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MLB Baseball Betting Picks for April 16th 2011: Bet The Milwaukee Brewers On Saturday

April 16th, 2011
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals
MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -138 (April 16th 2011)
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The Brewers lost a tough game last night in extra innings even though they outhit the Nationals 10-5. Milwaukee came into that game on a 7-1 run following a 0-4 start to the season but this is a great spot to get it back at an even better price. The Brewers pitching has been outstanding as they have posted a 1.99 ERA over their last 10 games to drop their season ERA to 3.05. To put it into perspective, Milwaukee has allowed 25 runs over its last 10 games after allowing 23 runs in its first three games.

It was a big win for Washington last night as it squandered a lead by giving up a run in the ninth inning but was able to cash in. The Nationals are flirting with the .500 mark with a 6-7 record after winning five of their last eight games. This may seem like a good spot for Washington seeing that it has followed up its first two extra-inning wins with a win the next game but the pitching matchup was nowhere near the disadvantage that it will be at today.

Yovani Gallardo started the season with two straight quality starts but he allowed four runs on seven hits and four walks in five innings in his last start so it was a bad outing to say the least. He has been notorious for bouncing back after bad performances and we will see that again here. Gallardo is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in three starts against Washington and he is getting an extra day rest here which is big. The Brewers are 13-3 in Gallardo’s last 16 starts against teams with a losing record.

The Nationals counter with Jason Marquis who has gotten off to a surprisingly good start following a disastrous season a year ago where he posted a 6.60 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 13 starts. He is pitching way over his head in my opinion and his 11:2 K:BB ratio is evidenced of that. He was shelled in his last start against Milwaukee last season as he allowed seven runs while not recording a single out. The Brewers are 5-1 in their last six games against right-handed starters. 3* (901) Milwaukee Brewers -Matt Fargo

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