Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Odds, Pick & Point Spread: September 27th 2009
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans
Free NFL Pick: Houston Texans -3.5 -110 odds – point spreads
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The money has poured in on 0-2 Jacksonville right from the opening lines last Sunday Night, as wiseguy bettors are expecting the Jags to play like their season is on the line in this one. Quite simply, I’m not buying that argument, and even if the Jags do ratchet up their intensity, they are still in a very difficult matchup against a very explosive offense.
The Jags are 2-10 SU in their last dozen games, beating only the 0-16 Lions and the 6-10 Packers a season ago. Their offense is anemic, without any legitimate downfield weapons for David Garrard to throw to, and a weak offensive line unable to open holes for Maurice Jones-Drew. The defense is even worse, allowing Kurt Warner to set an NFL record by completing 24 of 26 pass attempts against them, without either a pass rush or playmaking cornerbacks. It’s surely worth noting that the Jags are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 tries on grass, and they’ve lost each of their last three meetings here at Reliant Stadium by 13 points or more.
The Texans still have defensive holes, but this offense is poised to put up points in bunches after torching a quality Titans stop unit last week. Unlike the Jags, Houston is playing with passion and confidence, looking to build upon their 5-1 mark to close out the ’08 campaign and their impressive come-from-behind win last week. Look for Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson and Steve Slaton to deliver a comfortable home victory here. 2* Take Houston.
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