San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies

ATS Trends:
Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Grizzlies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. Grizzlies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Grizzlies are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Spurs are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. win. Spurs are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 12-5 in Grizzlies last 17 home games. Over is 7-3 in Grizzlies last 10 overall. Over is 7-3 in Grizzlies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 Conference Finals games. Under is 13-3-1 in Spurs last 17 road games. Under is 4-1-2 in Spurs last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Spurs are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

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Chicago Blackhawks vs. Detroit Red Wings

ATS Trends:
Blackhawks are 9-3 in their last 12 Saturday games. Blackhawks are 40-14 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Blackhawks are 42-15 in their last 57 vs. Central. Blackhawks are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Blackhawks are 41-16 in their last 57 overall. Red Wings are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Red Wings are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Red Wings are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Red Wings are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Central. Red Wings are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 2-0-2 in Blackhawks last 4 overall. Over is 2-0-3 in Blackhawks last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 2-0-2 in Blackhawks last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 2-0-2 in Blackhawks last 4 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 2-0-2 in Blackhawks last 4 Saturday games. Under is 3-0-1 in Red Wings last 4 Saturday games. Under is 4-0-2 in Red Wings last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Under is 8-2-6 in Red Wings last 16 road games. Under is 15-5-8 in Red Wings last 28 overall. Under is 15-5-8 in Red Wings last 28 vs. Western Conference.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 7-1-3 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago. Home team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 19-5-3 in the last 27 meetings. Red Wings are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings. Red Wings are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

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Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers

ATS Trends:
Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Heat are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Heat are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 3-0-1 in Heat last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 3-0-1 in Heat last 4 games following a ATS loss. Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 Conference Finals games. Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 overall. Over is 12-2 in Pacers last 14 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 vs. NBA Southeast. Over is 12-4-1 in Pacers last 17 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 Conference Finals games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Underdog is 29-14-1 ATS in the last 44 meetings.

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Prediction: Phillies vs. Nationals Under 7
Washington is a huge park, great for pitchers, and a pair of righties are on the mound who don’t walk anyone and are tough to hit. Philly righty Kyle Kendrick (4-2, 2.82 ERA) has walked 14 in 60+ innings and the under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 road games. The Philly offense is awful, 25th in baseball in runs scored, 26th in on base percentage. The under is 4-1 in the Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter and they face Jordan Zimmermann (7-2, 1.62 ERA) who is having a dominant season. But this Washington offense is as bad as the Phillies, 28th in runs, batting average, OBP and slugging. The Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings, including 5-0 under the total in Washington. Play the Phillies/Nationals under the total. -Jim Feist

Prediction: Yankees -101
The Yankees starter David Phelps enters tonight in stellar form over his last 3 starts posting a 1.83 ERA. The Yankees are a very profitable 10-3 this season following 3 or more consecutive road games, and are a terrific 26-8 the last 2 seasons when playing on a Friday. The Tampa Bay starter Roberto Heranandez is 0-4 in his team starts since 5/30/2009 versus the Yankees with a monster 11.34 ERA and 2.58 WHIP. Hernandez has also been a bit shaky over his last 3 starts posting a lofty 5.14 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Play on the New York Yankees as a money line selection. -Ross Benjamin

Prediction: Seattle Mariners +104
The Mariners have lost six in a row (all on the road) but I expect them to get back on track at home where they have won six of their last eight. Joe Saunders has been lights out at home where he’s 3-0 with an ERA of 0.94 in four starts. He’s been a tremendous investment in the home underdog role throughout his career. In fact, his teams are 17-8 in his last 25 starts as a home underdog of +100 or higher. Take Seattle. -Dave Price

Prediction: Chicago Cubs +140
The Cubs are worth a small wager at this price with Scott Feldman on the bump. The Cubs have won each of his last five starts, and his ERA is only 0.46 over his last three. Bronson Arroyo has been pitching well also, but not quite to the level of Feldman. Besides, the Reds are 1-4 in Arroyo’s last 5 home starts versus the Cubs and 1-4 in his last 5 starts versus division opponents. This is Cincy’s first home game following a lengthy road trip, and this has been a vulnerable spot. The Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. -Jeff Alexander

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We’ve yet to see a game in this series top five goals and I don’t see that changing as the Blackhawks face elimination on home ice on Saturday night.

Lost in Thursday’s 2-0 loss was the fact that Chicago goaltender Corey Crawford bounced back with arguably his best game of the series and that should bode well heading into Saturday’s contest.

Of course, the Blackhawks have been a terrific defensive team all season, allowing just two goals per game.

The Red Wings have really rounded into form over the course of these playoffs, particularly in their own end of the rink, where they’ve given up two goals or less in four of their last five games. Jimmy Howard has stood on his head over the last few games and that has only fueled the team’s confidence.

Going back to the regular season, the losing team has been held to one goal or less in seven of eight meetings here in 2013.

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Needless to say, this is the most important game of the series so far and I suspect that will lead to an even tighter-checking affair. There’s no need to over-analyze this selection – I don’t see the winning team scoring more than three goals, putting us in excellent position to cash with the ‘under’. Take the under (1*).

Free MLB Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take #904 Detroit (-1.5 RL) over Minnesota (7 p.m., Thursday, May 23) Detroit Tigers starter Rick Porcello is on my list of pitchers to bet on right now as Porcello came out of Spring Training as a guy primed for a much better season in 2013 but struggled a bit out of the gates. That has all changed over the last month as Porcello has been as good as he has ever been in his career. He comes in with an ERA of just 3.24 in his last four starts and a WHIP below 1.00. Even more impressive than those numbers is the fact Porcello has gone three straight starts striking out six batters or more for the first time in his career and has averaged nearly a strikeout per inning during that stretch. This hasn’t been coming against bad offenses, either, as his last two starts came against two of the top offenses in all of baseball, the Indians and Rangers. The Tigers once again look to be one of the top teams in baseball this season at home. Detroit also leads both leagues hitting a scorching hot .280 as a team right now.

Minnesota has really started to fall apart as they went into Wednesday’s game losers of seven straight games overall. They have been outscored by a 43-19 margin in those seven losses. Left-hander Scott Diamond takes the hill for the Twins and comes in off his two worst outings of the season, allowing six earned runs in each game without making it out of the sixth inning in either contest. The high-powered Tigers offense should have little problems here against Diamond. Take Detroit minus the run and a half in this one.

Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat

ATS Trends:
Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Heat are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Heat are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. Eastern Conference. Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Central. Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Pacers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 Wednesday games. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 Conference Finals games. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 3-1-1 in Heat last 5 games following a ATS loss. Over is 5-2 in Heat last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 Conference Finals games. Over is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 Wednesday games. Under is 4-1-1 in Pacers last 6 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-1-1 in Pacers last 6 games following a ATS win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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Ryan won with the Giants last night in a 4-2 win over the Nationals pushing his 25* MLB Titan record to 29-20 and has made 12.35 units/unit wagered. Overall, he made the dime player $21, 018 on his 25* Titans, 15* DOGS, and 5* DOG parlays. Get this DOG now for just $25.00

10* graded baseball pick on the Miami Marlins as they take on the Philadelphia Phillies in NL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a significant probability that Miami will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-45 record for just 60% winners, BUT has made 40 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on all NL underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season and is a solid fielding team turning 1.1 or more DP’s/game on the season. The average play ahs been a +130 dog adn represents and under scores the need to identify DOGS that win on a consistent basis if you intend on making profits in the money line sport of MLB. You may remember I had the Marlins at +160 in their decisive 5-1 win over the Phillies and their ace Cole Hamels. This was the first 15* DOG play and was combined with 15* Padres, who also won, and paid off 5:1 on the 5* parlay bet. In similar fashion to Hamels, Lee is just 4-10 (-9.2 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team’s Record). Moreover, he is just 5-11 (-11.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Take Miami.

Free MLB Pick from Doc’s Sports Take #954 Milwaukee Brewers over Los Angeles Dodgers (1:10pm ET) Two teams experiencing disappointing seasons go at it on Wednesday afternoon as the Milwaukee Brewers host the Los Angeles Dodgers. Both teams check in with 18-26 records putting them in the cellars of their respective divisions. One bright spot for the Dodgers has been starting pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu. The 26-year old Japanese import is 4-2 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in nine starts this season so far. However, it appears as if the league might be catching up to the deceptive ways of Ryu. Over his last three starts he has walked 10 batters in 17 2/3 innings of work and his stuff hasn’t looked as sharp. He’ll face a very good Brewers lineup that hits left-handers hard, so I expect some runs to be scored against Ryu today. Wily Peralta gets the ball for the Brewers. Peralta has pitched much better than his 5.94 ERA indicates as his strand rate is one of the lowest in the league. He keeps the ball on the ground quite a bit, which should help him immensely in Miller Park where the ball can fly out with ease. The Dodgers are 14th in the National League in runs scored, ahead of only the lowly Marlins, so Peralta should fare well here. In the battle of underachievers, I like the Brewers to get the job done at home.

These two teams played two Overs in three meetings earlier this month, and tonight’s game will be another slugfest.

The Tigers come to Cleveland having lost a series in Arlington against the Rangers. It’s a rematch of a game from May 10th when Detroit won 10-4. Corey Kluber is 2-2 with a 6.17 ERA in four starts for Cleveland. He allowed 8 runs and 11 hits in that game in just over four innings of work. Kluber has allowed 14 runs and 25 hits in three starts over two seasons against the Tigers. Detroit is hitting .282 at night and scoring over 5 runs per game this season. They have gone Over the total in 7 of their last 11 games overall.
Max Scherzer took the win back on May 10th despite giving up 4 runs and five hits over eight innings pitched to the Indians. Scherzer has a 3.98 ERA in eight starts with five of those games going Over the total. The Tigers’ starter is 6-4 with a 5.17 ERA in 12 career starts against Cleveland. The Indians walked off with a win on Monday afternoon and they are scoring over 5 runs per game this season. Cleveland has gone Over in three of their last five games. Detroit’s bullpen is 3-8 with six blown saves on the season. These two teams played two Overs in three meetings earlier this month, and tonight’s game will be another slugfest.

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