Free NBA Pick from Bob Akmens: Detroit vs. Los Angeles March 1st 2008
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Detroit Pistons @ Los Angeles Clippers u183.0
Sat March 1 ‘08 10:35p
This play is the result of a successful computer model that has allowed Bob Akmens Sports to finish in first-place in 152 different categories of documented monitored handicapping contests since 1978.
The computer models I’ve developed for each sport look at the most-predictive variables that go into the winning and losing of games.
Several interesting factors in today’s play are as follows –
The PISTONS are playing on short rest, and on a tiring West-coast swing.
Somewhat intuitively, you might figure they’re a little tired and just don’t rage up and down the court as they might with a few night’s sleep in their own beds at home. And you’d be correct in assuming that because:
The PISTONS with 2 days rest have gone UNDER 4 of the last 6; 16 of the last 29, and 83 of the last 146 – a clear pattern.
The CLIPPERS are just a bad team. Bad teams start to give up the ghost in the second-half.
Here’s how bad - and realize that these numbers don’t reflect some sort of great defensive prowess – they reflect bad shooting and bad performances:
At home: UNDER 19 of the last 30 games
In the second-half: UNDER 9 of 13; and 57 of 92 games
Vs. Central Division opponents: UNDER 8 of 9; and 18 of 29 games
Vs. non-conference teams: UNDER 15 of 24 games
Revenging (or feebly trying to) a loss last time vs this opponent: UNDER 20 of 32 games
After 3 of more losses in a row: UNDER 9 of 12; and 18 of 29 games
GO WITH UNDER 183 IN THIS 1035PM EST MATCHUP




