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Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Baseball Betting Pick: May 6th 2013

Baseball Betting Picks: May 6th 2013
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Prediction: Miami Marlins +155 odds

The Marlins destroy Roy Halladay and the Phillies on Sunday, 14-2, and still don’t get any respect judging by their huge ‘dog price in this matchup.

OK, the Marlins aren’t worthy of much respect. Scoring 14 runs doesn’t erase the stigma of being the worst team in the National League.

But still this price is way out of whack. The Marlins have beaten the Padres five of the last six times and the pitching matchup is Wade LeBlanc versus Andrew Cashner.

LeBlanc is a stiff – when he’s pitching at any other stadium except Petco Park. LeBlanc pitched for the Padres from 2008 to 2011 and was tough at home compiling a 2.97 ERA in 25 career appearances, including 24 starts, at Petco. This will be his first start at Petco against his former team and he’s going to be pumped. He also knows his former teammates well.

Cashner isn’t nearly good enough to be in this kind of chalk range. I’ve always thought he’s a better reliever than starter. Cashner lacks stamina and control. He’s only lasted four innings in two of his three starts since joining the rotation. He has a 4.24 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. He’s faced the Marlins four times – all in relief – and has an 11.57 ERA against them.

By bombing the Phillies, the Marlins showed they are capable of putting up runs despite not having their best offensive player, Giancarlo Stanton. He’s been replaced by rookie Marcell Ozuna, who is swinging a hot bat. Ozuna is 11-for-23 in six games since replacing Stanton. That’s the most hits ever by a Marlin rookie during his first six games.