Free NBA Pick: Charlotte Bobcats vs. Phoenix Suns u210.0 (-110 odds)
Tue January 26th 2010 9:05p
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We took a chance on a Phoenix Suns Under last night with the reasoning being that their games have inflated totals, and we got burned in Utah. Undaunted, we are coming right back with another Phoenix Under tonight vs. a much more plodding Charlotte Bobcats team.

After all, the Under is still 24-20-2 in all Suns games due to inflated totals, and they do not go Over as often vs. the slower teams in the Eastern Conference. In fact, the Under is 7-2-1 the last 10 times that Phoenix has faced a Southeast Division team, which is where Charlotte resides. The Over last night snapped a three-game Under streak for the Suns.

As for the Bobcats, they still lead the NBA in defense allowing 93.1 points per game, which in itself is enough of a reason to get interested in the Under with a total posted this high. Granted, that defensive average rises to 96.0 points on the road, but Charlotte also struggles offensively away from home, averaging a Nets-like 89.5 points on 44.7 percent shooting.

Sure, the Over is still 12-8 in Charlotte road games despite that 185.5-point per game combined average, but that is due to their games having very low totals because their pattern of low scoring road games is fairly well known. However, that is not the case here. In fact, there has not been more than 210 points scored in any Charlotte road game this season! They did have a game with exactly 210 points at Toronto, but only one other Bobcats road game has exceeded 200 points.

That is as good a reason as any to play the Under at 210 here, as we do expect the excellent Charlotte defense to at least slow the Suns down somewhat.

NBA Free Pick: Bobcats, Suns Under 210 (-110)

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