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Idaho vs. New Mexico State College Basketball Prediction & Odds: March 14th 2013

March 14th, 2013
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Idaho vs. New Mexico State
College Basketball Prediction: New Mexico State -6.5 -110 odds (March 14th 2013)
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New Mexico State has dominated Idaho to the tune of 17-2 SU and 11-7-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings and the Aggies won’t waste any time disposing of the Vandals on Thursday afternoon. NMS owns a money-making 14-4 SU and ATS tournament record (11-1 ATS on the road or at a neutral site) since joining the WAC in 2006 and has walked away with the Championship trophy in 2007, 2010 and 2012!

Idaho brings a soft 12-17 SU record into this post-season battle and enters off a pair of wins over Texas State and Seattle. Considering those two opponents own a combined 8-28 SU league record, those victories really aren’t that impressive. What should be noted is the Vandals 28-10-1 ATS mark in their last 39 priced as an underdog! Respect is given to that mark but it won’t be enough to pull me off State in this contest.

With a 61-30 SU and 44-33-2 ATS record in its last 91 games, New Mexico State is on a roll of its own. A great deal of that profit has come in conference play too where the Aggies hold a rewarding 37-16 SU and 32-20-1 ATS mark. Those two team trends certainly help our cause. But, this next conference tournament system really makes this Best Bet pop.

In conference tournament play, No. 6 seeds that enter off two or more straight up wins are a weak 41-96 SU and 41-75-4 ATS provided they are matched up against a foe that arrives with confidence off two or more straight up wins. If our “play against” No. 6 seed is taking on a No. 3 seed, this post-season situation slips down to a stiff 7-31 SU and 9-23-2 ATS!

Ranked third in the WAC in scoring defense (62.6 ppg) and second in rebounding (+6.6), the Aggies will have no trouble shutting down this inferior Vandals bunch. Watch sophomore guard Daniel Mullings (scored in double-figures 22 times this season) key this victory. Take New Mexico State. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.