Missouri Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawks Betting Odds, Pick & Prediction: January 25th 2010
ESPN’s Big Monday wraps up from Lawrence, KS, where the Kansas Jayhawks (18-1, 8-7-1 ATS) will put their #3 national ranking on the line at home against the Missouri Tigers (15-4, 8-5 ATS). Mizzou rebounded from a bad loss at Oklahoma with a 70-53 ‘W’ over Nebraska on Saturday afternoon. Kansas rolled to its fourth straight victory after suffering its only loss of the season by winning in Ames 84-61 over Iowa State.
There’s speed, and then there’s the tempo that Missouri tries forcing you to play night in and night out. The Tigers press for seemingly the entire game, and lesser teams always have problems trying to hang on to the basketball. There’s a big question about how well that pressure will work against a talented Jayhawks team, though. They are averaging a whopping 12.1 steals per game, which helps set up the transition game. That’s how Mizzou is scoring 81.6 points per game, the 16th best number in the land. No one averages more than 25 minutes per game for this team, and the depth that it has may be its only shot of sticking with one of the top teams in the land.
The Jayhawks have scored at least 81 points in seven of their L/9 games, and they’ll likely reach that point yet again on Monday. They are averaging 84.9 points per game, the third best number in the NCAAs, and much like Missouri, it’s because of a ridiculous amount of depth. HC Bill Self can look up and down his bench and call on any combination of about a dozen players at any time and know that he still has an incredibly talented group of five on the court. C Cole Aldrich is probably going to be the key to victory though. No one should be able to match up with Aldrich’s size (6’11″, 245 lbs) on an undersized Missouri team, and he should improve on his 11.2 points and 9.9 rebounds per game.
Missouri is only 16-35 ATS in its L/51 road games overall, which is bad news for Tigers’ bettors. Even worse news is just how good KU has been at Allen Fieldhouse. The Jayhawks have won 23 straight games at home and 22 consecutive in conference play. The recent six-point victory against Baylor marked only the third time in those 22 conference games that the MOV was less than 10 points. The Jayhawks have also covered three straight NCAA basketball betting lines against the Tigers.
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