Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Free NFL Pick: Green Bay +1 -110 NFL odds – point spreads
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For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this game is on the Packers as I look for Aaron Rodgers to bounce back from a couple of sub-par performances and take advantage of a team “coming apart at the seams”.

Rodgers expects to be OK this week after he was involved in what appeared to be a harrowing incident early in the fourth quarter of the Packers’ 21-14 win at Chicago on Sunday; WR Greg Jennings evidently is OK after he briefly left Sunday’s game after taking a hit to a knee in the first quarter.

Ryan Grant’s explosive 62-yard TD run on Green Bay’s first play from scrimmage had been a long time coming; look for Grant to build off that performance.

Remember, not only are the Packers 5-0 SU their last five, they are also 4-0-1 ATS their last five overall and a superb 5-2 ATS their last seven on the road.

On the other side of the field: The end of another successful era for the Pittsburgh Steelers is near as they enter their final three games of the year; the 2009 season, the one in which they vowed to prove their previous Super Bowl hangover would not affect them, has turned disastrous.

They have lost five straight games, including three to some of the worst NFL teams, the Kansas City Chiefs, Oakland Raiders and now Cleveland Browns.

It comes as no surprise then to learn that Pittsburgh is a woeful 1-4 ATS its last five overall and 2-4 ATS its last six at Heinz Field.

Bottom line: The Packers are the hungrier team here and will look to punish the Steelers while they are down; look for GREEN BAY to improve to 5-1 ATS this season vs. teams with a losing record and for Pittsburgh to fall to 4-10 ATS overall this year.

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