Free Pick: Buffalo Sabres @ Toronto Maple Leafs Over 6 – Tue February 17th 2009 7:05p
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There’s a school of thought that favors the Sabres on the ML tonight. Buffalo is still in the playoff hunt and is 5-2-1 in their last eight games against the Maple Leafs. The Sabres have won four straight in Toronto by a combined 18-7 margin. They’ve also outscored the Maple Leafs 9-1 in winning the last two games between the teams.

The Sabres made a few lineup changes yesterday that should produce more offense tonight. The Sabres’ experiment of having Tim Connolly center for Jochen Hecht and Jason Pominville is over. The new lines have Clarke MacArthur joining Hecht and Pominville, and Connolly skating with Matt Ellis and Ales Kotalik.
Tracking the trends, The OVER is 10-4-2 in the last 16 series meetings.

Toronto, the WORST defensive team in the league is 9-1 to the OVER in its last ten outings. They alone can pull most of the weight for tonight’s total topper. I wouldn’t be surprised by a Sabres win but I’d be stunned if this one doesn’t top the total early. – Courtesy of Bob Harvey

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