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MLB Baseball Picks: Giants vs. Diamondbacks Pick & Odds: May 11th 2012

May 11th, 2012
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MLB Baseball Picks: May 11th 2012
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Pick: Giants -119 odds
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The San Francisco Giants are showing solid value as a small road favorite in Game 1 of this series with the Arizona Diamondbacks. San Francisco has the superior starter on the mound tonight in Madison Bumgarner, and I’ll ride him to victory in this one.

Bumgarner was one of the most underrated starters in the league last season. The lefty went 13-13 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.212 WHIP with 191 strikeouts in 204 2/3 innings. Bumgarner has picked up right where he left off, going 5-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.077 WHIP through six starts in 2012.

He’ll be opposed by Pat Corbin, who is no more than a fill-in starter for Arizona. Corbin is 1-1 with a 7.00 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in two starts this season. Bumgarner has had solid success against the Diamondbacks in the past, going 3-1 with a 3.25 ERA and 1.278 WHIP in six career starts against Arizona.

Bumgarner is 16-3 against the money line after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. Arizona is 1-8 against the money line in home games after a loss this season. The Giants are 17-4 in Bumgarner’s last 21 starts as a favorite. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 home games. Bet San Francisco Friday.

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