Missouri vs. North Carolina Pick & Point Spread: Independence Bowl: December 26th 2011
2011 AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl – The Missouri Tigers closed out their regular season with a flourish in winning their final three games. Now, the Midwest team will look to finish of its season in style when they battle the North Carolina Tar Heels in the 2011 AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl on December 26, at 5:00 PM ET, live from Independence Stadium in Shreveport, LA. Thanks to this informative college football betting preview, Touthouse gridiron gamblers everywhere will get the information they’ll need in order to make a pair of wise wagers on this under the radar bowl game matchup.
2011 AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
Missouri vs. North Carolina
When: December 26th 2011 5:00 PM ET
Where: Independence Stadium in Shreveport, LA.
Pick: CLICK HERE FOR THE WINNING BETTING PICK
Point Spread: Missouri Tigers (-5) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (+5) Over/Under 52.5
North Carolina (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 O/U)
The North Carolina Tar Heels will make their fourth straight bowl appearance in this contest, but they’ll have to bring their collective ‘A’ game in order to beat the Tigers in this pairing of evenly matched teams.
North Carolina snapped a two-game losing streak by beating Duke 37-21 on November 26 in its regular season finale to cash in against the NCAAF spread as a 14-point home favorite.
The Tar Heels were solid across the boar on offense this season, ranking 51st in total yards (396.6 ypg), 42nd in passing (249.2 ypg) and 57th in scoring (28.3 ppg), though they did struggle a bit to run the ball as they finished 72nd in rushing (147.4 ypg), despite the fact that freshman running back Giovani Bernard rushed for 1,222 yards and 13 TDs while averaging a whopping 5.4 yards per carry.
Sophomore quarterback Bryn Renner had a nice season to build on moving forward after completing a stellar 68.8 percent of his passes while tossing 23 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.
Defensively, the Tar Heels were one of the top teams in the country, particularly against the run, where they finished 14th in limiting their opponents to just 106.2 yards per game on the ground.
North Carolina gave up just 23.5 points per contest to finish 46th in the nation in scoring defense while also ranking 40th in total yards allowed (352.9 ypg).
The Tar Heels lost five of their final six games this season and are ‘just’ 13-15 all-time in bowl games and beat Tennessee 30-27 in a two-overtime thriller in last season’s Music City Bowl.
Here is a look at North Carolina’s key trends this season.
The Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their L/7 games following an ATS win.
The Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
North Carolina is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog.
The Under is 5-1 in Tar Heels last 6 non-conference games.
The Over is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 neutral site games.
The Under is 9-4 in Tar Heels last 13 games against a team with a winning record.
Missouri (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 O/U)
The Tigers will be led by interim coach Everett Withers who has confirmed he’s not staying with the program “in any capacity” under the team’s next head coach Larry Fedora.
Nevertheless, the Tigers will look to close out the season with a quartet of consecutive victories after pounding Kansas in its 24-10 regular season finale despite failing to cover the NCAAF betting line as a whopping 26-point home favorite.
The Tigers have had success in producing solid quarterbacks in recent season and may have another future pro player in sophomore quarterback James Franklin who completed 63.3 percent of his passes this season for 2,740 yards with 20 touchdown passes and just 10 interceptions.
Defensively, Missouri had a fine season, particularly considering they played in the high-powered Big 12 this season. The Tigers ranked 43rd against the run, (135.0 ypg) and 45th in points allowed as they gave up 23.5 points per contest, the identical total that North Carolina allowed this season.
Missouri is 12-16 all-time in bowl games and has lost two straight postseason games, including last season’s 27-24 loss to Iowa in the 2010 Insight Bowl.
Here is a look at the Tiger’s key trends this season.
The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their L/7 non-conference games.
Missouri is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five Bowl games as a favorite.
The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their L/5 games in December.
The Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite.
The Under is 9-3 in Tigers last 12 non-conference games.
If you enjoyed this Missouri vs. North Carolina Independence Bowl pick and point spread preview, be sure to visit Touthouse.com this entire bowl season for winning college football predictions from our professional sports handicappers.