Green Bay Packers vs. Cleveland Browns
Free NFL Pick: Green Bay Packers -7 -110 odds – point spreads
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Two weeks ago I gave you the the Detroit Lions; they kept it close enough to sneak away with the ATS victory over the Steelers. Last week I gave you the Browns on the road in Pittsburgh and they put 14 on the board and came away with the ATS cover with the two TD spread they were getting.

Although we now have a pretty good read on the Steelers, this week we focus on the Packers as they hit the road for a game in Cleveland Browns Stadium.

Green Bay smashed Detroit at home last week 26-0, but it commited a season-high 13 infractions for 130 yards, something Mike McCarthy is quite angry about and is sure to address this week during practice. Aaron Rodgers was sharp last Sunday and he should have success against the Browns suspect secondary this week as well; Rodgers threw for 358 yards with two TD’s vs. the Lions.

The Packers also played well on the defensive side; Green Bay had five sacks and INT’s by defensive lineman Cullen Jenkins, cornerback Al Harris and safety Atari Bigby, who returned to the field after missing three games with a knee injury.

Green Bay always plays well on the road; the Packers are already 1-0 ATS as a road favorite of 3 1/2 to 7 points and over the last two seasons they are a perfect 2-0; they are also 11-6 ATS over the last two seasons on the road overall.

On the other side of the field: Cleveland did play better last week, but I’m not reading too much into it and look for this team to continue to slide. The Steelers rolled up 543 yards total offense, more than twice the Browns’ total of 197! Pittsburgh had nine pass plays of 20 yards or more, and two of 19 yards. Only two of those 11 gains came on third down. Cleveland is going to be in trouble against Rodgers.

Bottom line: Last weeks win was the Packers’ first shutout since a November 2007 home game against Minnesota and I look for them to build on that victory with a dominant performance against a horrible team; look for the PACKERS to move to 3-1 ATS this season as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points!

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