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Free NBA Picks & NCAA College Basketball Picks: December 6th, 2007

Free NBA Basketball Picks: Denver vs. Dallas 
Take Denver Nuggets
1 Unit on Denver +7 Dallas is coming off a tough loss to rival San Antonio and the Nuggets are coming off a tough loss to the Lakers. We are expecting a close hard fought game between two worn down team here so we’ll take the points. Dallas has lost 7 of its last 8 and 9 of its last 11 ATS. Dallas is just 8-23 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons. In other words, when the books are expecting a high scoring game, Dallas has not covered the spread too often. Denver has covered the spread in 5 of the last 8 meetings in this series. Dallas has been consistently overvalued this season and we’ll take advantage again here. 

Free NCAA College Basketball Picks: Louisiana State U vs. Villanova 
Take Villanova Wildcats
1 Unit on Villanova -9.5 LSU is just 1-2 on the road this season and 0-3 ATS in those games. Villanova is 5-1 this season and 3-1 ATS in all lined games. LSU is 0-8 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS in road non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Villanova is 26-11 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home favorite since 1997. LSU is a team who I’m picking to finish 5th in the SEC West. This is not an NCAA Tourney team and the books are acknowledging that with this line. Villanova is a team who we have chalked up to go to the Big Dance and a top tier team in the loaded Bid East. Nova is too much for the Tigers at home.