Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -105 odds
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5* graded play on Tampa Bay as they host Texas and Cliff Lee set to start at 7:05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that TB will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 55-28 making 36.5 units since 2004. Play against AL road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings. Tis game features tow of the best left handed starters in the AL and a possible playoff preview as well. TB has done quite well against the elite starters this year. TB is a solid 13-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. One way to defeat a top starter is be patient at the plate and make him work deep counts as often as possible. With that said Texas has not well against similar teams. Texas is just 2-10 (-9.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more per game this season. TB is also 31-9 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons. Texas went 3-2 against the Yankees and Red Sox over the past 5 games and this emotional intensity has to have an effect having now to face another AL contender. A direct factor is that the bullpen is tired and this will force Lee to go as long as possible. So, Tb will work pitch counts to their advantage. Texas bullpen has posted a 5.40 ERA and a 1.500 WHIP over the past 7 games. The Rays bullpen has been stellar all season long posting a 3.23 ERA and a 1.153 WHIP on the season and is currently posting a 1.23 ERA and a 0.727 WHIP over the past 7 games. Take the Rays.