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Freddy Wills’ MLB Prediction: Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: July 19th 2013

July 18th, 2013

Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
MLB Prediction: Angels -131 odds (July 19th 2013)
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We ended the last month of our MLB sports picks on a 29-8 run while going 14-3 on our last 17 MLB POD’s and carry a 21.03% ROI over our last 30 days. The first few months of the season however were so dreadful that we still need a big August to break even and I’m confident we will get that. It all starts on Friday where we have 12 probable pitchers going with an ERA under 3.00 over their last three starts combined and just 3 cold pitchers with ERA’s over 6.00. Like I mentioned on twitter during the All Star break it’s a pitching era and I took the under in the AS game for fun because of that and on Friday I’m backing another Cy Young perennial candidate.

LA Angels -130 (Jerred Weaver 2* FREE PLAY)
These odds are just to good for Jerred Weaver at home where he is 40-12 in his last 52 as a favorite. The Angels ace has a 2.33 ERA over his last three starts and he’s dominated the Oakland A’s over his career posting a 1.18 ERA over his last 10 starts against them. Weaver will face an Oakland team that hit extremely well in the first half but we saw signs of them slowing down with a .143 average over their last 5 vs. RHP. Oakland is not nearly as dominant on the road and with their star player winning the HR derby I’m thinking they are about to struggle a bit. Oakland also has 151 AB against Weaver where they carry a .159 average and a .450 OPS.

Meanwhile after a slow start with the bats the Angels averaged 5.25 runs per 9 at home vs. RHP and it was far better than that towards the All Star break. A.J. Griffin had an okay start of the season, but he’s 1-4 in his last 5 road starts. He’s had the luxury of facing the Angels when they are cold, but I think having to face them now on the road will get him into some trouble.