Football Betting Picks

Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat Point Spread & Pick: May 22nd 2012

The Touthouse — Tue, 22 May 2012 20:56:24 +0000

Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat
Point Spread: Miami Heat -6.5 Over/Under 181 (May 22nd 2012)
NBA Playoffs Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S EXPERT NBA PLAYOFFS PICKS

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ATS Trends:
Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pacers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 9-0 in Heat last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 26-11-1 ATS in the last 38 meetings.

Pacers Recent Games:

Postseason
Date	Opp.	Result / Time	Record	Pts Leaders	Ast Leaders	Reb Leaders
Apr 28	Orl	Lost 77-81	0-1	D. West (19)	J. Nelson (9)	R. Hibbert (13) G. Davis (13)
Apr 30	Orl	Won 93-78	1-1	D. West (18) D. Granger (18) G. Hill (18) G. Davis (18)	D. West (4)	R. Hibbert (13)
May 2	@Orl	Won 97-74	2-1	D. Granger (26)	J. Nelson (5)	Q. Richardson (10) R. Hibbert (10)
May 5	@Orl	Won 101-99	3-1	D. West (26)	J. Nelson (11)	D. West (12)
May 8	Orl	Won 105-87	4-1	J. Nelson (27)	D. Collison (6)	D. West (8) G. Davis (8)
May 13	@Mia	Lost 86-95	4-2	L. James (32)	D. Collison (6)	L. James (15)
May 15	@Mia	Won 78-75	5-2	L. James (28)	L. James (5)	R. Hibbert (11) P. George (11)
May 17	Mia	Won 94-75	6-2	M. Chalmers (25)	G. Hill (5) M. Chalmers (5)	R. Hibbert (18)
May 20	Mia	Lost 93-101	6-3	L. James (40)	L. James (9)	L. James (18)

Heat Recent Games:

Postseason
Date	Opp.	Result / Time	Record	Pts Leaders	Ast Leaders	Reb Leaders
Apr 28	NY	Won 100-67	1-0	L. James (32)	M. Chalmers (9)	C. Anthony (10)
Apr 30	NY	Won 104-94	2-0	C. Anthony (30)	L. James (9)	C. Anthony (9)
May 3	@NY	Won 87-70	3-0	L. James (32)	L. James (5)	T. Chandler (15)
May 6	@NY	Lost 87-89	3-1	C. Anthony (41)	D. Wade (6)	A. Stoudemire (10)
May 9	NY	Won 106-94	4-1	C. Anthony (35)	L. James (7)	T. Chandler (11)
May 13	Ind	Won 95-86	5-1	L. James (32)	D. Collison (6)	L. James (15)
May 15	Ind	Lost 75-78	5-2	L. James (28)	L. James (5)	R. Hibbert (11) P. George (11)
May 17	@Ind	Lost 75-94	5-3	M. Chalmers (25)	G. Hill (5) M. Chalmers (5)	R. Hibbert (18)
May 20	@Ind	Won 101-93	6-3	L. James (40)	L. James (9)	L. James (18)

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Baseball Picks: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians: May 22nd 2012

The Touthouse — Tue, 22 May 2012 19:06:34 +0000

Baseball Picks: May 22nd 2012
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians
Pick: Detroit Tigers +107
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The Tigers are showing value at this price considering they have won 10 in a row versus the Indians, including 4 straight in Cleveland. Plus, scheduled starter Rick Porcello has had his fair share of success against the Tribe.

Porcello is 5-1 (9-3 on the ML) with an ERA of 3.86 in 12 career starts versus the Indians. The Tigers have won his last 3 starts versus Cleveland.

Ubaldo Jimenez has been unable to regain the form he showed in Colorado a couple seasons ago. He’s never had much luck versus Detroit as evidenced by his 2-5 record and 6.86 ERA in 7 career starts versus the Tigers.

The Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite while the Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. It’s also worth mentioning the Tigers are 11-4 in Porcello’s last 15 road starts. Take Detroit.

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MLB Picks: San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: May 22nd 2012

The Touthouse — Tue, 22 May 2012 19:04:25 +0000

MLB Picks: May 22nd 2012
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Pick: Giants -105
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I’m backing the San Francisco Giants and the highest-paid right-handed pitcher in baseball history tonight. Matt Cain is showing great value at nearly even money against Shaun Marcum and the Milwaukee Brewers.

Cain is 3-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.820 WHIP in eight starts this season. He has stuck out 54 batters in 57 1/3 innings to pick up right where he left off last year. Marcum is 2-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.245 WHIP in eight starts this season, but he’s clearly no Cain.

The Brewers are just 17-25 this season as they’re clearly missing Prince Fielder. Milwaukee has lost five of their last six overall, and they continue to get treated with too much respect from oddsmakers. If you bet $100/game on the Brewers this season you would be down $1,370.

Milwaukee is 0-7 in Marcum’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 18-38 in their last 56 games as an underdog. The Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in this series, and 9-3 in their last 12 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet San Francisco Tuesday.

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Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros Prediction & Odds: May 21st 2012

The Touthouse — Mon, 21 May 2012 17:23:02 +0000

Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros
Prediction: Chicago Cubs -102 odds (May 21st 2012)

5* graded play on the Chicago Cubs as they take to the road and play the Houston Astros set to start at 7:05 PM ET. The Cubs have fallen apart and are mired in the basement of the NL Central standings and have lost six straight games. Sunday, they were shutout by Jake Peavy and the CWS 6-0. However, this is more times than not, the optimal time to get on a ‘ugly’ team that is facing a team that has largely outperformed over the past several weeks. Houston is five games under. 500, but that is far better than even the most optimistic preseason projections. The Cubs are also sending a strong starter to the bump in Matt Garza, who has posted a 2.58 ERA with a 1.037 WHIP in seven starts this season. He has recorded 41 strikeouts in these seven starts spanning 45 ? innings of work. Bus Norris pitching his best baseball of his career, but why then is the line a near pick-em one. he has posted a 0.45 ERA and a 0.842 WHIP over his last three starts and posted a perfect 3-0 record, BUT the line this skinny and the public is betting Houston. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 43-17 for 72% winners since 2006. Play against NL home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 and is a struggling offensive team scoring

MLB Picks: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds: May 21st 2012

The Touthouse — Mon, 21 May 2012 16:47:14 +0000

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
MLB Pick: Yankees -149 odds (May 21st 2012)
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The Royals have been at their best on the road this season, but the Yankees still have the advantage tonight.

The Royals are just 27-67 in their last 94 meetings with the Yanks, including 10-37 in their last 47 road meetings in the series.

Kuroda has taken a few lumps on the road but has been rock solid at home, going 3-1 with a 3.08 ERA.

Kansas City’s Paulino cannot be trusted in my book. The Royals have lost 10 of his last 16 starts, and they are 2-8 in his last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

The Yankees have welcomed good road teams to Yankee Stadium as they are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. The Yanks are also 8-2 in their last 10 series openers. Take the Yanks.

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Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox Pick & Odds: May 20th 2012

The Touthouse — Sun, 20 May 2012 14:34:27 +0000

Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox
Pick: Chicago White Sox -125 odds (May 20th 2012)
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I am backing the Chicago White Sox Sunday with a big edge on the mound. The White Sox are ready to cap off the 3-0 sweep and hand the Cubs their 5th consecutive loss. They don’t have any mercy for the North Siders.

With the better starter on the mound in Jake Peavy, I’ll back the South Siders. Peavy is 4-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.919 WHIP in eight starts this season. Paul Maholm is 4-2 with a 4.35 ERA in seven starts this season for the Cubs.

Peavy is 6-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Cubs. He owns this team, and that will continue Sunday. Take the White Sox on the Money Line.

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2012 Preakness Stakes Winning Pick: Exacta, Trifecta & Longshot Pick

The Touthouse — Sat, 19 May 2012 17:54:57 +0000

2012 Preakness Stakes Winning Pick – May 19th 2012
Exacta Picks, Trifecta Picks and Longshot Pick

The 2012 Preakness Stakes will be run on Saturday, May 19th 2012 at Pimlico Track in Baltimore, Maryland. “I’ll have Another” was the Kentucky Derby winner and looks to extend his run at this year’s triple crown which will come to a conclusion at the Belmont Stakes. Below we will provide you with predictions for this year’s Preakness Stakes race including our recommended exacta pick and trifecta pick. Current post positions and odds are listed below, followed by our picks. Enjoy!

PP	Horse	Odds	Jockey	Trainer

1	Tiger Walk	30-1	Kent Desormeaux	Ignacio Cortreas
2	Teeth of the Dog	15-1	Joe Bravo	Michael Matz
3	Pretension	30-1	Javier Santiago	Chris Grove
4	Zetterholm	20-1	Junior Alvarado	Rick Dutrow
5	Went the Day Well	6-1	John Velazquez	Graham Motion
6	Creative Cause	6-1	Joel Rosario	Mike Harrington
7	Bodemeister	8-5	Mike Smith	Bob Baffert
8	Daddy Nose Best	12-1	Julien Leparoux	Steve Asmussen
9	I’ll Have Another	5-2	Mario Gutierrez	Doug O’Neill
10	Optimizer	30-1	Corey Nakatani	D. Wayne Lukas
11	Cozzetti	30-1	Jose Lexcano	Dale Romans

Winning Pick: Bodemeister
Installed as the Kentucky Derby favorite, this horse shot out to an early lead at Churchill, but coming down the stretch couldn’t hold off a late surge by “I’ll have another” to place second at the Derby. We see the shorter track at Pimlico being a substantial advantage for Bodemeister and select him as our winning horse.

Exacta Pick: Bodemeister / I’ll Have Another
As a favorite along Bodemeister we see the Derby Winner, “I’ll Have Another”, winner of three straight races, having another late surge at this year’s Preakness, to just come up short of winning the second leg of the Triple Crown.

Trifecta Pick: Bodemeister/ I’ll Have Another / Went the Day Well
This horse had a poor start in his Derby showing, but strongly moved his way up to fourth place, finishing just a couple lengths off of “I’ll have Another”. Providing we get off to a strong start at Pimlico, “Went the Day Well” will be in contention down the stretch.

Longshot Pick: Daddy Nose Best
We will back this horse as our longshot pick at the 2012 Preakness Stakes, which has four wins and seven top three finishes in his career. We see excellent value with “Daddy Nose Best” to play in your Trifectas and Superfectas.

We hope you enjoyed our 2012 preakness stakes winning exacta and trifecta picks article. Be sure to check back next year for more preakness stakes betting information from Touthouse.com

New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick & Odds: May 19th 2012

The Touthouse — Sat, 19 May 2012 15:57:05 +0000

New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds
Pick: Cincinnati Reds +138 odds (May 19th 2012)
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5* graded play on the Reds as they take on the NY Yankees set to start at 1:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Reds will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-12 for 71.4% winners since 1997. Play on any team that is a very bad NL offensive team scoring fewer than 3.8 runs per game and is now facing a team with a very good bullpen posting an ERA <=3.33 and after two straight losses by four runs or more. Reds are a solid 33-19 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. Yankees have never faced Homer Bailey and he is coming off a strong start allowing just one earned run in 6 ? innings of work in a 3-1 win at Atlanta. Nova struggled big time in his last start and his command has been quite poor – not something corrected in five days of bullpen sessions. Take the Reds.

MLB Predictions: Royals vs. Diamondbacks Pick & Odds: May 19th 2012

The Touthouse — Sat, 19 May 2012 14:47:56 +0000

Kansas City Royals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Prediction: Diamondbacks -105 odds (May 19th 2012)

The Royals are just 4-16 at home this season, and I expect their struggles to continue with ace Ian Kennedy stepping to the hill for Arizona.

Kennedy shut down the Royals in Kansas City last year, limiting them to 1 earned run in 6 innings of work. The Diamondbacks are 10-2 in Kennedy’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

The Royals are just 2-7 in Chen’s last 9 starts, 8-20 in their last 28 interleague games and 2-7 in their last 9 interleague home games.

The D-backs have won 6 in a row against the Royals. We’ll take the Snakes.

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MLB Predictions: Twins vs. Brewers Pick & Odds: May 18th 2012

The Touthouse — Fri, 18 May 2012 17:14:12 +0000

MLB Predictions: May 18th 2012
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -131 odds
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #972 Milwaukee Brewers over Minnesota Twins (8:10pm ET) It’s been a frustrating year for both the Milwaukee Brewers and Minnesota Twins, but it’s only May and these teams are both still fighting hard for some respect. The Brewers sit at 16-22 and it’s clear that they are feeling the effects of losing slugger Prince Fielder a little bit. However, the effect hasn’t been as severe as some thought, as the Brewers are still 6th in the National League in runs scored and have some quality major league hitters. Several of their regulars, including Rickie Weeks, have gotten off to slow starts, so this offense is capable of climbing even higher once they get clicking. Starting pitching has been of the main problems in 2012, but today’s pitcher Marco Estrada can’t be blamed for that. Estrada stepped into the rotation to fill in for the injured Chris Narveson and he has performed pretty well. He doesn’t have any wins to show for it, but he has a 20-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his four starts and seems to be gaining confidence in every start. This is an audition of Estrada to possibly gain a full-time spot in the rotation for years to come, and I think he’ll take advantage of it this season.

While the Brewers have been disappointing this season, the Twins have been downright awful as they’re easily the worst team in the major leagues by a wide margin at 12-26. They are currently on pace to go finish the season at 51-111. They have the worst lineup in the league as there are probably three or four hitters that should be playing in the minor leagues right now. Their team ERA is 5.33, which is dead last. The fans are growing restless as the future doesn’t look that bright either. One player that has the fans a little bit excited is rookie starter Scott Diamond. The 25-year old southpaw has looked impressive in his first two starts of the season as he’s 2-0 without allowing an earned run yet. However, both of those starts were at home and against the Blue Jays and Angels. Today he’ll be making his first road start which is always difficult for a rookie pitcher. He’ll also have to get into the batter’s box for this one since it is interleague play in a National League park. That could throw him off of his game. I like the chances for the Brewers to finally crack the rookie today. And with as bad as the Twins offense is, it’s not going to take much to get a victory for Milwaukee.