Kentucky vs. Long Beach State
Free Pick: Long Beach State +21.5 -110 odds
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I went with Kentucky in this same spot on Monday but I am going the other way this time two nights later. My main reason for backing the Wildcats against Drexel was because of the magnitude of the game at hand as they were going for win number 2,000 in the history of the program. Suffice to say, it was an easy win for Kentucky and the celebration that took place after puts us in a great spot in this game as I expect the Wildcats to come into this game flatter than a pancake. It is also an early start and that makes it not as big of a home game as the energy will be not even close as it is in a normal weeknight setting. Long Beach St. is a good basketball team. It has faced some really tough competition along the way and it has passed some tests while failing in others. Games against Notre Dame, West Virginia and Texas resulted in big losses while games against Clemson and UCLA resulted in a close loss and a win respectively. The 49ers are coming off an overtime loss in Loyola-Marymount on Monday and the travel aspect is the one thing that is taking this away from being a bigger play. Playing on the east coast in an early game after an overtime game on the west coast 36 hours ago is a recipe for disaster in most cases. However, the letdown spot on the other side is more of a factor this afternoon. Long Beach St. also falls into a great situation based on the short turnaround. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points that are coming off a loss as a favorite and now playing their 2nd road game in three days. As negative as it sounds, this situation is actually 39-13 ATS (75 percent) since 1997 with the average point differential being just -10.5 ppg. 3* Long Beach St. 49ers

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