Minnesota Twins (-110)
Thu May 22 ‘08 1:10p - Click Here for MLB Odds
Livan Hernandez of the Minnesota Twins and Vicente Padilla of the Texas Rangers are each a surprising 6-2 while pitching for non-winning teams, but with home field and a superior bullpen behind him, we will side with Hernandez at this cheap price.

Hernandez has a very respectable 3.88 ERA overall this season, but he has done his best pitching here at home where he is 4-0 with a 3.55 ERA, and he is also in fine current form with a sizzling 2.82 ERA in is last three starts. Hernandez did get bombed for seven runs and nine hits while lasting just 2.2 innings in Arlington in April, but this looks like a nice shot at redemption at home. He has the support of a Minnesota bullpen that ranks fifth in the American League with a 3.43 ERA.

Now Padilla actually has slightly better numbers than Hernandez, with a 3.16 ERA overall, a 3.28 ERA on the road and a 2.37 ERA in his last three starts. Assuming that the starters have a standoff however, the key to this contest will be the bullpens, and the Rangers rank did last in all of baseball with a 5.04 pen ERA. Since the Twins are actually ties for 10th in the Major Leagues, they qualify as one of our Bullpen System plays here.

Throw in the fact that Minnesota is 12-5 in the last 17 home games and the Twins become a rather easy choice here.

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