Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds & Pick: August 3rd 2010
The Tampa Bay Rays are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. The Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall, with their only loss coming by 1 run against the Yankees. Their pitching has been brilliant, allowing 5 runs or less in all 10 games, and 3 runs or less in 8 of the 10 contests. I trust Jeff Niemann to get the job done tonight. Neimann is 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 21 starts this season, and Tampa Bay is 16-5 in those 21 games. Niemann is 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA in 2 career starts vs. Minnesota, both victories by the Rays.
Brian Duensing has been solid this season for Minnesota, mostly in a relief role. He has made two starts and has come away with a 2.45 ERA in those 2 outings, but they came against the Royals and A’s. He’s in for his stiffest test of the season tonight in trying to slow down this potent Rays line-up. Tampa is 48-14 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. The Rays are 11-1 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season. Niemann is a superb 15-1 against the money line vs. poor power teams – averaging 0.9 or less HR’s/game over the last 2 seasons. The Rays are winning in this spot by 4.2 RPG. Roll with the Rays Tuesday.