Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox
Pick: Los Angeles Angels +115 odds
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5* graded play on Anaheim as they take on the CWS set to start at 2;05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Anaheim will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of just 86-80, but has made a whopping 35.7 units since 1997. Play on road teams with a poor OBP <=.320 and with a starting pitcher averaging more than 6.5 innings per start facing a very good AL starting pitcher posting a WHIP<=1.300. LAA is a solid 38-19 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team winning between 54% to 62% of their games on the season spanning the last 2 seasons. Santana is a solid 17-3 (+14.8 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times/game in the second half of the season since 1997; 10-1 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. The CWS are just 4-15 (-15.0 Units) against the money line versus an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. Santana is at his best when he can throw slider for a first pitch strike. It makes it very difficult for batters to sit on a pitch, especially his FB, when he can throw the slider early in the count for a strike. He throws slider 28% of the time and batters are hitting just 187 on that pitch. in summary, we strongly believe he will be able to contain the CWS offense. Take LAA.

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