG. Simply put, the Red Storm doesn’t have the offensive firepower to keep up with the Blue Devils in this one. St. John’s is 1-10 ATS in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Take Duke Sunday.

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