North Carolina vs. Virginia
Free Pick: Virginia +13.5 (-110 odds)
Sat October 3rd 2009 12:00p
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Virginia is now 0-3 on the season while North Carolina comes in with a 3-1 record this year. Virginia comes in with a week’s rest after a tough loss in Southern Miss losing 37-34. North Carolina is also off a loss, losing to Georgia Tech 24-7 in their first conference game of the season. Virginia is 10-1 ATS last 11 overall meetings vs North Carolina including 4-1 ATS last 5 at North Carolina and they are 13-4 ATS vs North Carolina since 1992. Virginia is 2-0 SU and ATS vs North Carolina the past 3 years winning last year 16-13 at home and winning back in 2007 by a score of 22-20 in North Carolina. Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October. Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cavaliers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Tar Heels are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games as a home favorite. Tar Heels are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. My power ratings for this game has North Carolina winning by only 3.01 points. Take the two touchdowns with Virginia and win again this week! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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