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Miami (Ohio) -9.0
Wed March 12 ‘08 8:00p

This play is the result of a successful computer model that has allowed Bob Akmens Sports to finish in first-place in 152 different categories of documented monitored handicapping contests since 1978. The computer models I’ve developed for each sport look at the most-predictive variables that go into the winning and losing of games.

Several interesting factors in today’s play are as follows (ATS = against-the-spread) –

BUFFALO fails to cover when they play in:
A game where the total is between 120-129.5: 2-8 ATS last 10 games
A situation where they’re trying to avenge a home loss to this same opponent:
2-8 ATS last 10 games
The first-round of a tournament: 2-6 ATS last 8 games
A game vs a winning team: 2-10 ATS last 12 games
A game vs a winning team as the season moves on (after at least 15 games): 0-6 ATS last 6; 5-19 ATS last 24 games
A game vs a good defensive team (64 ppg or less): 4-11 ATS last 15 games
A game vs a poor offensive team (scoring 64 ppg or less): 3-10 ATS last 13 games

MIAMI-OHIO covers when they play in:
A neutral-court game: 8-2 ATS last 10 games
A neutral-court game where the total is 120-129.5: 5-1 ATS last 6 games
The month of March: 9-4 ATS last 13 games
And, the clincher: when they play in the first-round of a tournament game: 11-1 (!) ATS last 12 games

GO WITH MIAMI-OHIO -9 IN THIS 920PM EST MATCHUP